They tried it on Trump – boy, did they ever try. But a couple of things stopped them, including the fact that in the US a convicted felon can run for office.
Now the French have had greater success – at least for the moment – against the populist front-runner Marine Le Pen. Today’s news came as a surprise to me; I hadn’t even read that there was a trial going on. Why so little attention paid? I don’t know for sure, but here’s the upshot:
“Incredible.” That was the single word uttered under her breath by Marine Le Pen as she stormed out of a Paris courtroom this morning.
She left the court early – just before hearing that she was barred from running for office for five years after being found guilty of embezzlement of EU funds – almost certainly ruling her out from standing in the 2027 French presidential election.
Without even waiting for the judge to pronounce the full details of the sentence, the head of the National Rally knew that her political goose was cooked.
There would be no reprieve pending appeal. The bar on running for office was real and immediate.
The charges were apparently a convoluted reading of a law that most French politicians routinely violate without negative consequences. Sound familiar? And as for why the trial hadn’t gotten much publicity here, there’s this:
Le Pen’s incredulity can be better excused, perhaps, in the context of the moment.
A consensus had almost established itself across France’s political world that this ultimate sanction by the court could not, would not – in the end – take place.
It was not just Le Pen’s followers who said it. Her enemies agreed …
So it was thought to be a nothingburger. Instead, quelle surprise!
Le Pen’s National Rally party must now decide whether to throw weight behind another candidate or to keep Le Pen as leader. The article goes on to explain that there’s a chance the appeal could be expedited and decided prior to the 2027 election, and the ban dropped. The wheels of justice certainly grind slow in France, if they grind at all.
The article I’m quoting is from the BBC, and they use some interesting rhetoric here:
In the short term we can expect an outcry, and a boost to the [National Rally] party’s support. Why? Because what has happened fits so neatly into the RN narrative that the populist right is a victim of the “system”.
What an odd coincidence that it “fits so neatly” into the right’s “narrative” of victimhood. After all, it’s only a narrative, no more true or false than any other fairy tale. The fact that Le Pen actually has been persecuted and made a victim of the “system” – well, we needn’t pay much attention to that, because we know it was only done to save the stupid proles from themselves.
The BBC even admits, in the very next paragraph, that the charges against Le Pen were – if you’ll excuse the expression – trumped up [emphasis mine]:
No-one likely to vote for the RN seriously holds it against Marine Le Pen for illegally financing her party using EU parliament funds. They all know that practically every French political party has resorted to similar underhand methods in the past.
And yet here’s the next paragraph:
By the same token, her “draconian” punishment – being banned from standing for the presidency – will be interpreted as a badge of honour: proof that she alone is standing up to the powers-that-be.
Why is draconian in scare quotes? Is that just a “narrative” as well? Didn’t the article already make it clear that until today even Le Pen’s enemies thought such a ban would be draconian, too draconian to impose?
Make up your mind, BBC.
Will the same thing happen to Le Pen’s party as happened in the 2024 US election as a result of – among other things – backlash to the persecution/prosecution of Trump? Hard to say, because under a parliamentary system the party would need either over 50% of the seats or another party would have to ally itself with them, and that’s highly unlikely to happen. However, this verdict is nevertheless playing with fire, because it really does make the persecution “narrative” seem very very true. And Le Pen’s enemies need to understand that if her party ever does take power, with or without her, the same law can be used against those who persecuted her. We’ll see who’s screaming “Draconian!” then.
And there’s also this, because Le Pen’s prison sentence was put on hold pending appeal:
Marine Le Pen remains a member of the National Assembly, where she leads a bloc of 125 – the parliament’s biggest. Till now she had not used that sizeable bloc to attempt to bring down the government of the beleaguered prime minister Francois Bayrou, who struggles on despite having no majority.
Those days may be over.
If you’re going to sentence a political enemy and bar him or her from running for office, you better make certain that the person’s offense is serious and egregiously criminal, or you risk having that kangaroo-court prosecution come back to haunt you.
