The fix is in on the doc fix…

The New Neo Posted on by

[UPDATE: I used the words “Politco claims” and “If true” in the following short post because there was something about the Politco report that didn’t smell quite right to me (maybe that “textual narrative” part? Too good to be true?). Turns out that Politico has just announced that the authenticity of the report has been challenged, and they’ve withdrawn the story. But the quote from Axelrod, which appeared in a completely different and unrelated article, seems authentic enough.]

…and Politico claims it has the smoking gun.

If true, would anyone who’s been paying a particle of attention be surprised by this? My only surprise is that Politico, not an especially conservative-friendly site, is reporting it.

And my favorite part of it all is the use of the phrase “textual narrative.” How very post-modern of them!

[NOTE: And I love, love, love this quote from David Axelrod about the behind the scenes machinations around the HCR bill and its passage: “There’s not been one minute of talk around the White House about what this means for Barack Obama’s presidency.”

Are they stark raving mad? Or do they think we are? Or both?]

If HCR passes—the next step, states’ rights?

The New Neo Posted on by

I was just listening to the tail end of an interview on Fox between Megyn Kelly and Arizona Governor Jan Brewer. Brewer was talking about the Tenth Amendment challenges planned by governors and attorney generals around the country if HCR passes. She sounded very determined, and said this was a bipartisan group.

One thing I noticed about Brewer was that she kept repeating that what we are seeing now in Congress is something she’s never seen or even imagined happening in her lifetime. She seemed stunned, as though she could not believe her eyes and ears.

Brewer is sixty-five years old (not that there’s anything wrong with that!), so she wasn’t exactly born yesterday. And yet she seems to think this is something sui generis in America. I happen to agree with her, and plan soon to write an article explaining why.

[ADDENDUM: A related and interesting idea.]

McArdle on the CBO score

The New Neo Posted on by

Shorter McArdle: the CBO scoring has become a joke, and the bill is a financial disaster. But nobody who wants to vote for it is listening or cares.

[NOTE: A while back, I made a similar point as McArdle on the uselessness of the CBO at this point. Congress has become like a virus that has figured out how to penetrate the defenses of the CBO scoring and overwhelm whatever truth it used to offer.]

Here are forty Representatives to pressure

The New Neo Posted on by

For what it’s worth, here are forty names judged to be on the HCR fence. You can call, write, and otherwise contact them in an attempt to increase the pressure. It’s especially important if you live in their districts, but anyone can join the fray.

I’m not sure whether the Pelosi smile and confidence right now are theater or not. I happen to think that she would not be scheduling a vote on Sunday if the thing weren’t already in the bag. But she’s certainly capable of that sort of bluff to increase the notion that it’s a done deal, and to discourage the opposition and encourage Democrats to get on that bandwagon and ride it.

So I think it’s still very worthwhile to make your voices heard in any way you can. By far the best thing would be to block this from happening, rather than to fight it afterward. But fight it afterward we will, if fight it afterward we must.

Working with Obama: Lindsey Graham on closing Guantanamo

The New Neo Posted on by

I don’t know enough inside baseball to know exactly why Lindsey Graham is doing this. But I do know it’s the sort of thing that in the past earned him the rage of conservatives, and rightly so.

That Graham is willing at this point—even after the extreme hostility, demonizing, lack of cooperation, and utter disrespect displayed by Obama personally and this administration generally towards Republicans—to work with Obama on this matter is difficult to understand or justify. I’m with Andy McCarthy on the substantive problems with this agreement:

The good parts of the deal will be either things we’d have gotten anyway (like no civilian trial for KSM) or unenforceable (like promises that the Obama administration will be more open to using options other than the criminal justice system for top terrorists). The bad parts will be horrific, and no matter what Senator Graham says, he can’t do a thing about them: The place or places where the terrorists are held will become targets that we will have to spend tons of money to protect; the tons of money we have already spent to make Gitmo a first-rate, ideally secured facility, will be lost; and, most significantly, the physical presence in the U.S. of the detainees will mean they are unquestionably in the jurisdiction of the federal courts, where judges will be able to say the Constitution requires all sorts of remedies, including release.

And remember, all of this will be based on the fiction that Gitmo foments anti-U.S. terrorism ”” and to the extent the U.S. reputation in the world has been tarnished, much more of that has been done by the politicians who’ve attacked Gitmo than by the facility itself, which is a model.

And yet Graham forges on. His motivation is unknown to me, but here are some guesses:

(a) he really does believe that “bipartisanship” is some worthwhile goal in and of itself
(b) Obama has promised him something, and he’s naive enough to believe him
(c) he disagrees with McCarthy and believes that without an agreement Obama would be going the civilian justice route
(d) he likes the limelight and the power this gives him as the person to break an anti-cloture vote

The current situation in the post-Scott Brown election Senate is that, even though Brown gave the Republicans the magical 41st vote to stop cloture, it only works reliably when the Republican Party stands solidly and firmly and unanimously together (or if a Democrat or Democrats join them). Any Republican who goes against the group instantly becomes more spotlighted and more powerful than before—wooed and fawned over and catered to by the Democrats.

In the present case, Graham says he has two other Republicans ready to join him (wonder who they could be? My guess is a couple of women from Maine). So even if a few Democrats, or Joe Lieberman, vote with the Republicans against this, it’s a done deal, and Graham’s the “bipartisan” hero. However, I agree with McCarthy that Americans will be the losers. But hey, we’re getting used to that, aren’t we?

Obama and the law: about that little thing called “procedure”

The New Neo Posted on by

Ann Althouse, blogger and law professor who voted for Obama, has this to say about his pooh-poohing of procedural rules during his Bret Baier interview yesterday:

As if procedure is a frivolous sidetrack that only trivial or devious people care about. Barack Obama was a constitutional law professor. Much of constitutional law is about procedural rights and structural safeguards that check power. Justice Felix Frankfurter famously wrote: “The history of American freedom is, in no small measure, the history of procedure.” Law professors are seriously engaging with the constitutionality of the “deem and pass,” and our erstwhile law professor Barack Obama would imperiously wave procedure aside as a distraction not worthy of his time. Let’s concentrate on the end and pay no attention to the means. When the most powerful man in the world says that, we should feel revulsion and alarm.

Hear, hear!

The election of 2008: not listening to Cassandra

The New Neo Posted on by

I remember how concerned and driven I felt during the last couple of months leading up to the 2008 election. I had become quite convinced that Obama was an opportunistic, lying, corrupt, far-left ideologue who would sacrifice his own grandmother (and did) for the sake of power.

I believed it would be devastating for the country if he were to be elected along with what promised to be a strongly Democratic House and Senate. There seemed no way to stop Congress from going that route, but up until the last month or so prior to the election I thought it was possible to stop Obama, because the polls were very close.

I felt I needed to do what I could. I’m only one person, but I can reach quite a few people through this blog. And I figured my readers would do their bit to spread the word, too. And then there were so many more in the blogosphere and the media doing the same thing, people with a lot more readers than I.

In my private life, I talked to those of my friends whom I judged to be at least somewhat on the fence and open to argument and information. I knew most people don’t spend the amount of time I do reading about these things, so I sent relevant links to certain open-minded friends who had said they wouldn’t mind receiving them.

And I talked. Politics and the candidates came up a lot in conversation back then (as opposed to now), and I would describe things Obama had done back in Chicago, as well as statements he’d made during the campaign that were troubling and extremist.

But I noticed that although people would usually listen politely, nothing seemed to reach them. There was always a “yes, but.” Yes, but he said such good things and seemed so trustworthy. Yes, but I didn’t have any proof that he really knew about (Ayers, Wright, fill in the blank). Yes, but Obama would raise our standing in the world. Yes, but McCain was too old. Yes, but it was time for a change.

So gradually, and with mounting concern, I realized that there was nothing I could do, especially after the well-timed financial crisis. By election day I had pretty much lost hope, although I tried not to be a complete downer on this blog—but the only hope I really retained was the hope that I’d been wrong about Obama, and that he would end up being the person my friends thought he was.

That hope could only be nurtured for the first month or two after the inauguration before it had to be thrown into the dustbin of history. And in fact, Obama has been even worse than I expected, more openly doctrinaire and less incremental, as well as more ruthless and unashamed in his Orwellian lies.

Now it’s too late to stop Obama from being elected, of course. But when I look back, I realize that it was always too late once Obama threw his hat into the ring (unless you go back decades, before the Gramscian march of leftism through the schools and the press). Maybe it’s just human nature, but whatever it was that Obama appealed to in supporters (gullibility? naive hope?) was too powerful and too widespread to be stopped, especially without the support of the MSM.

I have never before had the experience of watching a debacle unfold, reading and writing about it day by slow day, and feeling unable to stop it despite so much effort. But that’s the way it’s been for about a year and a half now. I don’t even get the satisfaction of saying “I told you so” to my friends, because they’re not paying attention at this point (or at least not talking about things). It is as though politics does not exist for them.

Now we must rely on that most unlikely of bulwarks against tyranny—the moderate Democrats in the House, and the creativity and spine of the remaining Republicans in the Senate—and the possibility of righting things in the elections of 2010 and 2012.

Stupak and the fight against abortion funding

The New Neo Posted on by

Bart Stupak says that leading the fight against including abortion funding in the HCR bill has been “a living hell” for him and his family. He’s gotten threatening phone calls in the office and at home, and its affected his family. But he’s hanging tough (so far at least; one never knows in the end with this crowd) and voting “no.”

I assume that the threats are coming from the supporters of HCR and federal abortion funding, although perhaps some are also from opponents who threaten him if he were to change his vote to “yes.” He doesn’t specify. But he does say one very curious thing:

The ideal outcome, Stupak said, might be for the House Democratic leadership to get the votes they need without him and for the bill to pass.

“You know, maybe for me that’s the best: I stay true to my principles and beliefs,” he said, and “vote no on this bill and then it passes anyways. Maybe for me is the best thing to do.”

How odd. So he stays true to his beliefs—and a bill that violates those deeply-held beliefs, as well as those of his supporters, passes and becomes the law of the land.

Stupak is a supporter of HCR in general, so he’s in conflict. But what sort of resolution would that be? Is his own conscience the paramount thing—as long as his hands are clean, he doesn’t care how dirty the bill passed by his fellow Democrats is? Is that what passes for principle these days?

Obama and Baier and “process” and Hawaiian earthquakes

The New Neo Posted on by

Where to begin?

I didn’t see the Baier interview on TV, and when I tried to watch the video it stopped after six minutes and would not start again. But I’m not so sure I could have stomached much more of Obama’s bobbing and weaving and not answering the questions, and repeating inane and repugnant and misleading talking points and complaining petulantly.

Baier gave a lesson in what reporters should have been doing right along when interviewing Obama: actually asking him tough questions and relevant follow-ups. If anyone in the MSM had done this sort of thing during the campaign, Obama might not have been elected and we would not be facing the mess we’re in right now.

Here’s a transcript if you (like me) prefer to read rather than watch. For now, I will just comment on two things. The first is that in the opening segment (the one I watched on video) Obama made it crystal clear that he doesn’t give a rat’s ass about the procedural rules embedded in the Constitution for the passage of legislation, or the ones that have grown up over time:

I don’t spend a lot of time worrying about what the procedural rules are in the House or the Senate.

Of course not—after all, it’s not like he was ever a Senator, or a Constitutional law prof/lecturer, or anything like that.

And Obama doesn’t think you should worry your pretty little head about process, either. Actually, he’s pretty sure that you don’t, despite the fact that Baier read him a couple of letters from ordinary Americans who do care. Why, Obama’s got letters too!

But one of the strangest exchanges was this one:

OBAMA: Something that was called a special deal was for Louisiana. It was said that there were billions ”” millions of dollars going to Louisiana, this was a special deal. Well, in fact, that provision, which I think should remain in, said that if a state has been affected by a natural catastrophe, that has created a special health care emergency in that state, they should get help. Louisiana, obviously, went through Katrina, and they’re still trying to deal with the enormous challenges that were faced because of that.

(CROSS TALK)

OBAMA: That also ”” I’m giving you an example of one that I consider important. It also affects Hawaii, which went through an earthquake. So that’s not just a Louisiana provision. That is a provision that affects every state that is going through a natural catastrophe.

What earthquake in Hawaii? Gateway Pundit notes that, “In 1868 there was a major earthquake in Hawaii that killed 77 people. In 1975 an earthquake in Hawaii killed 2 people.” Obviously, Obama can’t possibly be referring to either of those.

But indeed there was an earthquake in Hawaii in 2006, It caused property damage to a little over a thousand buildings (73 million dollars’ worth). However, it seems to have resulted in no deaths and only minor injuries. Certainly there appears to have been no “special health care emergency” there that would have qualified for any sort of special funds under the provisions of HCR.

Obama seemed clueless and meandering in the interview, repeating the same points over and over and unable to counter Baier in any effective way, resorting to what Holden Caulfield used to call “slinging the old bull” and bringing up strangely irrelevant stuff like the Hawaii earthquake.

The trouble is, I don’t think it will matter. As I said earlier today, I think healthcare will pass; Pelosi will see to it.

Those “self-executing rules”

The New Neo Posted on by

The Democratic meme of the moment is that the Slaughter solution is no biggie, it’s just a self-executing rule of a type that’s been employed many times before and which Republicans themselves use frequently (see also this and this).

Really! Isn’t it odd how we’ve never heard a thing about it before.

So what’s a self-executing rule, and when has the procedure been used in the past, and to what purpose? Take a look at this explanation and list of examples. Ah yes, very similar; a rule to ban smoking on flights longer than two hours corresponds very well to the health care reform bill.

Here’s more about how these rules have actually been employed previously:

Wolfensberger [a former Republican staff director of the House Rules Committee who now directs the Congress Project at the Woodrow Wilson Center for Scholars,] said self-executing rules often have been employed at an earlier stage, rather than for final passage of a bill. He said he knows of four instances when a measure that was deemed to have been passed went directly to the White House. The first, in 1933 during the Great Depression, involved Senate amendments to legislation pertaining to the United States’ creditworthiness. The tactic was employed twice in the 1990s, by Democrats on a bill involving the Family Medical Leave Act, and by Republicans on a measure involving a line-item veto. Most recently, it was used a few weeks ago, when the House voted on both an increase in the debt ceiling and a pay-as-you-go budget provision.

Stanford’s McConnell [director of Stanford Law School’s Constitutional Law Center and a former appellate judge appointed by President George W. Bush] said that such a procedure would be unconstitutional in this case because, in passing both the Senate legislation and the changes in the reconciliation package in a single stroke, “no one bill will then have been passed by both the House and the Senate” because the Senate still would have to approve the changes added by the House.

And from Ace:

…[I]n the past, the self-executing “demonpass” dodge was used with regard to legislation that was going to pass anyway; Congress concocted itself a trivial dodge so they could say they hadn’t voted to raise the debt ceiling. But if that dodge had not been available, they would have voted for it.

In such circumstances, the Court can show a bit of restraint and say, basically, “No harm, no foul,” and show the restraint they prefer to show in keeping out of Congress’ internal affairs.

The Democrats are comparing apples to oranges—or perhaps a better analogy would be to swallowing a raisin vs. swallowing an elephant whole. To use the self-executing rule procedure to get around the enormous problems with HCR, which would be one of the most major and transformative and unpopular bills ever passed by Congress, and to act as though there is some equivalence, with previous uses of the rule, is absurd. However, the Democratic leadership and their followers count on most people to (a) not be paying attention to these boring procedural matters; and/or (2) if they are paying attention, to not be interested in the details, and therefore to be soothed by this “oh, it happens all the time in this way, nothing to see here, moving right along” placating, condescending, contemptuous lie.

Here’s lawyer Andy McCarthy on the ploy:

The key here is that in each instance, at issue [in the situations in which the self-executing rule was used] was something that was non-controversial or almost ministerial ”” not, as with heathcare, an unpopular, bitterly opposed, ragingly controversial socialization of the private economy.

I think Democrats are mistaking a customary short-cut for a substantive precedent.

Just now I happened to turn on Fox News, and caught a Megyn Kelly interview with Judge Michael McConnell (who mentioned that he was one of the people who recruited Obama to teach at the U. of Chicago Law School). He said that in their arguments for the self-executing rule the Democrats are trying, “To claim precedent for one thing and then to use it for a drastically different thing.”

One thing we do know is that, even if we are somehow saved from this travesty because they can’t get the votes even with all the sordid gymnastics, the present-day Democratic Party has shown its hand and let us know its disrespect for the rule of law and the traditions of Congress. Those who have been paying attention are unlikely to forget the lesson. The question is: how many are paying attention?

And how many care any more about the process by which we have remained a nation of liberty—of the people, by the people, and for the people?

Is it a bug or a feature?

The New Neo Posted on by

Obama says he won’t campaign for Dems who fail to vote to pass HCR. That may be more of a bug than a feature, more likely to repel “yes” votes than attract them.

Obama has become ballot-box poison—a process that took George Bush six or seven years, but Obama less than one. However, I am still quite pessimistic about the passage of HCR. I believe it will happen. I believe the proper arms will be twisted to the proper degree of pain, a sufficient number of bribes will be offered to sweeten the deal, the requisite threats and enticements and rides on Air Force One will be given, and the bill will pass by the smallest and crookedest margin for any important (and hugely unpopular) piece of legislation in our nation’s history.

And boy, do I hope I’m wrong about the bill’s prospects of passing.