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A blog about political change, among other things

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Maine wants an exemption from provision of health care law

The New Neo Posted on December 31, 2010 by neoDecember 31, 2010

The state of Maine has requested that it be exempted from that portion of Obamacare, about to go into effect soon, which dictates that “insurers must devote at least 80 percent of the premiums they collect to medical claims or other activities that improve customers’ health – leaving no more than 20 percent for the insurer’s administrative costs or profits.”

Maine (and a host of other states who haven’t yet made the same formal request) is afraid that the provision would make it so difficult for insurers in the risky individual market to keep going financially that the companies will abandon that market. Thus, the request for the waiver.

Isn’t it odd how so many things that those mean old avaricious old greedy old insurance companies were doing were just good monetary policy, necessary for them to stay afloat? That individual insurance has become the last refuge of those who are more ill and use more health care resources than others, and that’s why it’s more expensive? That government high risk pools can only work out if everyone, especially the young and healthy, is forced to buy insurance to help the others?

In other words, that there is no free lunch. Fancy that.

Much better to ignore that fact, though, and pretend that mathematics has been suspended for the purpose of feeling a warm glow about how kind we are to the poor and sick, whether or not we’ve actually taken the trouble to think about the inherent problems involved in so doing. If we faced reality for a change, we might even be able to devise a better system, although it might end up involving less government involvement rather than more.

Posted in Finance and economics, Health care reform | 17 Replies

Krauthammer and I agree

The New Neo Posted on December 31, 2010 by neoDecember 31, 2010

Here’s Krauthammer today:

Obama knows he has only so many years to change the country. In his first two, he achieved much: the first stimulus, Obamacare and financial regulation. For the next two, however, the Republican House will prevent any repetition of that. Obama’s agenda will therefore have to be advanced by the more subterranean means of rule-by-regulation.

But this must simultaneously be mixed with ostentatious displays of legislative bipartisanship (e.g., the lame-duck tax-cut deal) in order to pull off the (apparent) centrist repositioning required for reelection. This, in turn, would grant Obama four more years when, freed from the need for pretense, he can reassert himself ideologically and complete the social-democratic transformation – begun Jan. 20, 2009; derailed Nov. 2, 2010 – that is the mission of his presidency.

And here I am, on November 7, right after the election:

[A possibility for the next two years] is that Obama actually will move towards the middle, in deed as in word. But it will be a temporary feint, a move made to convince doubters that he’s gotten the message and changed his ways.

It need only be until the next election. If Obama can moderate himself enough to be able to point to a few small but real compromises with the Republicans, he won’t be losing much and he’ll be gaining a lot. The American people are a generally genial and forgiving (not to say trusting) lot, predisposed to like him, and by then he may indeed have rehabilitated himself in the eyes of enough voters that he will win his bid for re-election and even increase the Democrats’ Congressional representation.

And then, and then””voila! Four more years! Four years in which he won’t have to answer to the electorate at all. He will be unleashed to do whatever it is he really wants. And does anyone think that would look moderate at all?

Posted in Obama | 6 Replies

Want a Chevy Volt?

The New Neo Posted on December 30, 2010 by neoDecember 30, 2010

If you do, be prepared to pay a $41,000 sticker price (you’ll get a $7,500 tax credit) for a blah sedan that can go about 50 miles on batteries if you charge it overnight, or can use conventional fuel.

How much money you save in gas costs depends on how long your trips are and how expensive your electricity is. But the car’s not primarily about savings (with a price like that, most people will never recoup their initial extra outlay), it’s about self-righteousness. My sentiments are with commenter “Lincoltf” at Althouse:

Who would’ve ever thought that the AGW cult would’ve thrown their lot behind a coal-powered car? Or maybe they’re all too stupid to realize where all that magical electricity comes from?

Nah, that couldn’t be it. They’re all wicked smart, just ask them.

The phrase “wickd smart” marks Lincolntf as a likely New Englander, although properly pronounced it’s “wicked smaaht.” Case in point (stay with it till the last line):

Of course, Damon himself is another case of “wicked smaaht” being awful dumb sometimes.

Gee. All roads seem to lead to Sarah Palin, even when you start out driving a Chevy Volt.

Posted in Movies, Palin, Pop culture | 55 Replies

Obama’s interim appointment: Cole to Justice Department

The New Neo Posted on December 30, 2010 by neoDecember 30, 2010

There’s a big hue and cry over Obama’s interim appointment of James Cole as Deputy Attorney General. It’s a controversial pick, and the use of the interim method to bypass Congress is obviously a strategic gambit to get him in there without the legislative battle that would otherwise inevitably occur.

Should we be shocked, or even surprised? No. Obama is not alone among presidents in using such ploys to get around the opposition; he’s merely more blatant about it, as well as more inclined to avoid Congress through executive orders and czars and the like.

The main objections to Cole’s appointment appear to be (a) his function as independent monitor of AIG from 2005-2009, the years when the company was making the risky decisions that ultimately led to a mega-crisis; and (b) his position on trials for terrorists, which is that it is a criminal matter for the civilian justice system.

I’d have to know more about exactly what Cole was hired to do regarding AIG, and whether he could have been expected to uncover the problems there, before I would condemn him for that association. The best information I’ve been able to uncover is this article, where it says he was responsible for monitoring AIG’s “regulatory compliance, financial reporting, whistle-blower protection and employee retention policies.” It’s not immediately apparent to me whether, given that mandate, he should have been able to uncover the rot—especially since the problems in virtually all the companies trading the shaky credit instruments that eventually brought the whole edifice crashing down seemed to elude everyone charged with regulating the industry. I’d like to hear why Cole should be singled out for special condemnation for failing to uncover what nobody else seemed able to uncover.

Then there’s his stance on terror suspects and civilian trials. I find it stupid and reprehensible, but that hardly differentiates him from Holder, his boss at Justice—or, for that matter, from the president himself. His position appears identical to the position of the Obama administration, and even if by some miracle someone opposed to it were to be nominated, the policy (and rot) begins at the top and nothing would change.

So, although I agree that interim appointments of controversial figures should be opposed, I can’t quite understand why this particular pick is so much more of a problem than many of Obama’s other nominees. The problem is the Obama administration itself, which will continue its attempts to name people simpatico to its philosophies any way it can until it is voted out in 2012, or until it finishes its second term in 2016.

What can be done? Jennifer Rubin points out that the Republican caucus could inform Obama that it will refuse to confirm any future nominations unless he promises to stop making recess appointments. I don’t see this particular group of Republicans doing that, however. It would be a declaration of war over something that isn’t necessarily worth it, and would leave them open to charges of obstructionism while Obama could wave the “I’m a bipartisan” banner and criticize them for it.

The next Congress will need to choose its battles well. Make no mistake; there will be plenty of them.

Posted in Law, Obama | 8 Replies

Wikileaks and the Pentagon Papers

The New Neo Posted on December 29, 2010 by neoDecember 29, 2010

Floyd Abrams, one of the lawyers who defended the NY Times in the Pentagon Papers lawsuit, differentiates between Daniel Ellsberg’s actions in releasing those documents and Julian Assange’s in Wikileaks. Ellsberg, he says, was mindful of the damage that could be done and therefore purposely withheld a large chunk of information relating to US negotiations concerning the Vietnam War, because he “didn’t want to get in the way of diplomacy.”

Abrams rightly points out that Assange has censored very little, and that his motive appears to be the opposite: to get in the way of diplomacy, and expose it to the harsh light of day.

Abrams points out the Assange’s motives might determine whether he can be prosecuted under the Espionage Act. Unlike Ellsberg or Assange’s informant Manning, he is neither a US government employee nor in a national security position. Therefore, in order for a conviction to occur under the Act, it would have to be proven that Assange intended to harm the United States or help its enemies by releasing the material.

Although it may be fairly clear that’s exactly what Assange intended to do, proving it in a court of law would be a very formidable and perhaps even impossible task. This also would be the situation if any journalist or newspaper involved in publishing the material were to be prosecuted.

Ellsberg’s situation was different. Although in the end Watergate saved him, he originally felt he ran a high risk of going to prison for life. He had worked for the CIA and was a RAND corporation employee at the time of the Papers’ reveal. As such, he had access to classified information and had taken an oath to keep it secret, an oath he violated when he gave the Papers to the MSM (after an initial attempt to offer them to some sympathetic senators failed).

Abrams writes of the Papers:

The Pentagon Papers revelations dealt with a discrete topic, the ever-increasing level of duplicity of our leaders over a score of years in increasing the nation’s involvement in Vietnam while denying it. It revealed official wrongdoing or, at the least, a pervasive lack of candor by the government to its people.

This is the commonly accepted interpretation of what the Papers revealed. But how many people have read them? Certainly not I; they’re massive. Most people only have a foggy notion of what Abrams means when he writes of “wrongdoing,” and “lack of candor.”

Both characteristics are inevitable in war, of course, and the latter is absolutely required in war. A country could never win a war conducted with full transparency—just as diplomacy could not be successfully conducted with the sort of “candor” Assange professes to want to engender. The question is one of degree and balance, however, and there is an excellent argument to be made that the Vietnam War was conducted with an unacceptable degree of both wrongdoing and lack of candor, because even its very aims (war of attrition vs. commitment to victory) were covered up.

Many of the details of the Pentagon Papers seem to have been forgotten, or perhaps were never even learned, by the vast majority of people (myself included). For example, in doing research for this post, I learned (or re-learned) that the Papers were actually a special study commissioned by Johnson’s Secretary of Defense McNamara, and only concerned actions of the US government up to and including the Johnson administration, from whom Papers were kept secret:

Thirty-six analysts””half of them active-duty military officers, the rest academics and civilian federal employees””worked on the study. The analysts largely used existing files in the Office of the Secretary of Defense and did no interviews or consultations with the armed forces, the White House, or other federal agencies to keep the study secret from others, including National Security Advisor[sic] Walt W. Rostow.

This is really quite extraordinary in and of itself. What’s more, Johnson and his Secretary of State Dean Rusk only learned of the Papers’ existence and content when they were published by the Times in 1971. By then, of course, it was Nixon who was in charge of the Vietnam War, in what I’ve called the “second act.” And it was Nixon who was unsuccessful in the famous lawsuit that went to the Supreme Court, in which he fought the Times to prohibit the publication the Papers.

The publication of the Papers helped solidify certain conceptions about government wrongdoing and lack of candor. But be careful what you think you know:

Journalist Edward Jay Epstein has shown that in crucial respects, the Times coverage [of the Papers] was at odds with what the documents actually said. The lead of the Times story was that in 1964 the Johnson administration reached a consensus to bomb North Vietnam at a time when the president was publicly saying that he would not bomb the north. In fact, the Pentagon papers actually said that, in 1964, the White House had rejected the idea of bombing the north. The Times went on to assert that American forces had deliberately provoked the alleged attacks on its ships in the Gulf of Tonkin to justify a congressional resolution supporting our war efforts. In fact, the Pentagon papers said the opposite: there was no evidence that we had provoked whatever attacks may have occurred.

Plus é§a change, plus c’est la méªme chose.

Posted in Press, Vietnam | 7 Replies

Germans say “bring back the mark!”

The New Neo Posted on December 29, 2010 by neoDecember 29, 2010

And one can hardly blame them:

“The return of the mark? I can imagine that we could see the rise of a German Tea Party focusing on precisely this issue,” says Thomas Mayer, chief economist at Deutsche Bank, referring to the conservative American political movement…

Pollsters like Matthias Jung from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen say that they can imagine the formation of a protest movement coalescing around euro-related fears. “The government has to prove that the bailouts for Greece and Ireland serve our own needs in Germany,” says Jung. “If the billions in aid are not convincingly justified, it will lead to a legitimation crisis.”

Germans are especially afraid of the specter of inflation, which haunts them from the time in the 20s when a stamp ended up costing—well, take a look:

The rapid increase in German inflation can be seen in the postage stamps that were issued during this period…In 1920 the highest valued stamp issued was for four marks. In 1923 the denominations were changing so rapidly that the post office could not design new stamps fast enough and resorted to using old dies and then overprinting them with new values. The highest value reached in 1923 was for 50 billion (50,000,000,000) marks.

Posted in Finance and economics | 9 Replies

Here’s a favorite nightmare

The New Neo Posted on December 28, 2010 by neoDecember 28, 2010

A ski lift derails in Maine, sending skiers plummeting up to 30 feet and injuring several. The accident was attributed to high winds, which were clocked at around 40 miles per hour.

All of New England has experienced strong winds lately to go along with the cold. I was out walking yesterday for about five minutes, and the wind made it an utterly miserable experience that I was all too happy to end, pronto. I’m not a skier, but I have a question for those skiers among you: why would anyone venture out to ski recreationally when the weather’s like that? The article said that 220 people were on the lift at the time of the accident—all of them insane.

Posted in Baseball and sports | 16 Replies

That chickpea and spinach dish

The New Neo Posted on December 28, 2010 by neoDecember 28, 2010

I’ve had some requests for the recipe I mentioned in this post on spinach. And because I aim to please, here you go:

olive oil, to taste
small onion, chopped
garlic to taste, chopped
a few tablespoons of tomato paste
salt to taste
a pinch of sugar
can of chickpeas, drained
fresh spinach (as much as you like, but I usually add a package)

Obviously, quantities are approximate. Saute the onions and garlic in the oil on medium heat until soft. Add tomato paste, salt, and sugar, stir, and saute a few more minutes. Add chickpeas and stir. And spinach and stir. Lower heat and cook, stirring every now and then, till spinach is nicely wilted and all the tastes blended. It can be just a few minutes or an hour or so; as you wish. If you cook it the longer times, you might have to add a tiny bit of water now and then because it can stick. But be careful; you don’t want it to get too liquid.

Serve alone, or over rice. It’s even good cold the next day—good, and good for you. Now go and sin no more.

Posted in Food | 13 Replies

One thing we can “expect” about Obamacare…

The New Neo Posted on December 28, 2010 by neoDecember 28, 2010

…is that nearly everything in it won’t go as was “expected.”

Unless, that is, you’re a curmudgeonly unbeliever in the concept of the free lunch, as I am. Then you might have expected things such as this to happen.

Posted in Health care reform | 3 Replies

What do birthers want?

The New Neo Posted on December 28, 2010 by neoDecember 28, 2010

Memo to Governor Neil Abercrombie of Hawaii: many of the folks who would like Obama to produce his Hawaiian long form birth certificate don’t actually think he was born abroad. They just would like him to properly document the fact that he was born here, since his father was a foreign non-citizen and there are rumors that the baby was born elsewhere, and the most official and complete document—the long form—has never been released.

They also believe that proper proof of Hawaiian birth does not consist of the assertion by Governor Abercrombie that he knew Obama’s parents personally and saw them take the baby to social events in Hawaii.

Many (perhaps even most?) of so-called “birthers” are more like “proofers.” They would merely like the long form certificate to be released and the whole controversy put to rest. Abercrombie may believe he’s foiling them by offering to release it, but he would actually be fulfilling their request.

Plenty of people critical of the birthers/proofers contend that they’re racist, demanding of Obama what they would never demand of someone who isn’t black. But there’s nothing particularly unique here. Similar issues were raised regarding John McCain in 2008, and not many people raised a fuss about it. The issue for McCain was slightly different, since both his parents were indisputably American citizens; the question was whether his birth while his father was serving in the military in the Panama Canal Zone qualified him as a “natural-born citizen.”

What’s more, there were quite a few predecessors in controversy, all of them white:

The last Arizona Republican to be a presidential nominee, Barry Goldwater, faced the issue. He was born in the Arizona territory in 1909, three years before it became a state…[The question] also surfaced in the 1968 candidacy of George Romney, who was born in Mexico, but again was not tested. The former Connecticut politician Lowell P. Weicker Jr., born in Paris, sought a legal analysis when considering the presidency, an aide said, and was assured he was eligible. Franklin D. Roosevelt Jr. was once viewed as a potential successor to his father, but was seen by some as ineligible since he had been born on Campobello Island in Canada. The 21st president, Chester A. Arthur, whose birthplace is Vermont, was rumored to have actually been born in Canada, prompting some to question his eligibility.

[NOTE: Is Abercrombie claiming to have been Stanley Dunham Obama’s labor coach here?:

Maybe I’m the only one in the country that could look you right in the eye right now and tell you, ‘I was here when that baby was born.’ “

I would guess what he really means is that he was in Hawaii when the baby was born, rather than the delivery room.]

Posted in Obama | 40 Replies

The transformation of spinach

The New Neo Posted on December 27, 2010 by neoDecember 27, 2010

The other day I made a favorite dish: chickpeas with spinach, onions, garlic, and tomato paste. As I cooked it, I mused on how easy it’s become.

First, the canned chickpeas. Yeah, the soaked-and-then-simmered ones that you do yourself are better, but who has the time? And it’s hardly necessary; the canned ones (Goya, Progresso, what-have-you) are awfully good and tremendously simple.

But it’s the spinach that really brings a smile to my lips. Those of you of a certain age, like me, can remember what spinach used to be like. Big old leaves with fat tough stems that had to be picked over. And above all, the grit, ah the grit!

Spinach grit was true grit. A fine sandy gravel pervaded the whole shebang. Washing was the answer, but what was required was no ordinary washing. Several soakings and rinsings only got the biggest chunks; somehow a fine dusting always remained to set the teeth on edge.

As for drying the spinach (necessary for certain recipes), in those pre-salad-spinner days that task required some doing, too, and lots and lots of paper towels. And before there were paper towels, what did people do?

My guess is that they didn’t eat spinach salad. But now we can, with ease—and with the help of those packages of pre-washed, pre-spun, pre-everything-but-eaten, tender and lovely baby spinach leaves.

Posted in Food | 11 Replies

Most admired man in USA/Gallup poll

The New Neo Posted on December 27, 2010 by neoDecember 27, 2010

And the winner is…President Obama! By a mile.

These polls are fairly useless, though, since they tend to measure name recognition, and the presidency is the first thing that pops into people’s heads. Nevertheless, I’m sure there are a lot of people who truly admire Obama. I, however, am not one of them.

If you want the actual stats, 22% of respondents named Obama. And 5% named Bush, who was number 2. Number 3 was Bill Clinton with 4% (are we detecting a pattern here?) with Hillary the leading woman (17%) and Sarah Palin second (12%).

One in 10 of respondents chose a relative. But the biggest numbers were tallied by those sensible (or cynical, or spacey) folks who refused to pick a “most admired” at all: 25% for the male category and 22% for the female.

Posted in Obama | 8 Replies

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