Obama is trying to lower expectations about his upcoming performance in the debates:
“Governor Romney – he’s a good debater,” said the president. “I’m just okay.”…
“[Obama] has had less time to prepare than we anticipated,” said [Obama campaign press secretary] Psaki. “It’s difficult to schedule significant blocks of time when you’re the president, regardless of your party.”…
In rare praise of Romney, the Obama campaign spokeswoman said: “He’s been disciplined and has been able to give short answers, so we know that’s a strength.”
One thing you can count on is that Obama doesn’t think he’s “just okay” as a debater. The phoniness of his rare attempt at humility is transparent, and I’m not even sure it’s meant to fool many people. Maybe instead it’s intended as sarcasm; I don’t know, because I haven’t heard the audio.
I don’t know about you, but as I’ve written before, I dislike political debates and speeches. My preferred mode of processing such information is not auditory. So I usually find watching the debates a chore.
But it’s worse than that. I long ago learned that with debates, the winner is in the eye of the beholder. So many times I’d find myself thinking my guy had won, only to hear that there was hardly ever any objectivity, and people tended to think their guy had won no matter what. The press likewise, and since the vast majority are deep in the tank for Obama, their opinion on the debates is a foregone conclusion.
I suppose they could surprise me, although I doubt it.
Debates make me very nervous. There are a couple of reasons for this. One is my over-active imagination; I can’t help but put myself in their places, and knowing how nervous I would be be under similar circumstances, it always amazes me that they can muster up the cojones to speak at all. This, I know, is an absurd reaction on my part, because this is what politicians do—it’s their meat and potatoes, and they are both probably quite at home in the venue.
But my nervousness goes beyond projecting myself into their places. It always seems to me that the debates don’t mean a whole lot—sound bites and surface answers to surface questions—but offer vast opportunities to put one’s foot in it in a way that, although often meaningless, can have hugely negative repercussions. Think of Ford and Poland, Bush I glancing at his watch, or Dukakis and the death penalty for his wife’s hypothetical rapist/murderer.
So I tend to be on edge while I listen, pacing around and almost unable to watch. Add to that the fact that, if you believe the polls (and although I don’t necessarily believe the extent of the Obama lead, I do believe he’s slightly ahead and that the debates could loom large for Romney and the undecideds), it seems Romney must make a good showing in the debates, whereas Obama only has to avoid major slip-ups.
The debates are one of those occasions when I wish I were a drinking person.
[NOTE: Think Ford made a major boo-boo when he said, during a debate against Carter, that “There is no Soviet dominance of Eastern Europe”? It’s widely thought that the remark cost him the election.
In 1989, Ford explained what had seemed truly inexplicable:
Well, you may have read the little piece I did, the op-ed piece for the Washington Post about a month ago which I was very pleased to write at the request of Meg Greenfield who said to me on the phone, “well, I think you got a bad deal from the press and with all the things that are happening, would you like to write an op-ed piece?” And I said I’d love to. Well, in that piece I go into the details of what happened as the debate moved along. There’s no question I did not adequately explain what I was thinking. I felt very strongly, and I, of course, do so today, that regardless of the number of Soviet armored divisions in Poland, the Russians would never dominate the Polish spirit. That’s what I should have said. I simply left out the fact that at that time in 1976, the Russians had about 10 to 15 divisions in Poland. Well, of course the presence of those divisions indicates a domination physically of the Poles, but despite that military occupation of Poland by the Soviets, it never in any way ever destroyed the strong, nationalistic spirit of the Polish people. And I felt, and of course, I’m pleased now, the Poles are going to throw the Russians out. And, the quicker they do it, the better. And I’m proud of what they’re doing, and, of course, I get a little satisfaction that maybe I was right in 1976.
Ford was not a seasoned campaigner on the national front. He’d been catapulted into the presidency by a series of errors on the part of the previous administration: VP Agnew’s forced resignation, Ford’s own appointment by Nixon to fill the spot, and then Watergate, which (I believe, unless I’m forgetting something) made him the first and still the only president to achieve the office without having been part of a national campaign. He was not an especially popular president, nor did he have much debate experience. It’s not surprising that he wasn’t especially good at articulating what he actually meant.
Another interesting fact about Ford, at least according to this interview he gave, is that around the time of the Republican Convention in 1976 he was thirty-one points behind Carter in the polls. Wow. He said that was why in his acceptance speech he challenged Carter to a debate, the first presidential one since the famous Nixon-Kennedy debates in 1960.
One could say it’s ironic, except that it’s also true that Ford rapidly closed the gap with Carter and the result was remarkably close. So I wonder about the common wisdom that that debate hurt him so much:
In the end, Carter won the election, receiving 50.1% of the popular vote and 297 electoral votes compared with 48.0% and 240 electoral votes for Ford. The election was close enough that had fewer than 25,000 votes shifted in Ohio and Wisconsin ”“ both of which neighbored his home state ”“ Ford would have won the electoral vote with 276 votes to 261 for Carter. Though he lost, in the three months between the Republican National Convention and the election Ford managed to close what was once a 34-point Carter lead to a 2-point margin. Despite his defeat, Ford carried 27 states versus 23 carried by Carter.
See this for more about the course of the 1976, and whether the debates helped or hurt Ford.]