I have no idea whether the revelations of the last week or so will end up eroding Obama’s support in any way that matters. But I do know that they appear to have presented him with the worst set of political problems since his presidency began, and at least have the potential for finally making the American people distrust him in a major way.
It’s not Benghazi that makes the difference. Benghazi, important as it is to us blogosphere wonks, is just too complex, too distant in time and place, and therefore too difficult for most people to process and relate to. And it’s probably not any single one of the rest of the machinations, either, although they come closer: the IRS audits, the AP press phone records being obtained by the Department of Justice, or the “unusual” fundraising methods Sebelius used in an attempt to fund Obamacare (a scandal-in-the-making that has so far raised less of a ruckus than the others, but which could become more prominent with time). It’s the picture presented by the whole thing, the sense of something very much not right with the Obama administration, its vaunted “transparency,” its sneaky and heavy use of power, and the atmosphere it has created in government as a whole. Simply put, these actions—whether or not Obama personally ordered them—foster distrust and feed into people’s already-existing paranoia about possible government excesses.
The IRS investigations, especially, may have this effect. As many people have pointed out, everybody hates the IRS. And so the IRS audit of conservative groups is both easy to understand and easy to fear even if a person isn’t conservative him/herself. As for secretly invading AP reporters’ privacy—including their personal cell phone records—to find a leaker, that’s a case of the Obama administration actually doing what many people feared about Bush. The airwaves are full of people explaining that the information could, and should, have been obtained in a number of simpler ways, and that this was way too broad a fishing expedition.
What’s more, the administration has by this action bitten the very hand that feeds them—the AP, which has been nothing if not kind to Obama. What an excellent way to turn allies in the press into enemies.
Whether or not Obama was aware of all or most of these goings-on (and I believe he was), the multiple and almost simultaneous disclosures create a strong suspicion that he was aware—either that, or that he has been incompetent at reining his people in, and/or has created an atmosphere in which his underlings feel they can flex their powerful government muscles without ever being checked. As William A. Jacobson of Legal Insurrection asks, “The whole fish is rotten, but the head doesn’t know?”
[ADDENDUM: If you’re having trouble sorting all the Troubles out, here’s a guide.]




