One of Israel’s great strengths is how much it values human life. But it leads to one of its great weaknesses, at least in the tactical sense: hostage/prisoner exchanges. It’s not the only method Israel has used to bring hostages home, but it’s a major one:
In the past, Israel’s response to Hamas hostage-taking incidents has included negotiations, military operations, blockades, targeted assassinations of Hamas leaders and militants, and even larger-scale military campaigns, depending on the specific circumstances and severity of the situation. Negotiations have been used to secure the release of hostages, often involving prisoner exchanges, while military operations have been employed for rescue missions, sometimes resulting in casualties. The most notable case was of Gilad Shalit in 2011, who was released in exchange for over 1000 Palestinian prisoners in Israel.
The Shalit exchange is not the only one involving lopsided numbers, but it’s probably the most well known. In addition, some of the Palestinians released in that exchange are known to have killed more Israelis in subsequent attacks; that link mentioned six Israelis killed, and it was written in 2015, only four years after the exchange. No doubt there have been many more victims since then at the hands of the released terrorists, probably including victims of the October 7 attack.
Previous Israeli hostage situations have involved small numbers of Israelis. The present one is different; it features at least 200 hostages, according to current report. One of the hostages has been made the subject of a video in which a 21-year-old Israeli/French citizen says all is well, and that her injured arm has been medically treated but that she wants to go home:
The mother of Mia Schem, a 21-year-old French-Israeli woman being held by Hamas, appealed for her release on Tuesday, calling her detention and that of an estimated 200 hostages “a crime against humanity”.
Keren Schem told journalists in Jerusalem: “I didn’t know if she’s dead or alive until yesterday. All I knew is that she might be kidnapped. I’m begging the world to bring my baby back home. She only went to a party, to a festival party to have some fun. Now she’s in Gaza.”
Hamas had released a video of Schem, who wastaken hostage during the devastating attack on Israel. In the footage, Schem, whose injured arm is shown being treated by an unidentified medical worker, asks to be returned to her family as quickly as possible.
On Tuesday, the French president, Emmanuel Macron, described the video as “an odious act”. The Elysée said Macron, who is on an official visit to Albania, demanded her unconditional release.
“It is an ignominy to take innocent people hostage and put them on show in this odious way,” the presidential palace quoted Macron as saying.
He can “demand” all he wants, but she and the others are valuable commodities to the Gazan terrorists (as well as victims who make them feel powerful):
A top Hamas leader said on Monday the group “has what it needs” to free all Palestinians in Israel’s jails, indicating the militant group may try to use the Israelis it kidnapped as bargaining chips to secure the release of Palestinian prisoners.
Soon after Hamas official Khaled Meshaal made the remarks on the captives, who include Israelis and non-Israelis kidnapped by Hamas on Oct. 7, the group’s armed wing separately said the non-Israelis were “guests” who would be released “when circumstances allow”.
Schem is a sort of twofer, as are quite a few of the hostages: both an Israeli and a foreign national. She is being trotted out as a showpiece to demonstrate the great magnanimity and humanity of her captors. And probably some morally compromised people will buy it.
The larger message is that one of the main goals of Hamas in its October 7 action was not only to kill and torture, but to gain the release of the six thousand terrorists Israel has struggled so long to track down, try, and hold in its prisons. I have no idea what the Israelis will do, but what they have done in the past has – very unfortunately – encouraged the taking of more hostages.