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COVID-19: making predictions

The New Neo Posted on May 12, 2020 by neoMay 12, 2020

I have gotten to the point where I no longer put any trust in the prognostications of scientists about COVID-19 and the comparison of various social policy tactics for dealing with it. These people have lost credibility – and I … Continue reading →

Posted in Finance and economics, Health, Science | Tagged COVID-19 | 102 Replies

I’m getting tired of people playing fast and loose with statistics

The New Neo Posted on April 23, 2020 by neoApril 23, 2020

Reading that title, you might say, “Oh yeah, neo? Get used to it, because it will always happen.” I know, I know. But with this COVID thing, it’s more obvious because nearly everyone is crunching numbers and opining. And that … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, Science | Tagged COVID-19 | 118 Replies

In which Michael Moore proves his ignorance to be abysmal

The New Neo Posted on April 22, 2020 by neoApril 22, 2020

I never considered Michael Moore to be a mental giant. But I always thought he was a basically intelligent person, and certainly one who’s smart about manipulating facts to make effective propaganda films. But he seems until recently to have … Continue reading →

Posted in Science | Tagged Michael Moore | 66 Replies

A figure we need to know…

The New Neo Posted on April 22, 2020 by neoApril 22, 2020

…is the percentage of COVID-19 deaths that involve very debilitated people in nursing homes. Some states are releasing those numbers, although even then they tend to not be easily accessible – for example, Minnesota, which Scott Johnson of Powerline writes … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, Science | Tagged COVID-19 | 69 Replies

Suddenly, the Chinese lab origin theory of COVID-19 becomes more than a baseless right-wing conspiracy myth

The New Neo Posted on April 15, 2020 by neoApril 15, 2020

You may have noticed that I haven’t written much if at all about COVID-19’s origins, despite having written a ton about the disease. Was it from a wet market? Was it from a lab? My opinion was that it was … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, Press, Science | Tagged China, COVID-19 | 63 Replies

COVID-19 questions with no answers

The New Neo Posted on April 11, 2020 by neoApril 11, 2020

Alex Berenson has been active lately on some of the Fox opinion shows, and every now and then I’ve watched his appearances. He’s an interesting guy; I wrote about him previously in this post about marijuana and its effects. Berenson … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, Liberty, Science | Tagged COVID-19 | 38 Replies

Treatments that show promise…

The New Neo Posted on April 9, 2020 by neoApril 9, 2020

…don’t always pan out. But this definitely shows promise for those COVID patients who are in dire straits: Six critically ill coronavirus patients in Israel who are considered high-risk for mortality have been treated with Pluristem’s placenta-based cell-therapy product and … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, Israel/Palestine, Science | Tagged COVID-19 | 2 Replies

“Just anecdotal”…

The New Neo Posted on April 8, 2020 by neoApril 8, 2020

…but powerful nevertheless: However, from everything I’ve heard and read, the medication combination is probably most effective if given before things really go south. If a person is already on a ventilator, for example, the amount of lung damage that … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, Politics, Science | 62 Replies

AGW and COVID and plague: observations on models and interventions

The New Neo Posted on April 4, 2020 by neoApril 4, 2020

Modeling can analyze data about complex systems and make predictions. But the predictive value of modeling is hampered by the fact that models are only as good as the assumptions and statistics behind them. Models have become ubiquitous in government … Continue reading →

Posted in Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe, Health, History, Science | 114 Replies

“Underlying conditions” and COVID-19

The New Neo Posted on April 2, 2020 by neoApril 2, 2020

This problem has bothered me from the start: WHAT PERCENTAGE OF AMERICANS IN GENERAL HAVE AN UNDERLYING CONDITION? 73% of Americans Hospitalised With COVID-19 Had an Underlying Condition, Says CDC. No numbers, but there’s this: “The CDC noted that many … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, Press, Science, Uncategorized | Tagged COVID-19 | 79 Replies

Well, this is encouraging

The New Neo Posted on April 2, 2020 by neoApril 2, 2020

Not a controlled study, but still it’s good news: Dr. Stephen Smith, founder of The Smith Center for Infectious Diseases and Urban Health, said on “The Ingraham Angle” on Wednesday night that he is optimistic about the use of antimalarial … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, Science | 36 Replies

COVID-19 models, COVID needs, and New York

The New Neo Posted on April 1, 2020 by neoApril 1, 2020

I came across these charts the other day, and I’ve been trying very hard to figure out certain things about them. The charts are an attempt to compare the projected need for ventilators, hospital beds, and ICU beds with the … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, Science | Tagged COVID-19 | 114 Replies

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