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Will New York be the comeback kid?

The New Neo Posted on April 21, 2020 by neoApril 21, 2020

One opinion in the NY Times: The very features that make New York attractive to businesses, workers and tourists — Broadway, the subway system, world-class restaurants, and innumerable cultural institutions — were among the hardest-hit in the pandemic. And they … Continue reading →

Posted in Finance and economics, Health, History | Tagged COVID-19 | 34 Replies

Using “history” to push the continuation of social distancing

The New Neo Posted on April 16, 2020 by neoApril 16, 2020

Some people clearly want draconian forms of social distancing to go on and on and on. Some of them probably say this from fear. Some of them probably say it because of a desire to control people. Some of them … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, History | 28 Replies

Part I: is this “just a bad flu”?

The New Neo Posted on April 9, 2020 by neoApril 9, 2020

I see it over and over: assertions that COVID-19 is just “a bad flu,” and accusations that those who say that are wrong, wrong, wrong. Both statements annoy me – but then, maybe I’m just getting testy from being cooped … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, History | Tagged COVID-19 | 97 Replies

AGW and COVID and plague: observations on models and interventions

The New Neo Posted on April 4, 2020 by neoApril 4, 2020

Modeling can analyze data about complex systems and make predictions. But the predictive value of modeling is hampered by the fact that models are only as good as the assumptions and statistics behind them. Models have become ubiquitous in government … Continue reading →

Posted in Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe, Health, History, Science | 114 Replies

Flu vs. COVID-19: worrying about hospital shortages is nothing new

The New Neo Posted on March 28, 2020 by neoMarch 28, 2020

Commenter “Montage” writes: Covid-19 is not just like the flu, which some want you to believe. In all the years of the flu we didn’t have hospital bed shortages or a worry about the number of ventilators that will be … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, History, Politics | 45 Replies

Then and now: COVID-19, H2N2, worst cases, and the economy

The New Neo Posted on March 18, 2020 by neoApril 8, 2020

Here are some estimates for the toll COVID-19 is likely to take in the US. Make of them what you will: One model from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) suggested that between 160 million and 210 million … Continue reading →

Posted in Disaster, Election 2020, Finance and economics, Health, History, Uncategorized | Tagged COVID-19 | 69 Replies

So here’s my question for all you epidemiologists and infectious disease experts out there –

The New Neo Posted on March 17, 2020 by neoMarch 17, 2020

Wouldn’t it be better to have only high-risk people stay home? People over 60 and those with pre-existing conditions? That way, if all those at low risk kept mingling, a lot of them would get a mild flu and herd … Continue reading →

Posted in Disaster, Health, History, Uncategorized | 44 Replies

The 1619 Project don’t need no steenking historians

The New Neo Posted on March 10, 2020 by neoMarch 10, 2020

Worth reading: In fact, a small industry has grown up consisting of historians and historically minded social scientists who are, one by one, refuting all of the serious claims of the 1619 Project… Since the launch of The 1619 Project, … Continue reading →

Posted in Education, History, Politics, Race and racism | 42 Replies

Aspirin and the 1918 flu death rate

The New Neo Posted on February 28, 2020 by neoFebruary 28, 2020

Recently there’s been some talk (including in the comments on this blog) of a theory that high doses of aspirin played a key role in exacerbating the number of deaths in the 1918 flu pandemic: The high case-fatality rate—especially among … Continue reading →

Posted in Health, History, Science | 9 Replies

On coronavirus (COVID-19) so far [Part I]

The New Neo Posted on February 27, 2020 by neoFebruary 27, 2020

[NOTE: I’ve decided this needs to be at least a two-parter, because there’s so much to be said. Here’s Part I.] I haven’t written too many posts on the new coronavirus (COVID-19) because we know quite little, and much of … Continue reading →

Posted in Disaster, Health, History, Science | 28 Replies

Reading Maus

The New Neo Posted on February 27, 2020 by neoFebruary 27, 2020

[NOTE: Years ago I downsized and got rid of a lot of books. But since I’d had a ton of them to begin with, I’ve still got a lot, although nothing like the original number. And of course, I keep … Continue reading →

Posted in History, Jews, Literature and writing | 6 Replies

Dueling “narratives”: 1776 vs. 1619

The New Neo Posted on February 19, 2020 by neoFebruary 19, 2020

[Hat tip: commenter Artfldgr.] A group called the Woodson Center has launched a counter-project to the NY Times’ “1619 Project” falsehoods: As long as the perpetrators of race grievance that are represented by the 1619 Project are permitted to go … Continue reading →

Posted in Education, History, Race and racism | 7 Replies

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