Modeling can analyze data about complex systems and make predictions. But the predictive value of modeling is hampered by the fact that models are only as good as the assumptions and statistics behind them. Models have become ubiquitous in government … Continue reading →
A person gets a cough, a fever, fatigue. Ordinarily, that doesn’t engender much alarm. But this year of COVID is different. Almost anyone with those symptoms believes he or she might have it. Depending on the state or city, and … Continue reading →
That is, first-person accounts from someone described as having COVID. This one is from a young woman in Brooklyn who writes that her entire family came down with it. But as I read it, one thing in particular leaped out … Continue reading →
This sort of observation is not uncommon with COVID-19: Slovakia’s first death was an 84 yo woman with a major heart attack, who was positive for the virus. But primary death was heart attack. Some comment has a list of … Continue reading →
This problem has bothered me from the start: WHAT PERCENTAGE OF AMERICANS IN GENERAL HAVE AN UNDERLYING CONDITION? 73% of Americans Hospitalised With COVID-19 Had an Underlying Condition, Says CDC. No numbers, but there’s this: “The CDC noted that many … Continue reading →
Some of the red tape surrounding the development of new treatments and tests for disease is designed to protect us from rushed and/or botched jobs. But some of it is the result of the natural tendencies of government agencies to … Continue reading →
Not a controlled study, but still it’s good news: Dr. Stephen Smith, founder of The Smith Center for Infectious Diseases and Urban Health, said on “The Ingraham Angle” on Wednesday night that he is optimistic about the use of antimalarial … Continue reading →
I came across these charts the other day, and I’ve been trying very hard to figure out certain things about them. The charts are an attempt to compare the projected need for ventilators, hospital beds, and ICU beds with the … Continue reading →
I’ve read quite a bit about South Korea’s approach to COVID, which involved neither a lockdown nor a shelter-in-place edict. Despite that, South Korea got good results in terms of slowing its deaths down, even though it was stricken quite … Continue reading →
When I write “media misdirection,” I’m not just talking about the hate-Trump or the anti-US or the pro-China propaganda, although that is certainly commonplace and damaging as well as purposeful. I’m talking about rather neutral scientific articles such as this … Continue reading →
What wonderful people: Kelly will be among a few dozen nurses and doctors from Samaritan’s Purse, a nondenominational evangelical Christian humanitarian organization, working at a field hospital set up in Central Park — across the street from Mount Sinai Hospital … Continue reading →
There are so many good articles around that I despair of doing them all justice with a full discussion, so here’s a short roundup of some of the best or most interesting. (1) Germany has a plan to start testing … Continue reading →