Obama’s approval rating and race
The latest Gallup poll on Obama’s job approval rating among whites, blacks, and Hispanics highlights the continuing huge differential in opinion between whites and blacks: 38% of whites presently approve of the job Obama is doing while 88% of blacks approve. Hispanics hover in-between, and are closer to the approval figure for whites than for blacks.
Here’s the chart:
At the beginning of the Obama administration, the three groups started out not all that far apart from each other: 88% job approval from blacks, 74% from Hispanics, and 66% from whites. But a fall-off in approval from the highs of the earlier months of Obama’s term of office is clear for all three groups. For blacks, the slope of the drop is very small—from consistent highs in the low 90s to 88%—but it nevertheless exists. For Hispanics, the drop is steeper—from a starting point of 74% and a high shortly thereafter of 84%, the figure has gone more or less steadily downward to the present 54%, a rather startlingly low number considering how assiduously Obama has courted and catered to Hispanics lately (could it possibly be that many of our Hispanic citizens aren’t so all-fired happy about Obama’s championing of their illegal brethren?).
The slope for whites is the steepest of all. It is the only group that has experienced a continual drop, with only a single minor 1-point uptick along the way. Down, down, down, it’s dropped, at a steady pace that can be graphed almost as a straight line pointing southward, a sort of long ramp.
Did I say “straight line pointing southward?” That’s the shape of Obama’s overall job approval rating, as well:
What does it all mean? It seems significant to me that Obama’s job approval ratings don’t seem to have the up and down fluctuations that might reflect approval or disapproval of the policy du jour. Does the steady downward slope in all groups represent a far more basic and global disillusionment with this particular president?
The answer of course, is to continue making heterosexual whites the minority. As fast as possible, without actually killing us, that is what is being done.
Just had a conversation with a partner of a company I do freelancing; an Asian woman, very much into “minority benefits” to get an edge in business acquisition; voting Dem for 10 years at least, etc etc.
She surprised me with vocal disapproval of Obama as someone with zero real-life experience. “He never managed anything on his own!” she said.
tz-tz-tz…is love affair over?
You are incorrect about a trend existing for black voters. The numbers are all statistically the same. There is no trend in this demographic.
Tatyana,
I’d be interested in knowing if that Asian woman has had a core belief change.
It’s not about Obama to me.
Is she getting it? Is she aware of the U.S. obligations? or current debt?
Does she believe her positions in the past were not “equal opportunity”?
Henry,
That is the trend. Solid support.
The trend is that Antarctica has been colder than all of the other continents…
Baklava: I don’t think she connects anything else to politics besides business advantage. She’s a very shrewd businesswoman, and would use any means to get a leg into the door, so to speak – if it’s “gender benefits”, then she’d emphasize her gender. If the bidding was reserved “for architects with left eye blue and right -black only”, she’d go get an eye operation.
She lives in Katonah, in Westchester: look at the median income and the price of homes there. A limousine liberals’ reserve…
I think she associates recession and the way it hurts her business directly with current administration. Other than that, she didn’t learn any lessons, I’m afraid…
That decline without policy blips looks like a slow motion revelation of Obama being an Al Sharpton in a Tom Hanks facade. .
That’s what I figured.
We are having a hard time actually getting our message to the voters…
This distaste for Obama is not translating into an ah ha moment that is large enough to turn this country around.
Yet
Henry Bowman: I agree that the changes for blacks are not necessarily statistically significant, and I don’t believe I indicated I thought they were (I don’t know the n, so I’m not sure, but I assume they’re not). But at least the trend is in the same direction as the others, and could become statistically significant over time.
I wouldn’t sit on a hot stove till it does, though.
McCain’s name was on the last amnesty attempt and look where that got him.
Sorry to get picky, Neo, but the SLOPE for the black approval is zero. i.e. there has been no change in their support level over time.
For Hispanics I get a -1.05 app/month, and for whites I get -1.29 app/month slopes respectively.
Now we can play the global warming game since we have put a linear trend line on the data:
Projecting into the future, White approval will be at 31.3%, Hispanic at 50.9% in November 2010. By November of 2012, whites will be at 0.36%, and Hispanic will be at 29.6 % , and blacks will remain at 88%. 😉
And as a follow-up: the slope for the overall approval is the same as for the Hispanics; -1.05.
Projections are Nov 2010.. 42.8% and Nov 2012..
17.6%.
Fun with statistics.
The answer of course, is to continue making heterosexual whites the minority. As fast as possible, without actually killing us, that is what is being done.
They are actively wiping out blacks *by* killing them–via abortion. Black babies are aborted at far higher percentages than the number of blacks in the overall population. Of course, the founders of Planned Parenthood wanted this to happen.
Maybe they are pinning their hopes on high numbers of Hispanics after amnesty.
About 50 years ago people in the south figured out that if all the blacks are voting for candidate A and you are not black then vote for candidate B.
Barb- Got any numbers or references for support? Not doubting your word; I’d just like to see more.
http://www.blackgenocide.org/cdc_black_abortions.html
However, the abortion ratio for black women (472 per 1,000 live births) was 2.9 times higher than the ratio for white women (161 per 1,000). Examined another way, nearly half of all pregnancies among black women end in abortion while just 16 percent of pregnancies among while women end in abortion
Tom, I also have some more links for you, but I suspect that comment is in moderation because of length and/or multiple links.
http://lashawnbarber.com/archives/2008/09/29/choices/
Last week I blogged about a study released by Planned Parenthood’s research arm, the Guttmacher Institute. Abortion rates have dropped to their lowest point in 30 years, but black women are still overrepresented among the statistics. In 2004, black women aborted at five times the rate of white women.
And in case you wanted something to back up the Margaret Sanger and Planned Parent association:
http://lashawnbarber.com/archives/2009/06/16/margaret-sangers-negroes/
In 1939, Sanger created the “Negro Project,” in which she enlisted the services of black ministers to share her solution to the problem: contraception, sterilization, and abortion.
physics guy: I was throwing out the very first figure for the black voters. Arbitrary, I know. But it gives a teeny tiny slope then, doesn’t it? Although not a significant one.
It’s been a long time since I took statistics.
Barb:
Your 1st link cites 2004 data, with blacks aborting at 2.9x whites. The LaShawn link claims 5x in 2004 without a cited source.
Newer data would be good. One year does not a trend make.
Neo: see “standard deviation”; There is no statistical change among black approval over time, none. See my post on another of your recent essays on my concern that Africans, whether here or there, are not democratically inclined.
I posted three other links, which disappeared, as I stated above. It told me I had already posted it, but I couldn’t see it. I’ll assume it is still in moderation land. Since I’ve given 5 links, I really don’t feel like searching any more to please you.
You need not try to “please” me. My point was that the 2004 data were twice cited, at least once incorrectly.
Barb,
Does your data also take into account that black teens are also over three time more likely to get pregnant than than white teens? Hmmm, three time as many pregnancies and three times as many abortions. Go figure.
Obama’s policies blow, and his administration is in over their heads. He’s spending us into a hole and he has no knowledge of economics.
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