1) So, they model how fast a disease should spread around the world and it is 25 or 26 days. That is with shortcuts whereas if it is totally random, it is 73 days to take over the entire world. Their “model” they are so excited about and believe in must be right but there is only conjecture in the video and no real world study.
Remember the Fauci CCP designed bioweapon Covid 19? 1st cases in China in October 2019 – my wife and I got it in October 2020 in Montana – so 365 days. We know the phony “vaccine” didn’t work. Now, remember, flights from China to the US were not limited until March 2020 – way, way too late to stop the spread. then within a few weeks everyone should have gotten it. We know social distancing was nonsense and so were masks as were shutdowns and a lot of the rest of the Totalitarian responses. So what happened to disrupt the “model?”
You would think someone in the interview would question their “model.” So, kind of like “Climate Models.” We know they have been overestimating temperatures with 100% consistency.
An open minded scientist(s) who believes in these complex connectivity models, like the people interviewed here should have questioned the basic premise, given this video is only 5 days old and Covid was years ago.
Anyway, why did Covid 19 take so long to infect people? I think I know why it spread so slowly but it has nothing to do with crude preventative measures of China and the developed world. I would be interested in a real world study of it, and if these scientists did that, they would the have to incorporate other premises and data into their “model.”
The producer of this show looks like it is “Veritasium” – you know, like its root Veritas, truth in Latin and Harvard’s motto. What is the real world of Harvard? Well, F.I.R.E studies US major universities as to their level of free expression. Harvard finishes last almost every year. I went to Harvard and the narrow mindedness of these very smart people is astounding and baffling at the same time as you would think the profs and the students would question things. Well, they are smug and the “science is settled” mentality at Harvard is alive and well. They don’t question a lot of things and that is also the reason that Covid 19 didn’t spread as fast as the model.
Wonder if these guys in the video can figure out why their model and Covid’s real world spread are so incredibly different. We await a new video…………..
I have a cousin who was a producer for Larry King back in the 90s, and that connection alone probably links me to most well known people in the world in less that 2 or 3 steps.
Mark Twain wrote a short story about this, but he overestimated the number of connections needed to get from the street boy to the king.
It’s pretty simple math though. If everyone is on a first-name basis with about 100 people, then there can’t be very many links in the chain between any two people because the worlds’ population isn’t large enough to support those kinds of numbers. The relationships have to overlap a lot. Much more so within a country’s borders.
There might be a few exceptions like North Korea where people there can’t easily form relationships outside North Korea. But if you can establish a link of first-name-basis relationships to Xi Jingping or Vladimir Putin, which might take like 8 links depending on the circles you run in, you can get to Kim Jong Un and then it would be just a few more hops to any other North Korean.
It’s the same logic that implies that some of your ancestors were related. Go back 30 generations to roughly the year 1200, you’d have to have a billion distinct ancestors and and that’s about 5 times as many people as were alive back then.
The meme war continues–https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KOOe-OcFQvA
I am a firm advocate of the death penalty for Iryna’s killer . . . notwithstanding neo’s eloquent argument against it.
They quote Steve Jobs: “It’s people who are crazy enough to think they can change the world, who do.”
I’m sure we can find lottery winners who say, “It’s people who are crazy enough to think they can win the lottery, who do.” Actually, Elizabeth Holmes said something like this.
There might be a few exceptions like North Korea where people there can’t easily form relationships outside North Korea.
Probably the only people on Earth that couldn’t be reached within a few hops would be the Sentinelese due to their isolationalism. Even individuals of largely isolated tribes deep in the forests of the Amazon or New Guinea likely have enough contact to be within the human network within 8 hops.
@LTEC:I’m sure we can find lottery winners who say, “It’s people who are crazy enough to think they can win the lottery, who do.”
I don’t know the name for it but it also might be the fallacy that if x% of A are B then x% of B are also A. Tons of people say things like that all the time and don’t even realize it. Job’s quote is in this mold: “100% of those who change the world are crazy enough to think they can”… so other people take away that he said “100% of those who are crazy enough to think they can change the world, do.”
Saw confirmed that Bari Weiss will be editor-in-chief at CBS News. I have to think that putting a progressive in charge of news reporting has been tried before and I cannot imagine it will deliver better results than what we have so far seen. At best this is half a step back up the slippery slope….
Wiess is at least a more honest and open-minded progressive than her former colleagues at the NYT.
Here’s an interesting idea–an Englishman, fascinated since childhood with American cop cars, buys a retired American police car, a big V-8 Crown Vic, has it restored, including the correct police markings and sirens as in it’s former life in Warminster township, PA.
Then, he rents it out for occasions–weddings, etc.–plus travels around the UK, filming the native’s reaction to a big American cop car, drivers in the correct uniforms, exactly like the ones they’ve seen on TV.*
@Kate:Wiess is at least a more honest and open-minded progressive than her former colleagues at the NYT.
So were the ones in place twenty years ago that hired the ones in place today….
Listening to all the people who knew Charlie Kirk before he died, I suspect Charlie was closer than most people to most everyone else.
Apparently he could even call the President.
Jon Baker: “Apparently he could even call the President.”
At least if that president was a Republican?
Is there any evidence he had a meaningful dialog or debates with any big name Democrat? Presumably he was prepared to do that if the opportunity arose. The net result would probably still have been a “no sale”, but some light shining into their darkness might have been provided.
Supposedly four different space agencies have sensor packages orbiting Mars which would be able to capture images of and data on 3I/Atlas. yet, the only thing which has been released so far is just the blurry streak captured by a camera—which was not made to do this—on a Rover on the surface of Mars.
Does this lack of current and better data seem rather odd to you?
”Does this lack of current and better data seem rather odd to you?”
1) Atlas’s closest approach to Mars was on 03 October. It takes time to download data across interplanetary distances and process it.
2) The federal government has been shutdown since 01 October. So while the American Mars orbiters could have been and likely were programmed ahead of time to collect data on Atlas, no-one paid with federal funds could perform such downloading and processing or use equipment paid with federal funds to do so.
3) Atlas’s closest approach distance to Mars was 29 million km. The best camera orbiting Mars is the HiRISE camera on the American Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter. At that distance HiRISE images have a resolution of 30 km per pixel. Since Atlas is only 5.6 km long, its image will be only about 1/6 of a single pixel (i.e. nonexistent).
So were the ones in place twenty years ago that hired the ones in place today….
==
You mean Mary Mapes and Dan Rather?
@Art Deco:You mean Mary Mapes and Dan Rather?
No, because Rather was an anchor and correspondent and Mary Mapes was a news producer, and I was talking about who makes hiring decisions for the organization.
The Left’s long march happened because people who made hiring decisions thought their leftism wouldn’t get in the way of their professionalism. But leftists always put politics first.
Bari Weiss is not a liberal, but a leftist; but the liberals are the ones who hired the leftists. Doing more of the same is not going to make things better; as I said, half a step up the slippery slope, but the slippery slope is still in place. Every leftist she hires is going to make things worse and not better, and she will hire leftists, especially if trying to be “fair”.
Leave a Reply
HTML tags allowed in your
comment: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>
Randomness and Connectivity
1) So, they model how fast a disease should spread around the world and it is 25 or 26 days. That is with shortcuts whereas if it is totally random, it is 73 days to take over the entire world. Their “model” they are so excited about and believe in must be right but there is only conjecture in the video and no real world study.
Remember the Fauci CCP designed bioweapon Covid 19? 1st cases in China in October 2019 – my wife and I got it in October 2020 in Montana – so 365 days. We know the phony “vaccine” didn’t work. Now, remember, flights from China to the US were not limited until March 2020 – way, way too late to stop the spread. then within a few weeks everyone should have gotten it. We know social distancing was nonsense and so were masks as were shutdowns and a lot of the rest of the Totalitarian responses. So what happened to disrupt the “model?”
You would think someone in the interview would question their “model.” So, kind of like “Climate Models.” We know they have been overestimating temperatures with 100% consistency.
An open minded scientist(s) who believes in these complex connectivity models, like the people interviewed here should have questioned the basic premise, given this video is only 5 days old and Covid was years ago.
Anyway, why did Covid 19 take so long to infect people? I think I know why it spread so slowly but it has nothing to do with crude preventative measures of China and the developed world. I would be interested in a real world study of it, and if these scientists did that, they would the have to incorporate other premises and data into their “model.”
The producer of this show looks like it is “Veritasium” – you know, like its root Veritas, truth in Latin and Harvard’s motto. What is the real world of Harvard? Well, F.I.R.E studies US major universities as to their level of free expression. Harvard finishes last almost every year. I went to Harvard and the narrow mindedness of these very smart people is astounding and baffling at the same time as you would think the profs and the students would question things. Well, they are smug and the “science is settled” mentality at Harvard is alive and well. They don’t question a lot of things and that is also the reason that Covid 19 didn’t spread as fast as the model.
Wonder if these guys in the video can figure out why their model and Covid’s real world spread are so incredibly different. We await a new video…………..
I have a cousin who was a producer for Larry King back in the 90s, and that connection alone probably links me to most well known people in the world in less that 2 or 3 steps.
Mark Twain wrote a short story about this, but he overestimated the number of connections needed to get from the street boy to the king.
It’s pretty simple math though. If everyone is on a first-name basis with about 100 people, then there can’t be very many links in the chain between any two people because the worlds’ population isn’t large enough to support those kinds of numbers. The relationships have to overlap a lot. Much more so within a country’s borders.
There might be a few exceptions like North Korea where people there can’t easily form relationships outside North Korea. But if you can establish a link of first-name-basis relationships to Xi Jingping or Vladimir Putin, which might take like 8 links depending on the circles you run in, you can get to Kim Jong Un and then it would be just a few more hops to any other North Korean.
It’s the same logic that implies that some of your ancestors were related. Go back 30 generations to roughly the year 1200, you’d have to have a billion distinct ancestors and and that’s about 5 times as many people as were alive back then.
The meme war continues–https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KOOe-OcFQvA
See also https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EAYIOrx8iIk
The war seems to be spreading, with everyone on the Internet just piling on.
Enough of these memes directed at you, and seen by enough people, and your reputation, it seems to me, might never recover.
You will, ever after, be a figure of fun, of ridicule, a clown.
‘Iryna’s Law’ bill drafted which could see Ukrainian refugee’s killer face firing squad
https://nypost.com/2025/10/05/us-news/irynas-law-could-see-ukrainian-refugees-killer-face-firing-squad/
I am a firm advocate of the death penalty for Iryna’s killer . . . notwithstanding neo’s eloquent argument against it.
They quote Steve Jobs: “It’s people who are crazy enough to think they can change the world, who do.”
I’m sure we can find lottery winners who say, “It’s people who are crazy enough to think they can win the lottery, who do.” Actually, Elizabeth Holmes said something like this.
Probably the only people on Earth that couldn’t be reached within a few hops would be the Sentinelese due to their isolationalism. Even individuals of largely isolated tribes deep in the forests of the Amazon or New Guinea likely have enough contact to be within the human network within 8 hops.
@LTEC:I’m sure we can find lottery winners who say, “It’s people who are crazy enough to think they can win the lottery, who do.”
Survivorship Bias.
I don’t know the name for it but it also might be the fallacy that if x% of A are B then x% of B are also A. Tons of people say things like that all the time and don’t even realize it. Job’s quote is in this mold: “100% of those who change the world are crazy enough to think they can”… so other people take away that he said “100% of those who are crazy enough to think they can change the world, do.”
Saw confirmed that Bari Weiss will be editor-in-chief at CBS News. I have to think that putting a progressive in charge of news reporting has been tried before and I cannot imagine it will deliver better results than what we have so far seen. At best this is half a step back up the slippery slope….
Wiess is at least a more honest and open-minded progressive than her former colleagues at the NYT.
Here’s an interesting idea–an Englishman, fascinated since childhood with American cop cars, buys a retired American police car, a big V-8 Crown Vic, has it restored, including the correct police markings and sirens as in it’s former life in Warminster township, PA.
Then, he rents it out for occasions–weddings, etc.–plus travels around the UK, filming the native’s reaction to a big American cop car, drivers in the correct uniforms, exactly like the ones they’ve seen on TV.*
* See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wr_9a8wYzkQ
@Kate:Wiess is at least a more honest and open-minded progressive than her former colleagues at the NYT.
So were the ones in place twenty years ago that hired the ones in place today….
Listening to all the people who knew Charlie Kirk before he died, I suspect Charlie was closer than most people to most everyone else.
Apparently he could even call the President.
Jon Baker: “Apparently he could even call the President.”
At least if that president was a Republican?
Is there any evidence he had a meaningful dialog or debates with any big name Democrat? Presumably he was prepared to do that if the opportunity arose. The net result would probably still have been a “no sale”, but some light shining into their darkness might have been provided.
Supposedly four different space agencies have sensor packages orbiting Mars which would be able to capture images of and data on 3I/Atlas. yet, the only thing which has been released so far is just the blurry streak captured by a camera—which was not made to do this—on a Rover on the surface of Mars.
Does this lack of current and better data seem rather odd to you?
”Does this lack of current and better data seem rather odd to you?”
1) Atlas’s closest approach to Mars was on 03 October. It takes time to download data across interplanetary distances and process it.
2) The federal government has been shutdown since 01 October. So while the American Mars orbiters could have been and likely were programmed ahead of time to collect data on Atlas, no-one paid with federal funds could perform such downloading and processing or use equipment paid with federal funds to do so.
3) Atlas’s closest approach distance to Mars was 29 million km. The best camera orbiting Mars is the HiRISE camera on the American Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter. At that distance HiRISE images have a resolution of 30 km per pixel. Since Atlas is only 5.6 km long, its image will be only about 1/6 of a single pixel (i.e. nonexistent).
So were the ones in place twenty years ago that hired the ones in place today….
==
You mean Mary Mapes and Dan Rather?
@Art Deco:You mean Mary Mapes and Dan Rather?
No, because Rather was an anchor and correspondent and Mary Mapes was a news producer, and I was talking about who makes hiring decisions for the organization.
The Left’s long march happened because people who made hiring decisions thought their leftism wouldn’t get in the way of their professionalism. But leftists always put politics first.
Bari Weiss is not a liberal, but a leftist; but the liberals are the ones who hired the leftists. Doing more of the same is not going to make things better; as I said, half a step up the slippery slope, but the slippery slope is still in place. Every leftist she hires is going to make things worse and not better, and she will hire leftists, especially if trying to be “fair”.