Home » Open thread 10/19/2024

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Open thread 10/19/2024 — 8 Comments

  1. WSJ, Mike Doran, “Israel Kills Sinwar, and Biden Wants to ‘Move On’“: https://archive.ph/hYEgy

    President Biden sees the death of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar as an opportunity to end the war in Gaza. “It’s time for this war to end and bring these hostages home,” Mr. Biden said to reporters Thursday in Berlin. He said he had spoken with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about how “we secure Gaza and move on.” Based on a fundamental misunderstanding of Middle East realities, this gambit is likely to fail.

    The presidential election makes a peace initiative irresistible to Democratic Party leaders. If a cease-fire were achieved, Kamala Harris could celebrate it not only as a major foreign-policy achievement, but also one that benefits Israel. She could counter attacks from Donald Trump that she is inexperienced and hostile to the Jewish state.
    […]
    Mr. Biden’s cease-fire initiative will likely come with a demand for even more restraint by Israel against Iran. Mr. Netanyahu may or may not heed such counsel. If he does, he will then pursue “total victory” in Gaza and Lebanon even more urgently—if only to prove that Iran and its proxies can’t use America to restrain Israel so they can shoot at it with impunity.

  2. I didnt know that one thanks

    Yes shamblings string pullers are rather sloppy whose in charge flip a coin

    Meanwhile hezbollah tried to drone bibis summer home because reasons

    All told its always better to ignore the regime frankly prince salman should have kept bombing thr houthis

  3. Yes, we are very aware of the Silver Clock, tick, ticking, ticking.
    I am now 78 and my Darling Wife will 78 in Oct.
    I am a Prostate Cancer Survivor. My Wife has been in treatment for Lymphoma since Feb, with more to come (if anyone knows what CAR-T is, then you know much more to come).
    We have lived, I think, full lives. No kids, not by choice. We have traveled the World. Looking to the future, we have a vacation scheduled for Ap, 2025.
    Yes, the Silver Clock is ticking, ticking, ticking.

  4. Just another open-thread comment from someone who’s no fun at parties.

    Given the current political circumstances, I’ll happily vote for Trump, but I won’t pretend to like his personality. To me, it’s obvious that DeSantis would be a better president, and it’s troubling to consider the reasons why so many more people are inspired by Trump. Harris is too awful to contemplate, and despite recent polls, I still think that we’ll soon be blessed with our first female president.

    As a natural pessimist, it’s no surprise that I’d like to recommend Joel Kotkin’s latest opinion piece entitled “Can the West survive four years of Harris or Trump?” (https://tinyurl.com/2hmypz24).

    Here’s Kotkin’s second paragraph:

    “The US, still the world’s only true empire, now confronts the reality of two unserious presidential candidates, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, each threatening its viability. Americans and the rest of what’s left of the liberal world have to hope that our intrinsic advantages in demography, finance, technology and resources will survive the presidencies of either of these awful candidates.”

    For the rest of the essay, Kotkin takes the trouble to explain himself. Even if I don’t agree with all of it, I’m sympathetic, and I think it’s worth a look.

  5. Cornflour,

    I understand what you are saying if this was 2016. However, we now have data on what sort of administration Trump will have from 2016 to 2020. And, I think he learned from his mistakes in the previous term and I don’t think he will repeat them.
    The US was thriving under Trump’s first term, and was derailed by COVID. I don’t know how one can ignore that fact.

    I actually switched my registration from independent to GOP thinking I was going to vote for DeSantis in the primary as temperamentally I like him better…that didn’t happen obviously. I’m fine with Trump now, and hoping for DeSantis in 4 years.

  6. Hamas members starting to surrender? Just saw “400+ Palestinians Killed in North Gaza Assault” under Explore on X – followed it and:

    400+ Palestinians Killed in North Gaza Assault

    Checked these two there:

    Hundreds of Hamas terrorists have begun surrendering to the IDF in Northern Gaza.

    Gaza: The wall of fear of Sinwar is broken: hundreds of civilians begin to leave Jabalia into a safe area with Israel’s army protection, the IDF spokesperson reports today.

    Nothing seems official so asked Grok on X:

    Is hamas surrendering
    Answer
    Based on the information available up to October 19, 2024, there are conflicting reports and sentiments regarding Hamas’s surrender. Here’s what the data reflects:

    Public Statements and Social Media: There are posts on X suggesting that hundreds of Hamas members have started to surrender, particularly in northern Gaza. These posts mention an ultimatum given by the IDF, indicating that some segments of Hamas might be choosing to surrender rather than face continued military action.

    • Official and Unofficial Reactions: However, there’s also mention of Hamas officials, like Khalil al-Hayya, stating that the death of a leader like Yahya Sinwar would only strengthen their resolve, suggesting no immediate intention to surrender as a group.
    • Misinformation and Speculation: There have been instances of misinformation, for example, claims circulated on social media about Hamas surrendering or major leaders surrendering which were later debunked.
    • Military and Political Context: The Israeli military operations aimed at Hamas have led to significant casualties among Hamas fighters and infrastructure damage. This might pressure some members or factions within Hamas to consider surrendering, but organizational surrender or a formal capitulation from Hamas leadership has not been confirmed.
    • Public Sentiment and Media: X posts reflect a variety of sentiments, from calls for Hamas to surrender to observations of individual or small group surrenders, but these do not necessarily represent an official or widespread surrender by Hamas.

    Given this, while there are reports of individual surrenders and tactical retreats by some Hamas members, there’s no conclusive evidence or official statement indicating a comprehensive surrender by Hamas as an organization. The situation remains fluid, with actions on the ground potentially not fully aligned with official stances or broader organizational policy. Always consider that real-time events can be misrepresented or exaggerated on social media, and official statements from recognized authorities or neutral observers would be necessary to confirm such significant developments.

    (UPDATE – Note: updated my X subscription from $8 a month to $84 a year (think that was it??) yesterday.

  7. Re: Harris / law school
    ______________________________________

    SAN FRANCISCO — As a scandal rocked the city’s crime lab in 2010, District Attorney Kamala D. Harris was increasingly at odds with the city’s elected public defender, Jeff Adachi. He accused her of being “unethical,” and she said he was “playing politics with public safety,” according to media reports at the time.

    The fight was, on one level, an example of a prosecutor and defense attorney playing their respective roles. But it was all the more extraordinary because the two had been friends for years.

    Adachi had been Harris’s tutor when they were at the University of California’s Hastings College of the Law in San Francisco.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/kamala-harris-grew-up-with-jeff-adachi-then-tragedy-struck-/2019/03/06/2b8e93f2-3c70-11e9-a06c-3ec8ed509d15_story.html
    ______________________________________

    I know a few lawyers. None of them received tutoring.

  8. Well, that video was a weird musical interlude. A very sweaty one, I might add.

    There is that strange instrument too. It could be a violin or an electronic keyboard with a pitch wheel, but it actually sounds like a theremin to me. No indication on the Youtube site about it.

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