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Open thread 5/17/24 — 49 Comments

  1. All core systems are now on http://X.com – X has updated their URL from twitter.com to x.com 🙂

    The People Setting America on Fire – ‘An investigation into the witches’ brew of billionaires, Islamists, and leftists behind the campus protests

    Federal Court: Parents in Maryland School District Cannot Opt K-5 Children Out of LGBTQ Curriculum – Abrahamic Religions unite on this one, and a negative for DEMs & Biden…

    The Muslim, Jewish, and Christian parents, represented by the Becket Fund for Religious Liberty, argued that the district’s refusal to allow their young children to opt out of reading of LGBTQQIAAP2S+-themed books or participation in the curriculum violated their right to raise their children in accordance with their faith and how their faith defines identity and sexuality. Parents also argued the material is not age-appropriate for such young students.

    CNN’s Cooper: I Would ‘Absolutely’ Doubt Michael Cohen’s Testimony If I Was a Juror

  2. “But, but, but, but Biden and Trump are equally problematic. Equally awful. Equally reprehensible….”
    Um, OK, sure…

    The fearless Melanie Phillips:
    “Buried facts about the Gaza war;
    “Connect the dots: It’s America and Iran against Israel.”—
    https://www.jns.org/buried-facts-about-the-gaza-war/
    H/T Powerline blog.

    Not so much “buried” as erased. Canceled. Censored.
    AND FOR VERY GOOD REASON.

    Indeed, the Truth is very, very inconvenient to the current American administration, junta rather.

    So…AGW anyone? What about UFOs? The victory over inflation? Covid…and the next new plague? The extreme danger that Donald J. Trump poses to America and the WORLD….

  3. who really remembers Nicholas 1st, no it was Tschaikovsky’s creation that endures, what artistic efforts from the Crazy Years will prevail in a similar span, the Ape Overlords will not have it,

    in this iteration, the virus deprived men of speech, the current iteration does that to reason

    so Harry Dunn, the Capitol Hill crisis actor, lost the nomination, probably to some equally sane character,

  4. this carries over from the lawfare thread

    https://www.eugyppius.com/p/the-sad-farce-of-german-democracy?r=9damc&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

    You ask who won the cold war, as mao said of the French Revolution, too soon to tell,

    two lions Der Linke and the Greens, debate the fate of the zebras,

    writ large the EU’s Oceanian cast was set by not Monnet or other grandees but by the likes of Aldo Spinelli, a former Italian communist,

    https://www.ynetnews.com/article/sjmzida11r

    other bad ideas being contemplated

  5. https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/390135

    Shani Louk, who was murdered at the Supernova Music Festival in Re’im on October 7th and whose body was taken to the Gaza Strip. Shani grew up in the village of Aderet in the Ella Valley and later moved with her family to Srigim. The family moved to the US in the early 2000s and Shani returned to Israel as an adult.

    Amit Bouskila from Ashdod went to the music festival and was abducted from Mefalsim where she ran in an attempt to escape from the terrorists. Last November she turned 28 while in Hamas captivity.

    Itzik Gelernter, 56 from Irus, was abducted from the festival. Three of his friends who were with him in the car were murdered.

    RIP all.

  6. What are the debates going to be like? Moderators asking questions? They’ll be tougher on Trump than on Biden, and Biden will already have the questions before the debates. Turning off the mic of the candidate who isn’t speaking may actually help Trump. Rather than just jump in with “Where’s Hunter?” or something like that, he might take the time to form a more cogent response. Here’s hoping.

  7. well Jake Tapper I’ve loathed for nearly a quarter century now, and Dana Bash, former wife of deep stater, Jeremy Bash, I think played by Stephen Dillane in the movie, now John King,

    back then, Kolomoisky backed the Azov’s owned the Privat bank, and Burisma, hunter’s employee, like with Berezovsky, the winds changed rather rapidly in favor of Akhmatov Pinchuk et al, which lizard do you prefer,
    so now he is no longer useful to the Regime

  8. Karmi on May 17, 2024 at 9:34 am said:

    The People Setting America on Fire – ‘An investigation into the witches’ brew of billionaires, Islamists, and leftists behind the campus protests’
    ____________________________________________________________

    Thanks for the link.

    As with most articles published on “Tablet,” the research was thorough, and the topic important. Well worth the time it takes to read it.

    Again, here’s a link: https://tinyurl.com/3kd6w5zn

  9. yes the Tablet is what Commentary used to be, which was largely cultural, until the left opened up it’s howitzers on the ‘commanding heights’ of the policy centers,

  10. now that there are indications, the tunnels lead out of rafah into the sinai

  11. OK…sdferr already links to this – here’s more:

    Sinwar in Exchange for Rafah

    Why is the Biden administration dangling the Hamas chief in exchange for stopping the Gaza war? Because the terror group’s survival is key to the administration’s larger project in the Middle East.

    The Biden administration is making the offer because all its efforts to end Israel’s war have failed and if Rafah falls, Hamas is likely to fall, too.

    If U.S. intelligence agencies are confident that they know where Sinwar is squirreled away now, in the chaos of wartime, they also knew what he was doing in the lead-up to the massive attack.

    In further support of the Biden administration’s program of deterrence, Obama faction oligarchs, like George Soros, Bill Gates, and the Pritzker family, spent millions of dollars funding pro-Hamas demonstrations throughout the United States.

    In America, the purpose of mass demonstrations, still ongoing after several months, is to indicate grassroots support for saving Hamas, and thus frame Biden support for Palestinian terrorists as a response to “public pressure.”

    Hamas, therefore, is a pillar of the U.S.-Iran condominium in the Middle East. This includes Lebanon—where Washington funds the army and intelligence services, which are run by Iran’s asset, Hezbollah—as well as Iraq and Syria, where U.S. forces are deployed to protect Iranian allies and proxies from the regional Sunni majority.

    If Israel finishes off Hamas, the Biden administration’s efforts to complete Obama’s Middle East security architecture will collapse.

    The most important takeaway from Biden’s offer of Sinwar in exchange for Rafah is that Barack Obama’s vision of a new Middle East, which the Biden administration has insisted on following, entails tying the U.S. not only to an obscurantist anti-American and Jew-hating terror regime but to a military force and its proxy armies that, like U.S. policymakers, can’t win wars.

  12. I guess I should be surprised but not really, personnel is policy, the monies given to hamas since 2021, by this regime, along with those offered by the eu, the oil revenues iran was allowed to exploit, yet they come up with this thread bare excuse,

  13. If Israel finishes off Hamas, the Biden administration’s efforts to complete Obama’s Middle East security architecture will collapse.

    Yet another argument in favor of Israel’s finishing the job.

  14. This will come up…

    Inherent contempt
    Under this process, the procedure for holding a person in contempt involves only the chamber concerned. Following a contempt citation, the person cited is arrested by the Sergeant-at-Arms for the House or Senate, brought to the floor of the chamber, held to answer charges by the presiding officer, and then subjected to punishment as the chamber may dictate (usually imprisonment for punishment, imprisonment for coercion, or release from the contempt citation).

    Concerned with the time-consuming nature of a contempt proceeding and the inability to extend punishment further than the session of the Congress concerned (under Supreme Court rulings), Congress created a statutory process in 1857. While Congress retains its “inherent contempt” authority and may exercise it at any time, this inherent contempt process was last used by the Senate in 1934, in a Senate investigation of airlines and the U.S. Postmaster. After a one-week trial on the Senate floor (presided over by Vice President John Nance Garner, in his capacity as Senate President), William P. MacCracken Jr., a lawyer and former Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Aeronautics who was charged with allowing clients to remove or rip up subpoenaed documents, was found guilty and sentenced to 10 days imprisonment.

    ===========

    “Resolved that if in 10 days after the passage of this report, the Department of Justice has failed to indict Attorney General Garland, the speaker of the House of Representatives shall issue his warrant commanding the sergeant in arms or his duty to take into custody the body of the said Attorney General Garland, wherever found, and bring him to the said Attorney General Garland before the bar of the House of Representatives, then and there to provide documents, materials, and answers such questions pertinent to the matter under inquiry as the House of Representatives may order the Speaker of the House of Representatives to propound and to keep the said Attorney General Garland in custody to wait further orders of the House of Representatives. This is something that we reserve as an authority in order to bring back order to a house that has seemed to have forgotten it.

  15. Obama and Biden’s malignant Middle East policies have caused a great deal of human misery, death, and destruction over the past 15 years. They have enabled and emboldened evil for no discernible reason that I can fathom beyond a general antipathy towards western civilization. One can only guess at what birthed such hatred in Obama himself as well as his acolytes and enablers. But I suppose as long as human civilization has existed there have been those who have wanted to burn it all down.

  16. Frontlines Situation Report – May 17th, 2024 – Bakhmut, Chasiv Yar, Krasnohorivka, Kharkiv oblast, Sumy and Chernihiv border areas. Snippets:

    Russian forces have intensified their attacks in the Bakhmut area .. They have also made territorial gains in the Krasnohorivka area and achieved certain tactical advancements in Kharkiv oblast. Despite these developments, the frontline in Donbas remains relatively stable, with no signs of imminent collapse.

    Despite rapid successes in the initial weeks of the assault against Chasiv Yar .. the Russians have ultimately failed to establish a foothold on the other side and advance further.

    While Russian troops were initially able to disperse infantry forces along the border for an initial push, supplying them became increasingly difficult as they moved deeper into Ukrainian territory.

    Russia’s reinvasion in 2022 also had supply problems after an ‘initial push’ of their troops into areas of Ukraine. Russia continues to accidentally expose their military’s weaknesses…

  17. Tommy, her comments are meant to assuage, let’s say, the less economically astute. The stupidity is failing to understand that more than just her target audience will hear her comments.

    Of course I could be wrong. Maybe we should just repeal the 19th amendment, it’s the only way to be sure.

  18. Conversation looking at the Russia-Ukraine war from a western viewpoint. The interview was before the latest Ukraine funding was approved by the House, and the beginning of the interview focuses on that uncertainty. About minute 16 the interview shifts to the F-16 and who is going to fund their operations and then to Europe generally assuming the lead in Ukraine support.
    Kofman recognizes that Europe needs to assume that lead as they have the industrial capacity to arm Ukraine (he notices that Europe produces 155 shells, the bulk of which aren’t going to Ukraine).

    Talks about “Trump proofing NATO”. There is a very simple solution to that– which seems to still escape Europeans (or at least still refuse to acknowledge)– just spend more money on your own defense.

    I sense from his tone that Kofman isn’t confident the major economies in Europe will step up to the challenge.

    Based on reality versus rhetoric coming from Europeans, it’s hard to take seriously the idea Russia represents an existential threat to Europe. It’s like they don’t actually believe their own words.

    Mike Kofman is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he focuses on the Russian military and Eurasian security issues.

    The State of the War in Ukraine with Michael Kofman
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K_ORTxeoQXg

  19. and I hesitate to link this, but the DEI’s have for Romeo and Juliet,
    with a little Race Swapping, but also Aesthetic issues,

    if you want a story about racial strife, and love conquers all, don’t make it Romeo and Juliet, like West Side Story, was clearly inspired by the other title, but they made it their own,

  20. A more powerful economic bloc would prioritize their own defense, that what Trump kept telling them, and they would secure their own reliable energy,

  21. Brain E:

    Here is another Ukrainian word that the left would like applied to Israel: Holodomor.

    You do know what it was and who did it? Vlad’s favorite historical icon.

    Spit on your insight? Harsh, if deserved.

  22. So, did you listen to the interview?

    What does the Holodomor have to do with the current conflict in Ukraine?

    Do you have a cite for the Holodomor being Vlad’s favorite historical icon?

  23. why does a red diaper baby like Jamie Raskin, care so much about Ukraine, because Democracy or Justice is foremost in his mind, how about the leaders of Der Linke I included earlier,

  24. Russia vs Europe is almost exactly like Mexico vs the US. Mexico is not a significant military threat to the United States and neither is Russia to Europe. Europe has five times the GDP of Russia, and three times the population, and some of its member nations have their own nuclear arsenals–if they need more nukes they could probably have them in six months. Russia’s population is aging and shrinking faster than Europe’s. Europe can handle anything Putin can throw at them. And they should. Ukraine’s on their border, not ours. If they’re worried about Putin, and so concerned about Ukraine, why shouldn’t they push him back to Moscow? I don’t imagine we’ll try to stop them. Putin’s having enough trouble trying to handle just Ukraine, a quarter of Russia’s population and a tenth of its GDP. Field Marshal Kutuzov or Zhukov he clearly isn’t…

    But it’s very profitable to the connected for the US government to send our tax money all over the globe. Big guy needs his 10%.

  25. no general gerasimov, sees himself as a strategist the velvet fox, but his goal was exceeded by his means, as Ivashov, the General who was at Prague in 68, which had a relatively easier task, one city, but recquired 500,000 troops, about Shoigu there is little more need said about him, about Surovikin, brute force is not the only consideration, there was another figure who was passed the poison Chalice, memory escapes me,

  26. Brain E hasn’t paid attention to the more extreme pronouncements from Vlad’s media regarding Ukrainians who don’t wish to become Russians again. Part of the narrative he has ignored.

    Brain E has also ignored the rehabilatation of Joseph Stalin under Vlad’s reign in Russia. Psst, it isn’t hidden.

    Narrative shaping indeed.

  27. So whatever they learned at frunze they forgot as does any western strategist whose memory goes only as far as 1917 if they are lucky

    History didnt end in 91 nor start in 191
    7

    I mentioned robert massies bios of peter the great and catherine

  28. Niketas:

    Yep, invading Russia and taking Moscow, that’s the ticket for Ukraine.

    So is the USA the imperial aggressor relative to Mexico?

    Not as if Russia and the USSR didn’t attack Ukraine, Georgia, Czeckoslovakia, Hungary, Poland, Finland in the last 100 years. Nope, Russia is no threat to Europe and never has been one.

    Regarding Europe and Russia. How much of their GDP is and has Europe and Russia been spending on national defense? Oopsie.

  29. @om:Yep, invading Russia and taking Moscow, that’s the ticket for Ukraine.

    Looks like you didn’t read my post, because that’s not what I said, I said Europe should do that not Ukraine. Or is this your signature move where you lie about what other people wrote even though it’s up there for all to read? Not playing.

    So is the USA the imperial aggressor relative to Mexico?

    Irrelevant to anything I said. But you don’t discuss anything in good faith. You’ve just got your one note to play from Joe McCarthy’s kazoo.

    If the US was howling for Europe’s help because Mexico invaded Guatemala and was taking over two years to do it, that would be pretty ridiculous and comparable to Europe vs Russia.

    Not as if Russia and the USSR didn’t attack Ukraine, Georgia, Czeckoslovakia, Hungary, Poland, Finland in the last 100 years.

    Not 1980 or 1880 anymore, boss. Europe has got far richer and stronger, and so has the US and China, and Russia is down in Mexico’s weight class.

    Regarding Europe and Russia. How much of their GDP is and has Europe and Russia been spending on national defense? Oopsie.

    Russia: 5% of $5 trillion = $250 billion.
    Europe: 1.5% of $25 trillion = $375 billion.

    Europe spent about 50% more than Russia…oopsie indeed. I think you must not expect that people can look stuff up.

    But let the record show om admits that Europe has been squandering its opportunity to prepare because they can free ride on the US. Apparently he thinks this should continue.

  30. Niketas:

    Genius, if Russia can barely manage invading Ukraine, and is no threat to Europe, how does it work in your grand ideas for Ukraine to invade Russia and push to take Moscow? Right now they are seriously occupied with preservation of their own existence.

    You want to think big thoughts, connect the dots on your thesis.

    Or not.

  31. @om lied:how does it work in your grand ideas for Ukraine to invade Russia and push to take Moscow?

    Please stop lying about what I wrote. Everyone can read what I wrote and see that you are lying.

    Here’s my actual words: Europe, not Ukraine. “They” and “their” and “them” is Europe.

    Europe can handle anything Putin can throw at them. And they should. Ukraine’s on their border, not ours. If they’re worried about Putin, and so concerned about Ukraine, why shouldn’t they push him back to Moscow?

    I know you can read, so I know your mischaracterization is a deliberate lie. If you want to discuss anything in good faith, stop lying about what I wrote. If you just want to fling feces, you can do that without my engagement.

    BTW I notice you got nothing to say about the levels of military spending you challenged me with.

    And everyone else notices too. 🙂 Oopsie, as the man says.

  32. RE: The supposed nature and behaviors of Non Human Intelligences.

    Quite often I see the idea mentioned, the assumption—as if it is an almost certainty—that any far more technologically advanced NHIs, members of any alien civilizations advanced enough to have mastered interstellar travel must, almost of necessity–having attained a much wider and more penetrating knowledge of the Universe–be on a higher intellectual level, must be “Enlightened,” and operating on a higher moral plane than we humans do, thus, must be—vis-a-vis us humans—peaceful and benign in both nature, and behavior.

    To me, once we encounter such NHIs, operating, basing all of your ideas and actions–from the get go—on the basis of this central assumption of peacefulness, and benignity seems extremely foolhardy in the extreme.

    If Darwin’s “survival of the fittest” is correct, any entity, which rose to be at the apex of any world, did so by climbing the pyramid of life on that planet through struggle against all other forces and competitors, and thus was and is innately, in some sense, an extremely accomplished competitor–if you will–a “predator.”

    Can we count on—should we—assume, “bet the farm,” that such NHI’s attainment of interstellar travel almost inevitably turned them into “Enlightened,” peaceful, and benign entities, moreover, entities “Enlightened,” peaceful, and/or benign as we humans would define and understand these terms.

    I think that the correct approach to such en encounter has to be one of caution, once which assumes such NHIs to be potentially hostile until proven otherwise, and proven so by concrete actions, rather than words.

  33. Hey Snow on Pine, I think Twilight Zone dealt with that in the episode “To Serve Man”!

  34. Niketas:

    You apperantly haven’t been paying attention to the state of readiness of the Bundeswehr (airframes, tanks, etc.). Poland isn’t in that boat, fortunately. But ignoring things is ignorance or lying, Niketas?

    But back to your grand strategic ripost to my snippet of Russian behavior. Russia invaded Georgia and Ukraine in this century, not the 1980s. Try math again.

    What percentage of GDP is Russia spending on its national defense? I’m pretty sure it isn’t the typical European 2-4%. I’m pretty sure it is double digits. Try some maths.

    Joe McCarthy? LOL. Weak, bro.

  35. Why would Unicorns be subject to some hominid’s laws. They are after all exempt from physics and other such trifles.

  36. @om:What percentage of GDP is Russia spending on its national defense?

    Why don’t you post your numbers and sources instead of asking me to do it? Last time I do your homework.

    Europe is spending much more on its military than Russia, because they have a much bigger economy, even though they spend a smaller percentage. Source is SIPRI for both. Try some maths, as the man says.

    Europe:According to new data released by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), Europe has seen a widespread surge in military spending since the start of 2022, reaching a total of €552 billion in 2023.

    Russia:Russia’s military and war-related spending is projected to rise 29% year-on-year to 12.8 trillion rubles (about $140 billion), an international think tank said on Wednesday, citing new federal budget plans. Russia’s military spending in 2024 will increase to 7.1% of its gross domestic product (GDP), accounting for 35% of total government spending, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) said in its report.

    Europe’s 552 billion euros ($588 billion) for 2023 is greater than the $140 billion Russia aspires to in 2024. Quite a bit greater. Try some maths, as the man says, but also maybe don’t throw out questions you didn’t already look up the answers to.

    Any further demands from you for numbers I will ignore. You are free to supply your own numbers and sources–if you have any–if you wish to argue a point from them.

    Everyone can see that I supplied sources and data and you did not. 🙂

  37. Niketas:

    When did Russia invade Georgia? When did Russia invade Ukraine? (2008, 2014 (proxies), 2022).

    When did Europe really ramp up its spending on defense? After 2022 IIRC. I wonder why they would do that. Can’t be in response to a nation that attacks it’s neighbors like it was wont to do in the last century.

    Can’t ask the Niketas for he hasn’t a clue.

    Time for some AutoCad. Carry on Niketas.

  38. I believe the World Bank reports that Russia was prior to 2022 devoting about 4% of its GDP to their military. Don’t get much bang for the buck.

  39. @ Chases Eagles – what a lovely video of the Aurora, and the music was particularly appropriate.
    Loved the way the moon set just in the “notch” of the horizon.

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