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Home » Is Iran’s attack on Israel beginning?

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Is Iran’s attack on Israel beginning? — 87 Comments

  1. And what will be Israel’s retaliation? And what after that, and after that?

    What indeed? Usher Qom off to meet Allah? Pay an extremely energetic visit to Fordow, Natanz, et alia? Send every floating Iranian vessel down to the bottom of a sea? Or, perhaps all of those efforts and more — so devoutly to be wished, and so doubtfully to be done.

  3. Just posted on previous thread..sorry..

    The ME has always been wargamed as the flash point for WW3. And with Obama/Biden at the helm, the possibility is certainly there. A nuclear exchange is certainly in play. KYAG.

  4. By the way, it’s worth bearing in mind that every suicide-drone, land attack cruise missile, ballistic missile and the munitions used to shoot them down preemtively enroute toward Israel will fall on presumably unsuspecting uninvolved people on the ground in Iraq, Syria and Jordan, to say nothing of those which “get through” to be shot down over Judea and Samaria or Israel itself.

  5. Prevailing winds maps show Iran to be downwind from Israel, and India’s prevailing winds sweeping to the southwest. Good and good.

  6. I was wrong. Iran is attacking Israel. Spiraling out of control. And Biden is functionally incapable of doing what is necessary.

  7. 10% of Middle Eastern Muslims are Shia. 90% are Sunni. They have hated each other’s guts for over a 1000 years. The Sunni world is not going to shed any tears if Israel takes out Iran’s Mullahs.

    Follow that up by announcing that the next terrorist attack upon Israel will carry the consequence of the loss of an Islamic ‘holy’ site. The Muslim world can either curb their dogs or suffer the consequences.

    Also declare that the day that Israel suffers a nuclear terrorist attack will also be the day Mecca ceases to exist.

    There are only two ways to deal with ideological fanaticism. Either with overwhelming and ruthless force or by attaching to terrorist attacks what for them is unthinkable consequence.

  8. With any luck an errant Iranian drone or missile fragment will come down on the al Aqsa mosque.

  9. “. . . drone or missile fragment will come down on the al Aqsa mosque.”

    Which, in the typical Arab fashion, will be immediately blamed on the machinations of the accursed Joos. So, nope, no thank you.

  10. A second wave of cruise missiles now launched. Jordan says any violation of their airspace will be shot down. The next 12 to 24 hours, I fear determine our fate. How will Russia and China respond if the US gets heavily involved?

  12. So this is not the first time Israel hurt Iranian assets and resources – and the response has always been muted: some minor-scale attack or some such.

    Why is Iran so bold all of a sudden? Smells like they received some assurances from their fuckbuddies in Moscow…

  13. physicsguy:

    Russia and China support Iran, but I don’t see them getting involved in a hot war except tangentially. Russia is rather over-extended, and China’s got its own agenda closer to home.

    Or perhaps that’s just wishful thinking on my part.

  14. Actually, given the current festiities, I’m waiting with bated breath for Honest A. to—once again—declare that as far as he knows, Iran has no connection with what’s going down…
    (Yes THE popular DOS refrain—that, and firm warnings from “Biden” that both sides should refrain from escalation…)
    – – – – – – – – – –
    And it’s…
    Houthis again (in a rather bizarre article…but the provenance is not exactly Jew-friendly…)
    ” ‘Surprising’ Intensity Of Houthi Attacks Push French Warship To Exit Red Sea”—
    https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/houthi-uninhibited-attacks-push-french-warship-exit-red-sea

  15. The embassy in damascus was a coordinating hub for operations as they were in lebanon for than 40 years ago

    They planned this phase months if not years ago

  16. This is not an attack. It is saving face. What’s the inverse of a blitzkrieg?

  18. I’m monitoring media. Both Israeli and Iranian sources agree that 100 drones and cruise missiles — or “dozens and dozens” —are going towards Israel. This may be a one and done event or a slowly unfolding event.

    The UK has sent fighter jets to join in Israel’s Defense from their Cyprus air base. And just now, a Fox News reporter in DC says the US has claimed shooting down a drone from the air.

    This means US Air Force or Marine jets are involved. Israel says they’ve had jet fighters in the air patrolling their border from early this evening.

    The field of conflict will become clearer in hours.

    Israeli TV lists areas under attack on their screens. The attack has arrived.

  27. Geez. You relax for a bit on a Saturday afternoon and the next thing you know Armageddon might be on the way…

    Here’s hoping it’s just a noisy tit-for-tat from Iran.

  30. Richard Fernandez, wretchardthecat, has called it:
    ___________________________________________

    It’s clear by now that the Iranian strike has been a military failure. Most, perhaps nearly all, inbound have failed, been spoofed or shot down. Some casualties have been reported but the result of Iran’s massive effort have been disappointing.

    https://twitter.com/wretchardthecat/status/1779292293507469706
    ___________________________________________

    Fernandez was one of my OG bloggers after 9-11. I doubt he gets everything right but I find him pretty damn good.

    Arma geddin’ outta here!

  31. Such a lovely insult these lowlifes offer:

    Meanwhile, a senior administration official and a senior defense official told NBC News on Saturday night that there is concern among top US officials that Israel could do something quickly in response to Iran’s attacks without thinking through potential fallout afterward.

    President Joe Biden has privately expressed concern that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is trying to drag the US more deeply into a broader conflict, according to three people familiar with his comments.

    https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/388435

    Better to tell US’s Iranian operatives absolutely nothing lest those plans go straight to Teheran’s ears.

  32. Two Senior Israeli Defense Officials have stated that tonight’s “Unprecedented Iranian Attack” against Israel is believed to have consisted of 185 One-Way “Suicide” Drones, 110 Medium-Range Ballistic Missiles, and 36 Land-Attack Cruise Missiles with a Majority being launched from Iran, though a few were launched by the Houthi Terrorist Group in Yemen and Iranian-Backed Proxies in Iraq.

    https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1779341083085848738?t=tGQdFmPLmUAqD_ExSFa9Yw&s=19

  34. I’m with JackWayne. It strikes me as being a show counterattack to keep the Islamic radicals happy. Or not too disgruntled.

    The other factor is that it costs Israel & the US a lot more to defend against this than the cheap drones cost.

  35. ”Russia and China support Iran, but I don’t see them getting involved in a hot war except tangentially. Russia is rather over-extended, and China’s got its own agenda closer to home.

    I agree with Neo here. Russia has thrown everything it has at Ukraine and is tied up there. China can’t project much force that far. They have a few warships in the area, but those warships are a looooong way from home if hostilities break out.

    China is a major power close to home, but projecting force even a quarter of the way around the world is something only a few countries can do at all and only one country can do well. China is not that country.

    ”This is not an attack. It is saving face.”

    Let’s not kid ourselves. This was a major attack on Israel by the Iranians involving over 330 air assets. It only seems inconsequential because Israel was being defended by the three most technologically advanced militaries in the world (the US, the UK, and Israel (and also Jordan!)). This attack would have done major damage were that not so.

  36. The Mullahs are unhappy…
    …but nothing that a few more tens of billions of dollars uploaded to Iran—along with several additional secretary-ships to UN Human Right orgs (particularly to help women)—shouldn’t be able to solve…

    Besides, how can “Biden” possibly convince ANYONE that “he”‘s an “honest broker” in the M.E. if he doesn’t continue to support Iran (& friends) in their intense and rather impressive efforts to make the world a better place by destroying the Zionist Entity(TM)?

    (Think about it…)

  37. “…Smells like they received some assurances from their [buddies] in Moscow…”

    (Or in DC….)

    Speaking of which…what about that hijacked container ship in the Persian—Arabian?—Gulf?

  38. Hey, yous Zios! Listen up!!

    Take it from the “Middle East is quieter now than it’s been for the last 20 years” people…further amplified by the mystery hospital dude that saw fit to further amplify Hamas’s bogus casualty numbers, no doubt to ensure regional—and global—PEACE!!

    “Austin to Gallant: Notify us in advance of response to Iranian attack;
    “Meanwhile, US officials tell NBC News that there is concern in Washington that Israel could do something quickly in response to Iran’s attacks without thinking through potential fallout afterward.”—

    Is there nothing “Biden” won’t do…to ensure peace and good-will for all humankind??
    https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/388435

    (Heavens forfend that the Israeli government won’t think things through like…”Biden” does…!)

    + (no surprises here) Bonus:
    What are “Fact-Checkers” for anyway????
    “Snopes Changed Fact-Check After Pressure From Biden Administration…”—
    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/snopes-changed-fact-check-after-pressure-biden-administration-emails

  39. Numerous photos were posted to X of explosions in the sky over the West Bank and Jerusalem, including one of the Dome of the Rock with explosions above. So, Israel and its allies protected some major Muslim locations. My vision of Iran damaging the al Aqsa mosque could have happened.

  40. I think Israel should finish the job in Gaza before considering any further action, other than defensive, in Lebanon or with Iran.

  41. Urgent: This is now the sky of the Jordanian capital, #Amman, intercepting suicide planes
    A fierce war is now over Amman and Daraa
    ———————————-
    YES I can confirm this – I recognize that bit of concrete from the balcony of the apartment above… they only have concrete that color in Amman…

  42. Ah, so Iran’s note about “concluding” the affair was a feint. May the LORD keep you and your country, Ben David. The Daily Mail says Israel has obliterated a Hizbullah weapons cache building in eastern Lebanon.

  43. JNS, “Biden reportedly tells Netanyahu Israel should see self-defense as ‘win,’ US won’t join attack on Iran”

    https://www.jns.org/biden-reportedly-tells-netanyahu-israel-should-see-self-defense-as-win-us-wont-join-attack-on-iran/

    [An aside: I think the “reportedly” ought to be dropped from the header, since this story is actively spread by Biden people everywhere. — sdferr]

    Anonymous officials also told the publications that Biden fears that Netanyahu will act in a way that drags the United Stations into a regional conflict.

    “By leaking Biden’s conversation with Netanyahu in this way, the leaker has increased both the likelihood and importance of an Israeli response—given the dynamics that led Tehran to calculate it could launch this attack without consequence in the first place,” wrote Richard Goldberg, a senior adviser at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.

    “Can you imagine 100 ballistic missiles being fired on the United States and your closest ally calling to say, no need to retaliate, you should feel really secure right now?” he added. “Now imagine our country was the size of New Jersey. And we were fighting a seven-front war of survival.”

    These are obscene children in charge of US policy. What more fitting manner for a once great and good republic to extinguish itself?

  44. So the $100B Obama/Biden sent to Iran comes back over the horizon in missiles, drones. I can’t wait for Schumer et al to respond on Sunday morning talk shows.

  49. Holy hell I hope this isn’t true, but it’s not altogether implausible is the thing: https://twitter.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1779512742350635038?t=P6F2QkD5CAjxajVsIjU0Uw&s=19

    Iran informed Turkey in advance of its planned operation against Israel, a Turkish diplomatic source told Reuters on Sunday, adding that the US conveyed to Iran via Ankara that its operation must be “within certain limits.”

    Omri Ceren has the drift:

    Look at what the Obama-Biden crew has normalized by Iran: taking hostages, seizing ships, shutting down sea lanes, and now launching waves of missiles.

    The next wave of Iranian missiles will be nuclear-tipped, by the by. Also courtesy of this crew.

    https://twitter.com/omriceren/status/1779546382728139025?t=dy2pLXZTlIMIv0opYVcmbQ&s=19

  51. Iran’s terror-enabling supreme leader only opens the door for Israel to hit back hard

    After years of using its terrorist proxies to strike Israelis, the Islamic Republic of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei launched a direct attack Saturday against the Jewish state .. For Iran’s normally cautious supreme leader, this was a risky step. By crossing a red line of a direct attack against Israel from Iranian soil, he opened the door for Jerusalem to hit back hard .. Potential targets include leadership and military assets inside Iran, oil refineries, which are the lifeblood of his regime, and his rapidly expanding nuclear weapons program.

    Yes, perfect time to take out Khamenei and other top leaders—Hassan Nasrallah also (tho he may have already been on a target list)

    Khamenei may have thought he had little choice. In a daring April 1 operation, the Israeli Air Force killed Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Gen. Mohammad Reza Zahedi, who played a central role in the planning and execution of Iran’s proxy Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack.

    Zahedi was a big fish. He led the IRGC’s operations out of Syria and, as the main Iranian contact with Lebanese Hezbollah, had helped arm and train Iran’s most dangerous terrorist army.

    Israel is a formidable military power with extensive military assets. It has a multilayered air-defense system that can shoot down drones and cruise and ballistic missiles. But the IDF cannot only play defense. It will be under pressure to respond directly to Iranian aggression with its powerful air, naval and cyber capabilities. If not, this could normalize Iranian direct attacks against Israel. This may also be an opportunity to attack assets connected to Iran’s rapidly expanding nuclear-weapons program.

    The Islamic Republic has been at war with Israel for decades. But Iran’s supreme leader now has crossed an Israeli red line that he may come to regret.

  53. well the notion that biden could convey anything, makes it inprobable, now the officials, (no names always) might pretend such things happen,

  54. Long article in the weekend WSJ on how AI has enabled the speed and believability of fake news. The Turkey thing has to be fake. It just has to be.

  55. we shall see what tomorrow brings as well as tuesday which is Israeli independence day,

  56. There is no such thing as a suicide drone. Without a pilot, not suicide, with pilot, not a drone.

  59. Today at church the pastor mentioned something along the lines – I do not remember the exact words – but the distressing news about another attack in Israel. He mentioned the command to pray for the peace of Jerusalem.
    I came to the conclusion a while back that praying for the peace of Jerusalem may actually be a prayer for this age to come to an end and the next to begin. I do not think there is much hope for LASTING peace in the Middle East in the current age.
    I do think that ” peace ” in the Middle East is like WW1 supposedly being the “War to end all wars.” I am very skeptical of “peace”- and people who claim they can make peace- in this age.
    Some of my skepticism is , admittedly, influence by my interpretation of Biblical prophecy about a seven year treaty in the OT book of Daniel -and this is an extrapolation, not a direct reading – a trick meant to deceive the Jews perhaps into a false sense of security- near the end that gets broken halfway thru…

  60. point taken although the reading of revelation in conjunction with 2 thessalonians would suggest a figure of religious rather than political significance, there was a brief interregnum brought about by the Abraham Accords, how real it turned out to be, hard to guess, if the regime had not hacked at every part of the framework with wild abandon, maybe we would know,

  61. Peace by itself is insufficient, if the rogue actors are allowed to arm and train insurgents, to target the near enemy and the far, first the Saturday people, then the Sunday ones,

  62. The attack was a failure. They could have done more damage by unleashing their terror cells in Gaza and the West Bank.

    Technology has changed war. It’s now like a Star Wars video game. New strategies and tactics are needed.

    I assume that Iran’s air defenses are not as sophisticated as Israel’s.
    If I was Isrrael, I would hit back on their launch sites, their drone/missile manufacturing plants, and their nuclear facilities. If a high rate of success is achieved, the message sent should be clear.

    It’s time for the democratic nations to draw closer and to stand solidly against the forces of non-democratic aggressor nations. Unfortunately, the Iran lobby in our DoS seems to be quite influential. Our policy suffers as a result.

  63. Believe it or not—Fake News doesn’t just come from the left-wing, it also comes from the right-wing. 😉

    In Defense of Joe Biden – by John Hinderaker

    That’s a post title you won’t often see on this site! I want to move on to Iran, but first, what did Joe Biden actually tell Prime Minister Netanyahu yesterday?

    Biden told Netanyahu the joint defensive efforts by Israel, the U.S. and other countries in the region led to the failure of the Iranian attack, according to the White House official.

    * “You got a win. Take the win,” Biden told Netanyahu, according to the official.

    * The official said that when Biden told Netanyahu that the U.S. will not participate in any offensive operations against Iran and will not support such operations, Netanyahu said he understood.

    I think it is great the the U.S. helped to stop Iran’s attack, along with the U.K. and Jordan, by shooting down drones and missiles. I would not expect an American administration to go beyond that. Biden says the U.S. will not support (I assume that means, support logistically) or participate in Israel’s retaliation against Iran? Of course not .. So far, at least, there is no sign that Biden will actively try to impede an effective Israeli response. If that happens, I will condemn it, but it hasn’t happened yet.

    In my view, Israel should not just punish Iran. It should try to secure the overthrow of the Ayatollah and the mullahs.

    Yes, let Israel take their time selecting which candies they want in this new ‘Iranian Candy Store’!

    Israel has been under siege by Hamas and Hezbollah for many years. That situation, in my opinion, cannot continue. If that wasn’t already obvious it was made plain by October 7. The best way to defeat Hamas and Hezbollah–probably the only way–is to topple Iran’s genocidal regime. I don’t know whether that can be done, but it is worth a try.

    Iran just gave Israel a brand new set of options…

  64. honestly is hinderaker on the same planet, has he not seen what has happened in the last six months, where he has given Hamas and Iran, an iron lung full of breathing space, how he abandoned the American hostages, to god knows what horrors. and he doesn’t even demand an accounting from Hamas,

    seriously are you this gullible, at this wretched diseased gang that has brought down hell everywhere they touch, but orange man scary,

  66. J.J says, “If I was Isrrael (sic), I would hit back on their [Iranian-ed] launch sites, their drone/missile manufacturing plants, and their nuclear facilities.”
    I absolutely agree with him.

  67. Was it Lincoln who said “One war at a time”? Israel should probably bide their time and focus on Iran’s proxies.

  68. U.S. Defense Officials are reporting that upwards of 50% of the between 115-130 Iranian Medium-Range Ballistic Missiles that were launched by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) last night towards Israel either Failed to Launch or Crashed before reaching Israeli Airspace, with Officials stating because of this less than Half of the Detected Launches required to be Intercepted.

    https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1779619673409032361?t=WgIzEl1lM5soDn9jZEZkvA&s=19

    Interesting, if accurate. Makes one wonder, what, are they building them with slave labor like the Nazis did, people happy to gum up the works wherever the opportunity presents itself? Or are their designs and processes just measures of their general incompetence? Anyhow, again, if true, keep up the bad work, y’all !

  69. The enemy doesnt think that they are overextended attacking israel from three or four directions

  71. Why would the Mad Mullahs not think the Israelis would take this seriously enough to really hammer them, not just hit some proxies someplace?
    Is there something underground we don’t know about? Some strategic IDF or IAF facility penetrated, highest officers turned?
    Can it be anything less serious than this?
    Or maybe the Mad Mullahs really believe that if they and Iran are destroyed in righteous struggle, the next whosits will show up and it’s worth it?

  72. The Turkey thing has to be fake. It just has to be.

    The Babylon Bee finds it hard to make stuff up these days, their satire keeps turning out to be true. I find the report believable, we will see.

  73. Like the coyote and the sheepdog they hate each other but they have contempt for israel as a common bond

  74. Like other commenters I suspect Iran is saving face after Israel killed a top Iranian general who was involved in the Hamas October 7 terrorist strike on Israel. To recap:
    _________________________________________

    An organization affiliated with the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran revealed that Iranian General Mohammad Reza Zahedi, who was reportedly killed by an Israeli airstrike on April 1, played a key role in the mass murder of 1,200 people, including over 30 Americans, on October 7.

    The U.S.-based Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI) located the shocking admission and translated it into English. Iran’s Coalition Council of Islamic Revolution Forces published on April 3 a notice of mourning and recognition for the late Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commander, Zahedi.

    Zahedi was the IRGC’s commander of its elite Quds Force in Syria and Lebanon and was killed along with six other men in Iran’s diplomatic compound in Damascus [Syria].

    https://www.foxnews.com/world/assassinated-iranian-general-involved-planning-execution-october-7-hamas-massacre-report
    _________________________________________

    I doubt Iran expected its drone attack would succeed against current tech possessed by Israel and allies. Likely Iran isn’t too worried about a drastic Israeli response, given the attack’s failure and all the world pressure brought against Israel already.

    I see the drone attack as a play for the home audience and maybe to exacerbate the rift between Israel and the West.

    Any response Israel brings to bear is OK by me, but Iran may have calibrated its attack well. Heck, the Biden team may shower Iran with more billions to keep Iran sweet.

  75. “What does Iran have on Obama/Biden?”

    One possibility is, “They’ve got nothing.” I.e., “Biden” and Iran are “simply” allies—AKA “The alliance that dare not speak its name”….

    Another possibility is that Decent Joe, who has opened himself up to potential blackmail on a variety of fronts (AKA “diversity”?)—because of his and his family’s litany of crooked, um, “adventures”—IS IN FACT being blackmailed by China (and/or others), with Iran asking its pals in Beijing (primarily, I would assume, or maybe its pals in other countries) to tighten the screws on “Biden”, on certain let’s call them “special” occasions (AKA “when required”), which may, of course, translate into “all the time”.

    Note that the two possibilities above are NOT mutually exclusive.

    To be sure, “Biden” MAY NOT HAVE TO BE blackmailed, per se, by Beijing, IF—and this might well be the case—“he” has decided to align with Xi for broader ideological reasons, e.g., the pressing need to weaken the USA and/or mutual adherence to the WEF/WTF agenda (which latter two options are—ALSO—most certainly NOT mutually exclusive).

    All of the above demonstrates precisely why Trump had to be defenestrated in 2020 and why he MUST NEVER be allowed near the WH again.

    OMMV…of course…

  76. I see the drone attack as a play for the home audience…

    I thought the same, but I’m having second thoughts. Or at least that it may have backfired. I haven’t read all the details of the attack, but if 100% of well over 100 missles and drones were shot down that is a humiliation. I think the last thing Iran wanted was a show of strength for Israel and the U.S.

  77. Another view (from Mark Steyn):
    “When the Dust Settles”—
    https://jewishworldreview.com/0424/steyn041524.php
    H/T Powerline blog.
    Concluding grafs:

    ….As Daniel Greenfield concludes:
    “This is not the actual Iranian attack.
    “This is the ‘attack’ prearranged for show between Iran and the Biden administration through backchannels.

    [UPDATE:In other words, “Don’t” equals “Do – up to a point”. Good to know…]

    Or as John Kirby, Washington’s National Security press spokesperson cum “Rear-Admiral”, crowed:

    ‘Truly a successful night, due to a lot of skill, a lot of professionalism and a lot of coordination across the board.’

    You say “prearranged”, he says “coordinated”. Stranger things have happened…. And, if you’re committed to the region’s fetid “stability”, last night certainly hits the sweet spot: Iran is permitted to go ballistic, nobody dies, thus discouraging any meaningful Israeli response …and the three western powers that gave us the modern Middle East get to saddle up and show that the old order still prevails. [Emphasis mine; Barry M.]

    …But the sense of managed weirdness about last night should not disguise where we’re headed on this. Washington’s strategic thinking is as backward and befuddled as its nominal leader, while Tehran is patient and forward-looking: a Rubicon was crossed last night, and they would not have done that if they did not feel that it served their purpose and advanced their interests. Israel’s suddenly re-enthused “allies” seek to tie its hands; Saturday night, Iran’s were loosened.

  78. Ha, Barry, I just came here to post that Steyn piece. There were some very odd aspects of the Iranian assault on Israel.

  79. Yes, well, it’s clever but perhaps a bit OTT…simply because, the Mullahs will not know how Israel might respond in the future—unless Israel informs “Biden” before it acts, which it, PRUDENTLY, will not now do except perhaps maybe 30-60 seconds prior (cf. the latest assassinations in Damascus).

    IOW we simply do not know; and thus any further froward behavior on the part of the Mullahs may result in, for them, less than desirable consequences.

    What we do know, though, is that Iran (and friends) is/are emboldened; though we should have already known this when “Biden” was “elected”….

  81. Brandon must be reelected or he faces the prospect of dying in an orange jumpsuit since his junta has established that a President has no judicial immunity for actions done while he was the chief executive. Thus he will do anything that is politically expedient for his own interests (forget the country’s interests or even the wider Dem. party’s interests). First save Joe, then Jill, then the Bidden Crime Family, everyone else? LOL.

  84. Golly gee, the brass (Generals) conlude that boots on the ground (snipers) were mistaken in their ID of the potential bomber.

    Qui bono?

    The brass and FJB.

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