Covid report. What a difference a week makes. Nationally, for the past 6 days new cases/day have been positive with upwards of 25k in one instance. As a result the 14 day rolling average of new cases/day is up from -25k a week ago to -8k now. Serious cases have flatten out with no real decrease. However, as active cases have increased, the percentage of serious cases continues to drop now down to 0.069%.
This is not unprecedented. Slightly less than 8 months ago as the alpha disappeared, new cases/day was at -40k, then it began to rise over the next month to essentially zero, then it fell off again to -30k in mid June. These viruses seem to be very consistent in the infection patterns despite the vaccination, which now seems to have no effect. So if history repeats , we should see this rise in cases continue for the next 3 weeks or so, then a big drop. Of course, the Dems will use this rise to their advantage, so watch for the hysterics. The real question is after the next drop will we see another wave from a new variant?
State level: Florida and Georgia are doing fine. Colorado is terrible as cases rise and also deaths are now at 50% of the peak from a year ago. NH continues to rise, and now CT has stopped its slow decline and is showing an increase.
Heard from a friend who recently moved from Kenosha. His prediction is the jury will NOT convict Rittenhouse and he said his local friends state the mood in town is not what the media projects.
Protests likely, but no riots. It’s too cold ;-).
physicsguy,
Seeing more and more stores here in the Midwest requiring masks. Yuck.
Haven’t seen any of the stores I use, upper Midwest Whitmerville, go back to masking yet. But seeing more masked people in stores. Medical places continue to be masked all the time.
physicsguy,
We went back to indoor masking in my community about 1.5 weeks ago.
You mention Colorado as being bad, and in a previous thread NM was mentioned in that vein. So tiny respiratory droplets evaporate more quickly and then travel farther when the weather is colder and drier. But I imagine droplets evaporate more quickly at high altitude than at low altitude. I lived in NM for several years at about 7000 ft. altitude, and lots of things are noticeably different because of the altitude.
My impression from last year was that Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Years celebrations and the travel involved were major spreading periods.
TommyJay,
Your hypothesis seems logical, but I would add; long periods of time indoors with recirculated air. Florida has hosted A LOT of out of state visitors in the past year (akin to Thanksgiving every week), but hasn’t had concordant spikes.
Barry, in a similar vein, I saw that the Wyoming GOP just told Liz Cheney, they no longer consider her a Republican. Excommunicated
physicsguy —
It must be the national numbers that the Seattle Times and Gauleiter Inslee are referring to when they say things like “plateauing at a high level” and “the recent surge of cases” to justify their mandates when the STATE’S OWN DATA show cases/hospitalizations/deaths trending resolutely DOWN.
Otherwise, that would mean that they were just lying. I can’t imagine… they… um… never mind.
Re Liz Cheney, one might say she drifted—make that galloped—off the reservation by herself. This just makes it official, I guess.
What a bizarre individual….
– – – – –
Speaking of the bizarre, here’s something for those of you who delight in out-of-body-type experiences…(or at least reading about them): https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-night-before-i-die/
Hey, when Ozzy Man finishes his honey badger project, maybe he can do out-of-body experiences!…
LI Verdict Watch thread latest has a tweet from Jacek Posobiec claiming that two jurors are holding up the decision specifically on fears of backlash, their names being leaked, and doxxing.
In a world of Myrna Lichts, be that gal that posts Ozzy Man on her blog.
@ Rufus > “His prediction is the jury will NOT convict Rittenhouse and he said his local friends state the mood in town is not what the media projects.”
AesopSpouse (who is a lawyer, although not in criminal cases since the first couple of years – couldn’t stand working with the OTHER lawyers) speculates that the jury is going slowly through every count, dotting the i’s and crossing the t’s, so they can’t be accused of rushing to acquittal – and presumably working on the hold-outs.
I hope your friend is right.
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Covid report. What a difference a week makes. Nationally, for the past 6 days new cases/day have been positive with upwards of 25k in one instance. As a result the 14 day rolling average of new cases/day is up from -25k a week ago to -8k now. Serious cases have flatten out with no real decrease. However, as active cases have increased, the percentage of serious cases continues to drop now down to 0.069%.
This is not unprecedented. Slightly less than 8 months ago as the alpha disappeared, new cases/day was at -40k, then it began to rise over the next month to essentially zero, then it fell off again to -30k in mid June. These viruses seem to be very consistent in the infection patterns despite the vaccination, which now seems to have no effect. So if history repeats , we should see this rise in cases continue for the next 3 weeks or so, then a big drop. Of course, the Dems will use this rise to their advantage, so watch for the hysterics. The real question is after the next drop will we see another wave from a new variant?
State level: Florida and Georgia are doing fine. Colorado is terrible as cases rise and also deaths are now at 50% of the peak from a year ago. NH continues to rise, and now CT has stopped its slow decline and is showing an increase.
Heard from a friend who recently moved from Kenosha. His prediction is the jury will NOT convict Rittenhouse and he said his local friends state the mood in town is not what the media projects.
Protests likely, but no riots. It’s too cold ;-).
physicsguy,
Seeing more and more stores here in the Midwest requiring masks. Yuck.
Haven’t seen any of the stores I use, upper Midwest Whitmerville, go back to masking yet. But seeing more masked people in stores. Medical places continue to be masked all the time.
physicsguy,
We went back to indoor masking in my community about 1.5 weeks ago.
You mention Colorado as being bad, and in a previous thread NM was mentioned in that vein. So tiny respiratory droplets evaporate more quickly and then travel farther when the weather is colder and drier. But I imagine droplets evaporate more quickly at high altitude than at low altitude. I lived in NM for several years at about 7000 ft. altitude, and lots of things are noticeably different because of the altitude.
My impression from last year was that Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Years celebrations and the travel involved were major spreading periods.
TommyJay,
Your hypothesis seems logical, but I would add; long periods of time indoors with recirculated air. Florida has hosted A LOT of out of state visitors in the past year (akin to Thanksgiving every week), but hasn’t had concordant spikes.
Something interesting here. Maybe the start of a trend?:
“Texas State Democrat Defects, Joins Republican Party”
https://www.dailywire.com/news/no-longer-in-step-with-the-democratic-party-texas-state-democrat-defects-joins-republican-party
Hope this isn’t, though:
“…School Board Meeting Erupts After Pro-CRT Speaker Warns Parents He’s Got 1,000 Soldiers”
https://tinyurl.com/4269sf5f
H/T Instapundit (both).
Barry, in a similar vein, I saw that the Wyoming GOP just told Liz Cheney, they no longer consider her a Republican. Excommunicated
physicsguy —
It must be the national numbers that the Seattle Times and Gauleiter Inslee are referring to when they say things like “plateauing at a high level” and “the recent surge of cases” to justify their mandates when the STATE’S OWN DATA show cases/hospitalizations/deaths trending resolutely DOWN.
Otherwise, that would mean that they were just lying. I can’t imagine… they… um… never mind.
Re Liz Cheney, one might say she drifted—make that galloped—off the reservation by herself. This just makes it official, I guess.
What a bizarre individual….
– – – – –
Speaking of the bizarre, here’s something for those of you who delight in out-of-body-type experiences…(or at least reading about them):
https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-night-before-i-die/
Hey, when Ozzy Man finishes his honey badger project, maybe he can do out-of-body experiences!…
The CPU is now 50
https://spectrum.ieee.org/chip-hall-of-fame-intel-4004-microprocessor
H/T: Chicago Boyz’ David Foster
Also: The also rans:
https://spectrum.ieee.org/the-surprising-story-of-the-first-microprocessors
LI Verdict Watch thread latest has a tweet from Jacek Posobiec claiming that two jurors are holding up the decision specifically on fears of backlash, their names being leaked, and doxxing.
https://legalinsurrection.com/2021/11/rittenhouse-verdict-watch/
In a world of Myrna Lichts, be that gal that posts Ozzy Man on her blog.
@ Rufus > “His prediction is the jury will NOT convict Rittenhouse and he said his local friends state the mood in town is not what the media projects.”
AesopSpouse (who is a lawyer, although not in criminal cases since the first couple of years – couldn’t stand working with the OTHER lawyers) speculates that the jury is going slowly through every count, dotting the i’s and crossing the t’s, so they can’t be accused of rushing to acquittal – and presumably working on the hold-outs.
I hope your friend is right.