Caroline Glick’s primer on the Israeli election (with an added note about Jews, Arabs, and race)
The US media coverage of the Israeli election has misrepresented the results of Tuesday’s vote. This isn’t necessarily deliberate. Israeli elections are inscrutable for most foreigners, particularly for Americans who are used to the clarity of the presidential system and two-party system.
Hear, hear!
But you know what? I bet that, although US reporters probably don’t understand the election, their negative coverage of the results for Netanyahu is still deliberate. Lacking understanding and skewing the results against the guy on the right whom they hate aren’t necessarily mutually exclusive.
Glick’s analysis of the results goes like this:
Wednesday Netanyahu assembled the heads of all the right wing and religious parties that form the basis for Likud-led governing coalitions. The factions unified into one right-wing bloc and agreed on principles for future coalition talks. They agreed to conduct coalition talks as a bloc, under Netanyahu’s leadership. By forming this 55-member bloc, Netanyahu created a situation where he is the only possible prime minister. Either the Blue and White Party — or one of its three factions — joins him, or Amir Peretz and Orly Levy bring the Labor party in, or Israel goes to new elections. Those are the only options.
In other words, it’s either going to be Netanyahu or elections. It’s up to Gantz, and Peretz.
Moreover, the balance of power is still very much on the Right. The Right has 55 seats. The Left has 44. Israel Beitenu leader Avigdor Liberman, the man who induced Israel’s political paralysis 10 months ago when he resigned his position as defense minister, and maintained the stalemate in April when he refused to join a Netanyahu-led coalition and forced the country into a second Knesset election, is nothing but a Bibi hater. If he joins Gantz with his 8-seat faction, Gantz will still be short 9 seats. A coalition with Liberman and the Arab parties is inconceivable because Liberman’s Russian voter base would abandon him if he were to go that route.
Israeli politics is strange enough that I suppose anything’s possible. But Glick’s explanation makes sense, which is more than I can say for the coverage I’ve read in most of the MSM.
She adds:
This week the Washington Post slandered Netanyahu — and Israeli society. The editorial board falsely claimed that the public’s aversion to including the Arab parties in a government is a product of racism. This is a lie. Israelis don’t want to share power with the Arab parties because there is not one Arab party that accepts Israel’s right to exist. There were Arab politicians elected yesterday that have written odes to terrorist murderers on their Facebook pages. Arab lawmakers were elected that have met with terror kingpins. Arab lawmakers routinely support the Palestinian war against Israel and express support for Hamas.
It is not racist for Israelis not to want Hamas supporters and champions of terrorist murderers in the Israeli government or receiving security briefings from the military and intelligence services. It is rational.
But Caroline, get with the program. Rationality is racist. Wanting to exist when someone of a favored 3rd-world minority “race” wants to destroy you is racist.
Ignoring for the moment, of course, that Arabs and Israelis are for the most part of the same race. What’s more, although they do form separate genetic groups, they are in fact rather closely related genetically – and that includes Ashkenazi Jews (the Jews of Europe minus Spain and Portugal).
Since our own dear MSM is so very focused on this “race” business, let’s take a look at the composition of Israel’s population:
Among the Jewish population [constituting about three-quarters of the population of Israel], over 25% of the schoolchildren and over 35% of all newborns are of mixed ancestry of both Ashkenazi and Sephardi/Mizrahi descent and increases by 0.5% each year. Over 50% of the Jewish population is of at least a partial Sephardi/Mizrahi descent.
Sephardi/Mizrahi are the Jews of Spain and Portugal or their descendants, plus the large numbers of Jews from Arab and other Middle Eastern countries who emigrated to Israel from those countries, which used to have substantial Jewish populations:
Mizrahi Jews…are descendants of local Jewish communities in the Middle East and North Africa from biblical times into the modern era. They include descendants of Babylonian Jews from modern Iraq and Iraqi Kurdistan, Syrian Jews, Yemenite Jews, Georgian Jews, Mountain Jews from Dagestan and Azerbaijan, Persian Jews from Iran, Bukharan Jews from Uzbekistan and Tajikistan.
The term Mizrahim is also sometimes applied to descendants of Maghrebi and Sephardi Jews, who had lived in North Africa (Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, and Morocco), the Sephardi-proper communities of Turkey, and the mixed Levantine communities of Lebanon, Old Yishuv, and Syria. These various Jewish communities were first grouped into a single ethnic identity in an official sense in the Jewish Agency’s 1944 One Million Plan.
Before the establishment of the state of Israel, Mizrahi Jews did not identify themselves as a separate Jewish subgroup. Instead, Mizrahi Jews generally characterized themselves as Sephardi, as they follow the traditions of Sephardi Judaism…
And here’s something about the genetics of it all, especially that of the Ashkenazi (European) Jews:
In August 2012, Dr. Harry Ostrer in his book Legacy: A Genetic History of the Jewish People, summarized his and other work in genetics of the last 20 years, and concluded that all major Jewish groups share a common Middle Eastern origin. Ostrer also refuted the Khazar theory of Ashkenazi ancestry. Citing autosomal DNA studies, Nicholas Wade estimates that “Ashkenazic and Sephardic Jews have roughly 30 percent European ancestry, with most of the rest from the Middle East.” He further noticed that “The two communities seem very similar to each other genetically, which is unexpected because they have been separated for so long.”…For example, Ashkenazi Jews share more common paternal lineages with other Jewish and Middle Eastern groups than with non-Jewish populations in areas where Jews lived in Eastern Europe, Germany and the French Rhine Valley. This is consistent with Jewish traditions in placing most Jewish paternal origins in the region of the Middle East.
A study conducted in 2013 found no evidence of a Khazar origin for Ashkenazi Jews and suggested that “Ashkenazi Jews share the greatest genetic ancestry with other Jewish populations, and among non-Jewish populations, with groups from Europe and the Middle East.
It is likely that many of today’s Palestinian Arabs (mostly Muslim, but with an important Christian minority) are descended from Jews who converted during the medieval period to Islam. Koestler’s theory about the Khazars still seems to have some adherents, although few scholars take it seriously.
j e:
Anti-Semites and anti-Zionists have long clung to the Khazar theory for the main purpose of discrediting the Jewish claims to the state of Israel. So despite the Khazar theory’s bogus nature, they will not abandon it.
I wonder if Lieberman’s game has been to induce Likud’s sachems into compelling Bibi to retire. Both Likud and Yisrael Beitanu claim inspiration from Ze’ev Jabotinsky and the two parties were federated for a run of years. It is odd that Lieberman is being so recalcitrant.
Those demographics certainly are the case for my Israel connection. My Ashkenazi mother escaped Poland for Israel. My brother’s Israeli wife’s family are Jews who escaped Morocco and Venezuela, and my Israeli cousin’s husband, with his Jewish family escaped Iraq— where they had lived for 3,000 years. Seems we all escaped.
I am accustomed to using Sephardi. A neighbor is a Sephardi from Morocco. She married an American gentile from the naval base in Morocco. One of her children lives in Israel.
When the mother of a Moroccan Muslim neighbor visited the US, she invited the mother over for coffee. Talk about the old country. But this willingness to socialize with Arabs doesn’t extend to a suicide pact. When talking about Arabs as a political group, she sounds like a card-carrying member of Likud.
This week the Washington Post slandered Netanyahu — and Israeli society. The editorial board falsely claimed that the public’s aversion to including the Arab parties in a government is a product of racism. This is a lie. Israelis don’t want to share power with the Arab parties because there is not one Arab party that accepts Israel’s right to exist. T
She doesn’t mention that Israel’s regular political parties do slate Arab candidates and that Netanyahu’s last government had an Arab minister. When the Bezos Birdcage Liner isn’t lying, they’re using templates. John Leo used to say that the use of templates was SOP for American journalists, which is why so many stories were misreported in predictable ways.
As regards the automatic enmity from the Washington Post and New York Times, I would just add that I’ve noted a similar anti-Netanyahu bias in the Jerusalem Post. Very disheartening.
An article in The Times of Israel makes the election a bit less “inscrutable”, but not a heck of a lot (at least for me), but it’s interesting in any case — “Swallowing Kulanu and buying off Zehut, Netanyahu ended up losing 300,000 votes”. Some bits:
I have had, for the past few years before moving to Arizona, a black Jewish dental hygienist. She was born in Ethiopia and was one of the Ethiopian Jews rescued by Israel when she was a child. We have had many conversations about Israel and about American racism. She is married to a white Jewish man and they visit Israel every year where some of her family still lives. She has described the “hate stares” she gets from black women when she is out with her white husband. Racism has nothing to do with the Israelis’ concerns about the loyalties of their Arab citizens.
Mizrachi is a better term than Sephardi since most Mizrahi have no Spanish roots. My wife is Sephardi Tur which is a term for those who actually came from Spain. Her father and grandparents spoke Ladino.
and many true Sephardim are blond and some have blue eyes
You mean “hear, hear” not “here, here.”
Y81:
Thanks, will fix.
“Israelis don’t want to share power with the Arab parties because there is not one Arab party that accepts Israel’s right to exist.
There were Arab politicians elected yesterday that have written odes to terrorist murderers on their Facebook pages.
Arab lawmakers were elected that have met with terror kingpins.
Arab lawmakers routinely support the Palestinian war against Israel and express support for Hamas.” Caroline Glick
Rhetorical question; why would a nation harbor declared mortal enemies within its midst?
I wonder if politics might have anything to do with it? sarc/off
Any Israeli who imagines that Islam can be reasoned with and that its agents can ever be persuaded to engage in sincere diplomatic negotiations… has provided proof of their disconnection from reality. Nothing less than the consequence of disenfranchisement is appropriate because anything less courts suicide.
Perhaps after hundreds of thousands die in a WMD attack, Israel will finally feel that it has an unassailable excuse to expel every Muslim from its midst, given that with Islam’s support of lying and deceit no Muslim can be reliably vetted.
One of my life-changing experiences was reading the Hamas Covenant (1988) and finding this sentence indented and alone for emphasis at the top of the document:
Israel will exist and will continue to exist until Islam will obliterate it, just as it obliterated others before it” (The Martyr, Imam Hassan al-Banna, of blessed memory).
Until then I had assumed, because I had never gotten down to brass tacks on the Israel-Palestine conflict, that it was a long-standing grudge match and both sides were wrong and right and it probably canceled out.
After reading the Hamas Covenant, I knew better.
Since then Hamas has revised and softened the Covenant, but I’m not fooled.
huxley:
Yes, I originally bought into the “cycle of violence” yada yada yada thing, too. I wish I could recall the article that started opening my eyes, but I believe it was in the early-to-mid-1990s, and it was about what Palestinian children were being taught. Basically, virulent hatred. If I’m not mistaken, the article was in The New Yorker, of all things. In those days I only read TNY, the NY Times, and the Boston Globe, so it had to have been one of them, and it was rather long so I think it was TNY.
Link: https://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/hamas.asp
neo: I felt so naive. Good to know I wasn’t alone.
Bibi’s agreement with the religious right party is his strategy against Liberman’s play for “Unity gov’t” of Likud (31 seats) plus Blue and White (Gantz, 33 ). Whenever Gantz agrees to have Bibi as PM, and accepts the religious issues those parties “need”, there can be a unity gov’t.
It ain’t gonna happen. Tho it could, theoretically.
Bibi’s agreement with the religious parties gives him 55 seats (31+9+8+7). This means he won’t leave them and support Gantz as PM. Bibi stays as PM with religious parties will be OK with him, but Gantz loses with this “unity”. Losing after his party gained a little bit of power by joining the unacceptable PM Bibi seems much less likely than accepting another election.
Because both Bibi and Gantz know who to blame for a 3rd election — Liberman, and his ex-Russian Jews who were in with Bibi before, but left, and is unwilling to join back up with him. His party is most likely to lose seats in a third election. (These are my speculative opinions that are obvious, but not discussed in Glick’s note.) She says Gantz cannot form a gov’t, and will have to come to terms with that “unalterable reality”. (Really? Can’t be changed?)
Glick also offers an option that sounds like crossing the floor: ” Either the Blue and White Party — or one of its three factions — joins him, [or Leftist parties do]”
This fails to clearly state under what conditions, if any, it takes for a member to leave one Party and join another, or for a faction to leave.
If it’s legal, I’d guess a 6+ faction from Blue & White might join Bibi. But it was formed by 3 smaller Centrist Zionist parties joining together in 2019 – specifically to be against Bibi.
Each party has a more-or-less charismatic / big ego leader. To me it looks like about 60-40% chances of a new election soon. Maybe after a bit more info happens in the indictments against Bibi – often accused but so far never proven to do illegal things.
The genetic studies of Jews are extremely interesting. I recall reading that in the Diaspora, Jewish men (with copies of Abraham’s Y chromosome) would go to a place in Europe, start a business and become successful
Then find a local wife that was willing to become Jewish.
Then have Jewish babies, who grow up, and mostly only marry other Jews.
Each of the Jewish populations, they found, “formed its own distinctive cluster,” indicating their shared ancestry and “relative genetic isolation.”
How to get the genetic isolation? Exclude/ excommunicate any Jews who don’t marry Jews — like the 3rd daughter in Fiddler on the Roof.
This marriage discrimination has been ending for a couple of generations in the USA. One of my non-religious friends married a non-religious Jewish woman, with no problems. Trump’s daughter converted to Judaism when she married a Jewish man. I’d be very interested in knowing what the rate of intermarriage is in Israel. It’s pretty rare, and most such Jewish-Muslim couples want to avoid any local discrimination and hate, “marriage treason”. A bit funny that it’s especially against Jewish women marrying Muslim men.
“Rhetorical question; why would a nation harbor declared mortal enemies within its midst?” — Geoffrey
As you correctly note, it’s politics, and it is especially the politics of democratic countries. Soviet Russia, for example, went to great lengths to eliminate its internal enemies. Unfortunately (for them), their methods kept generating more.
The USA tolerates them (Communists, for example – what a coincidence) because we are a pluralistic society with a Constitution that does not permit political exclusion by ideology, only by acts.
(Historic and state controversies to the contrary noted.)
Israel is in the same situation. However, as has been said, it’s better to have your enemies inside the tent etc; because, then, at least they have declared themselves openly to be your enemies.
No, AesopFan, this is not better for Israel to keep her enemies inside the tent. Outside the tent they declare their hostility just as openly, but at least Israel can use there aviation and tanks to kill them and need not waste money to arrest, trial and keep them in prisons that look more like health resorts.
Does this constitutional protection in USA applies to proponents of Nazi ideology, for example, or not? In Germany there is a special quasi-police force that for sure excludes from political activity such people. And Germany is a democracy, too. In this respect Israel is in a situation which makes German approach more adequate than American. Arab nationalist parties still have representation in Knesset, but nobody invites them into government.
The NYT and the MSM, generally, has been slandering Israel for ages.
Nothing really new, here.
Maybe it makes them feel good. Maybe it makes them think that they will get Israel and Israelis to behave the way the Left believes they ought to behave (the left-wing press in Israel is no different in this regard).
For the MSM (and the Left, generally), telling lies to create the “correct” result is VIRTUE pure and simple.
In other words, non-stop delegitimization (based on falsehoods) is the cutting edge of morality.
And so, Trump must be destroyed. Kavanaugh must be destroyed. Bibi, too (along Israel if it persists in supporting politicians like Bibi—AKA, as long as Israel insists that it has a right to exist and to defend itself, and does so).
Matthew Continetti analyses the Democratic Party’s ideology and methodology—in this case, with regard to the continuous Kavanaugh lynching (H/T Instapundit):
https://freebeacon.com/columns/kavanaugh-and-the-crisis-of-legitimacy/
Sergey – (1) the Arab parties are composed of Israeli citizens and therefore cannot be arbitrarily bombed or killed; (2) maybe Israel should follow Germany’s example and ban any political party that openly advocates the destruction of the nation of which they are citizens, but it wouldn’t stop the same people from forming parties without making their purposes explicit — a certain American party comes to mind — and I think it is better to know than to guess who your enemies are.
They don’t have enough power in the Knesset to influence policy, do they?
I don’t know enough to be sure, but I wouldn’t think they have enough seats or influence to do anything but grand-stand and protest.
Note that there is a lot of controversy concerning Ostrer’s findings (and similar such findings). See this: https://forward.com/news/israel/175912/jews-a-race-genetic-theory-comes-under-fierce-atta/?p=all
So one should not take Ostrer’s research at face value or assume this his findings are established scientific facts.
harumpf:
No – actually, there is not all that much controversy about it at all. There is widespread agreement on the correctness of Ostrer’s research.
You gave a link to a 2013 article concerning research from a scientist named Elhaik, who is very much an outlier on the subject and has advanced the old Khazar theory. There is just about no scientific finding that some other scientist hasn’t argued with. But the particular research you cite in that article (by Elhaik) is one that has been quite thoroughly discredited.
If you or anyone else are interested in reading more about it, there are many sources to look at. I suggest, just for starters, this, this, and this.
Here is a very interesting criticism of Elhaik’s research that a layperson can easily understand. A quote:
Much more at the link.
Elhaik’s research is beloved by anyone who has a vested interest in saying Jews don’t have Middle Eastern roots. And that’s a lot of people, for a lot of reasons. But that doesn’t mean anything about whether his science holds water. It doesn’t for many reasons, as it turns out.
Here are some excerpts from the Wiki summary of some of the criticism of Elhaik:
Your final sentence says that “one should not take Ostrer’s research at face value or assume [that] his findings are established scientific facts.” No one is taking it at “face value.” It has been analyzed and found to be sound, and Elhaik’s has been analyzed also and found to be exceedingly poor on just about every level, by nearly every other scientist in the field. As for “established scientific facts,” that’s a strawman. In population genetics, there aren’t all that many, unlike physics. However, Ostrer’s research and that of a host of others – in fact, the vast majority of scientists who have researched this field – are established, accepted, and respected theories and explanations of Ashkenazi Jewish origins that have stood the test of time and science. Not so Elhaik.
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Tom Grey, the strong bias against Jewish women marrying Muslim men in Israel is in large part because Israel still does not have a secular civil family law. Marriages, divorces, burials, birth registries are all governed by the religious authorities of one’s community. Judaism passes through the mother while Islam through the father. So you can see the problem: those children are equally claimed by both religions and, to paraphrase an old professor of mine, are therefore screwed. (Catholic citizens of Israel have been known to convert to Anglicanism to obtain divorce).
“…[Ostrer’s research] has been analyzed and found to be exceedingly poor on just about every level…”
Neo, seems to me you’re going to have to rewrite that. It doesn’t say what I believe you wanted to say.
Barry Meislin:
Yes, thanks. Some words went missing (haste/waste). I’ve made the additions.
GAME CHANGER UPSET
Everyone was wrong about the Arab Party List; however, they have only endorsed Gantz (although that apparently is a first), and are not yet forming part of a government. I think.
https://libertyunyielding.com/2019/09/23/knessets-arab-bloc-endorses-benny-gantz-in-race-to-form-government/
I can’t access the AP report quoted; here’s the Guardian.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/sep/22/israeli-arab-parties-back-benny-gantz-for-pm-breaking-with-precedent
If it is true as alleged, that all of the Arab parties support the dismantling of Israel and the destruction of the Jews, I’m not surprised Netanyahu took a stance opposing them. Whether that is racism or sanity appears to be in contention among the Middle East punditry.
As Ann said on the Ukraine story: whose spin are ya gonna believe? — because none of us, and likely no one else, knows the truth from the facts.
Given the choice between a more-orthodox religious regime that is at least of the same religion that Israel was founded to preserve (currently and anciently), and a regime dedicated to a religion that vehemently opposes that mission, I personally do not see how any Jewish Israeli can waffle over the point.
The Beeb is a little more restrained than the Guardian – but it has a really great visual graphic of the votes.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-49790505
Some clarifications on endorsing vs joining coalition:
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/elections/.premium-israel-election-results-arab-alliance-endorses-gantz-for-pm-lieberman-won-t-back-anyone-1.7870827
Some dissension in the ranks, and speculations about collusion.
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium-behind-the-scenes-why-arab-parties-did-not-fully-endorse-gantz-1.7890128
https://www.foxnews.com/world/gantz-netanyahu-israel-unity-talks-president-rivlin
https://www.tabletmag.com/jewish-news-and-politics/291733/dont-cheer-on-the-joint-list
That this joint list party is the third largest in Israel is not just “a testament to Israel’s robust and vibrant democracy,” – it’s an indicator of serious, serious problems in its social constituency.
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