The uncharismatic Bayh isn’t buying
I was watching Fox News last night and saw Greta Van Susteren interview Evan Bayh.
Long considered one of the Senate’s more moderate Democrats, Bayh announced back in December of 2008, shortly after Obama’s election, that he planned to form a coalition of other Democrat moderates in the Senate that would somewhat resemble the House’s Blue Dog coalition. In the Susteren interview last night, Bayh said he will vote against the current budget bill because this is neither the time nor the place to pass it with so many earmarks (bipartisan ones, by the way; some of them are pet Republican projects).
No one is quite clear on whether any of this will matter, because the bill may have plenty of votes without Bayh and his group. But he and Senator Feingold have urged Obama to veto the bill it if it passes.
This will not happen; of that much I’m certain. Obama has already said he intends to sign it, and launched his administration’s gobbledygook explanation that it all doesn’t signify much—pay no attention to the man behind the curtain, there are no broken promises about earmarks—because, after all, it’s “last year’s business.” Whaaa?
Perhaps the most interesting part of the Bayh interview was his comment that he believes one of the main reasons he has the perspective he does is that he was a governor before becoming a senator, and had to balance a budget. That’s certainly not the only explanation—I would imagine, for example, he’s hearing from his constituents that they don’t like the bill. Also he may really be enjoying the spotlight. But still, I think he’s onto something.
One of the major criticisms of Obama is that he has virtually no executive experience. Obama’s resume is especially thin in this regard. But a great many senators (John McCain was one) are lacking in that area.
I started to look up the resumes of every single Senator, but I got very weary and stopped at number twenty (alphabetical order). Among those twenty, however, there were only three who had been governors. Among the rest there was a smattering of businesspeople and a couple of Attorneys General. But the road to the Senate seems to pass overwhelmingly through the House.
Legislators tend to be career legislators, with previous political experience mostly in the legislature at a lower level (state and/or House) before they become senators. This was certainly true of Obama, who had also barely kept his Senate seat warm before he vacated it to run for President.
You think it doesn’t matter? Generally, it does. But charisma trumps experience nearly every time. Poor Evan Bayh could hardly scare up any support when he ran for president in 2008. In December of 2006 he dropped out of the race, just a little while after he entered it:
[I]t became crystal-clear to Sen. Bayh in New Hampshire last weekend that his candidacy lacks the requisite buzz. While Obama attracted thousands of purring supporters and dominated national headlines, Bayh couldn’t fill a room, and elicited little mention in the press.
A former Governor of Indiana, the soft-spoken Bayh is serving his second term in the U.S.Senate, where he’s earned a low-key profile as a fiscal conservative and a social moderate.
I suspect that Bayh would have made a better president than Obama. Heck, he even supported the Iraq War—a fact that worked against him as a candidate for the Democratic nomination, campaigning as he did at the end of 2006. But Bayh just didn’t—and doesn’t—have that certain something, that spark, that pizazz, the thing that made Chris Matthews’ leg tingle when Obama entered the room. And you know how much we all need pizazz and tingle in our leaders.
I’m being sarcastic here. But in a way I’m not. Because it’s an undeniable and bipartisan truth that that undefinable thing called charisma seems to be important for winning a presidential election.
It’s not that candidates can’t ever win without it—Richard Nixon, for example, was an anomaly since he was remarkably lacking in that quality, as well as several others (although he did have experience; if it weren’t for his paranoia and ethical flaws—big “ifs,” to be sure—he might even have made a fairly good president).
But pizazz usually counts for a great deal in the minds of the electorate. In the case of Obama, it counted for even more.
[ADDENDUM: Why, now it seems as though those moderate Democrats are giving Obama some trouble on card check, one of the worst proposals of the entire Obama administration so far.
Good.]
As O’s approval ratings start to drop (they are now at 56% according to Rasmussen), people like Bayh will be indispensable in helping to block some of Obama’s more radical legislation.
While he may not be able to help stop the Omnibus, getting him, Blanche Lincoln, and other Democrats in traditionally red states on board with opposing some of his more radical plans (Card Check, health care, etc.) may be doable.
“I suspect that Bayh would have made a better president than Obama. “
neo, any one of my three DOGS would have made a better president than Obama.
Neo,
I am beginning to come to the opinion that the 17th amendment should be repealed. This would help restore the balance the founders had built into the Constitution that helps prevent dictatorship by the majority – the major manifestation of which is the majority voting themselves funds from the public treasury.
I have enjoyed your blog and Sanity Squad (is there still a Sanity Squad? Where can I hear it?)
Michael
Michael: The Sanity Squad archives are at Pajamas Media and Blog Talk Radio. But alas, due we stopped taping some months ago.
Unfortunately Spector, Snow, Shelby, and a few other republicans seem to be poised to vote for the Bill so I think it will take a few more democrats to oppose it in order to stop it – ain’t gonna happen
“…so many earmarks (bipartisan ones, by the way; some of them are pet Republican projects). “
I keep seeing this qualifier, but it needs context. If you have a near super-majority of Dems, and you hold to your principles and don’t put in any earmarks in committee, then they’ll happily go ahead and pass it, and all the money will go to democrat districts. Would it be wise to allow that, and then have competitors for currently (R) seats use the inability of the rep to get any funding in their district as a bludgeon against them? (Never mind the issue that people ought to understand that the federal govt was never intended to put police offices on the streets of Madison, WI, or perform other local functions).
A stupid governor is likely still a better administrator than a smart Senator.
I did the career backgrounds of the Senate awhile ago. When I’m not at work I may go get the link. In brief, about 2/3 of Dem Senators are lawyers, many of whom went into legislative politics straight out of law school. Republican senators, closer to 1/2 (still not good.) Degrees in business or economics came next – though not always with experience in same. There were only three (all Republican) with scientific training: an MD, a vet, and an engineer. The engineer (Sununu) was defeated in November.
There are a few governors and small businessmen in both parties, but a large number have never run anything but a campaign.
As I’ve said AV – Journalism is dead. You had to go do the research and report it.
The more trouble for Obama…the less for U.S. 😉