Trump has been repetitiously clear that, if not, we go to military force until we get what we want.

When it comes to Iranian nuclear weapons, Trump won’t compromise. Like I said, this is the hill Trump has chosen, if necessary, to die on.

@HC68: The question is not ‘good deal’ or ‘bad deal’, it’s ‘What is the best possible/least bad deal that can be achieved in the real world?’

Disagree.

In this case a good/bad deal isn’t a matter of horsetrading, but of Iran’s acceptance of Trump’s primary requirements — (1) No nuclear weapons program/no enriched uranium (2) Open the Straits of Hormuza under international law.

Especially, absolutely, Iran cannot have nuclear weapons.

— Huxley

I agree that that is what we want. But what if that is just not possible under the current political/international situation? I don’t know if it is or not.

President Trump has opponents in the media, in Europe, in Congress, in BHO, and in Iran. Being Calvin Coolidge part deux isn’t an option.

“President Trump” not just “Trump” is for CC™-R.

It’s not so much the media as for now almost 8 weeks, Trump keeps saying there’s a final deal and they better take it. By always laying out an “utimatum” and then letting the Iranians, and also the Gulf States delay such, doesn’t lend confidence after time that any deal is real.

It takes a while to paint your foe into the final corner.

Interesting article. And I understand all of its points. However, we have:

“Trump has set a final offer on the table with his minimum demands while pointing a gun at the IRGC’s temple: “Sign or die.” ”

And we’ve seen this same scenario of “final offer” multiple times for the past 7 weeks with no “sign or die” result happening. So why believe it this time? The Iranians just keep stringing it out.

The opening lines:

So much catastrophising and confusion. Let’s work it through:

Trump has set a final offer on the table with his minimum demands while pointing a gun at the IRGC’s temple: “Sign or die.”

The red line that Trump has declared openly for a while is what he calls the “nuclear dust.” And he is correct to have that as the only red line. If that is achieved, everything else will fall into place over time, and Trump will be able to present it as victory. If he compromises on that red line over the truce period, he will not be able to, though even still, degrading the IRGC in the way that it has been is actually a massive victory for the USA and Israel.

Let’s try to clear it up and understand the incentives of all the parties.

Read it all to see