We. Are. Everywhere!

Arthur Nimz 3d

A new definition of TACO – TRUMP ALWAYS CALCULATES OUTCOMES. In the last 10 years of my 30 year career working for a major DoD contractor, I managed an organization of software engineers, mathematicians, statisticians, intelligence analysts and military subject matter experts that were used to develop Major Combat Operation (MCO) wargame simulations. Some of those simulations used first gen AI models. The DoD contracted our organization to use sophisticated models and war game simulations to build a library of MCO scenarios. Weapons systems models, -INT and C2ISR models were populated with the latest capabilities of the US and potential foreign adversary’s. I cannot disclose how we know the capabilities of our adversary’s, but suffice it to say it is to an eye watering level of detail. These models and their outputs of their data were fused to support the simulations. All of these activities were at the S, TS and/or CNWDI levels of classification.

The DoD models used the capabilities of our current weapons systems and those of our various adversaries to trade off outcomes over the time of a MCO and to answer the question: can the US destroy the capability of specific adversary to wage war under a variety of conditions. What weapons does the US military need to overcome those of an adversary and destroy its capability to wage war? It DOES NOT provide specific timelines but does provide detailed metrics for timed estimates of the completion of specific objectives. Your analysis has captured the details of the completion of many of those metrics.

I can tell you for a fact that planning for Major Combat Operation Epic Fury began shortly after President Trump took office and appointed Pete Hegseth as Sec Def and GEN Dan Caine as CJCS – not a coincidence that a USAF General is CJCS.

That planning used that latest updates to the Iran MCO and those sophisticated wargame simulations to help develop the Concepts of Operations (CONOPS) – the force structures, support units and weapons geolocations required to initiate Major Combat Operations (MCO). Those simulations and planning models defined the underlying TTP’s (tactics, techniques and procedures) which were then used to run the simulations to develop the metrics.

As you have pointed out, President Trump recognized a historic opportunity to destroy Iran’s decades of using proxies to create terror and chaos around the world. The Islamic demons can bloviate all they want but the question they need to answer is who will be left alive to finally unconditionally surrender.

President Trump also understands the the best way to destroy an adversary’s capability to wage war is to control their energy supply – oil. This MCO had multiple objectives and those are being achieved in the follow on operations. It ain’t over yet until the fat mullah surrenders.

You are also correct in assessing that these operations will not substantially impact the US economy that has been growing at a record pace since President Trump took office.

Great job and great example of the use of event analysis to capture the reality of the situation.

Now, the commenter could be who he says he is and could know what he says he knows; or not. (“On the internet, no one knows you’re a dog.”)

But IF he’s legit, this is a good confirmation of DataRepublican’s work.

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https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/on-the-internet-nobody-knows-youre-a-dog

https://datarepublican.substack.com/p/data-analysis-of-the-state-of-the

Data Analysis of the State of the Iranian Conflict on March 8, 2026
An attempt to OSINT the current state of affairs
(OpenSourceINTelligence)

AUTHOR’S NOTE
I’m a civilian data analyst. I am not a former military officer, intelligence analyst, or defense policy professional. I did something stupid for this article: I pirated a lot of military texts, mirrored multiple websites such as CSIS, loaded my workstation with every bit of data that I could think of, and threw it at AI agents. This was for my own education as much as it was yours.

For military strategy and doctrine, I have relied on credentialed professional analysts: CSIS, ISW, CEPA, the Institute for Science and International Security, CENTCOM and IDF public statements, and Gen. Michael Flynn’s published strategic framework. Where I make military analytical judgments beyond what those sources explicitly support, I’ve labeled them [ASSESSED] and tried to anchor them to the underlying source reasoning.

The people best positioned to correct this document are those who have actually planned air campaigns… or anyone else in the world who isn’t me, really. I’d welcome that correction. What I’ve tried to produce is a pipeline for automated, rigorous OSINT synthesis.

Where I speculate, I say so. And where the data simply doesn’t exist in open source, I’ve tried to name the gap.

One-stop-shopping for most of the information needed to keep track of the players and the played.

Some cites would be useful. Trump exaggerates, as we know, but he speaks as though we’re not worried to fight several weeks more.

But if our arsenal is dwindling, Iran’s is in much worse shape and getting worse from exhaustion and destruction. How does Iran keep fighting?

They are going to run out before we do. In which case what say do they have over Hormuz?

CICERO:

Are you sure about that? I rather think our vast military/tech strength has options that can nullify Iran’s threats to Hormuz.

Here’s a discussion of possibilities — B-52 carpet bombing of where the drones come from, even more drastic attacks on the Iranian leadership, plus using latest tech to set up a “Blue Dome” over the Straits to protect shipping.

–Max Afterburner, “Iran Strikes Ships In Straits of Hormuz Then THIS Happened”
https://youtu.be/4qAGCkSKnFM?t=728

I’m not sure it matters whether Mojtaba is alive or in a coma. It probably doesn’t matter to Iranians in the short term. The IRGC is now in control of the country.

The question is how quickly can be finish degrading their power to control the running of the country. How quickly can be precipitate a coup– whether by elements of the IRGC or the national army.

Thanks. I added a footnote to that effect. The real picture, without the cardboard, is pretty silly-looking too. And today he supposedly sent a message – but other people read it. His voice wasn’t even present.