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	Comments on: Once again, will the hostage deal take place?	</title>
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	<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/</link>
	<description>A blog about political change, among other things</description>
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		<title>
		By: AesopFan		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/#comment-2783494</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[AesopFan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jan 2025 10:15:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thenewneo.com/?p=139422#comment-2783494</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[@ Paul &#062; &quot;I also think there is something to a society having that “no man left behind” ethos. &quot;

This used to be a controlling ethos in the US military -- the movie &quot;Saving Private Ryan&quot; is an example, but there are other films with at least some recognition of that duty.

One of the most galling aspects of the Biden Afghanistan debacle was his leaving so many American civilians, Afghan allies, and possibly even service members behind (although I&#039;m not sure on that last group, his precipitate and bungled withdrawal certainly led to the deaths of too many soldiers).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Paul &gt; &#8220;I also think there is something to a society having that “no man left behind” ethos. &#8221;</p>
<p>This used to be a controlling ethos in the US military &#8212; the movie &#8220;Saving Private Ryan&#8221; is an example, but there are other films with at least some recognition of that duty.</p>
<p>One of the most galling aspects of the Biden Afghanistan debacle was his leaving so many American civilians, Afghan allies, and possibly even service members behind (although I&#8217;m not sure on that last group, his precipitate and bungled withdrawal certainly led to the deaths of too many soldiers).</p>
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		<title>
		By: R2L		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/#comment-2783452</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[R2L]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jan 2025 04:15:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thenewneo.com/?p=139422#comment-2783452</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Boy, post EO release, tomorrow evening&#039;s comments here are going to be really interesting to read!!  
=======================
F. — “You need to kill an idea.” 
The idea that needs to be killed is Islam itself. The Quran etc. is where the &quot;word of Allah&quot; has spoken about the need to subdue or kill Jews and others who resist Islamic dominance across the world.
This is going to be very difficult, but I gather many folks in Muslin societies are already either ignoring their religious &quot;duties&quot; or only going through the motions of worship to avoid other problems from their government or fellow citizens.  They just avoid actions that might appear to be apostatical or heretical.  [Perhaps Kate and our resident retired diplomates can amplify or correct me on this?] 

But we also have an opportunity to pursue a major psy op on these societies. 
Recent Western scholarship (especially over the last few decades but extending back to the mid/late 1800&#039;s) is showing that the Quran is just a man made book, with evolving content and changing interpretations, often with a Christian precedence or major influence, plus clearly copying stories and content from the OT and the NT. To some degree it is basically a bastardization of Judaism. Coupled with that is evidence Mecca was not the trading center it was claimed to be in the 7th century, and even that Muhammad as an actual historical figure never existed (or at a minimum not in Mecca, but maybe Petra?).

Perhaps we start with the more benign countries of Morroco or Indonesia? Work back through Pakistan and Turkey, etc.  Of course Iran is ripe for a regime change if not a change in religion, per se.

We can&#039;t really change them from the outside, but we can give some of the insiders the intellecutal ammunition they can use to help in a reformation and/or revolution.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Boy, post EO release, tomorrow evening&#8217;s comments here are going to be really interesting to read!!<br />
=======================<br />
F. — “You need to kill an idea.”<br />
The idea that needs to be killed is Islam itself. The Quran etc. is where the &#8220;word of Allah&#8221; has spoken about the need to subdue or kill Jews and others who resist Islamic dominance across the world.<br />
This is going to be very difficult, but I gather many folks in Muslin societies are already either ignoring their religious &#8220;duties&#8221; or only going through the motions of worship to avoid other problems from their government or fellow citizens.  They just avoid actions that might appear to be apostatical or heretical.  [Perhaps Kate and our resident retired diplomates can amplify or correct me on this?] </p>
<p>But we also have an opportunity to pursue a major psy op on these societies.<br />
Recent Western scholarship (especially over the last few decades but extending back to the mid/late 1800&#8217;s) is showing that the Quran is just a man made book, with evolving content and changing interpretations, often with a Christian precedence or major influence, plus clearly copying stories and content from the OT and the NT. To some degree it is basically a bastardization of Judaism. Coupled with that is evidence Mecca was not the trading center it was claimed to be in the 7th century, and even that Muhammad as an actual historical figure never existed (or at a minimum not in Mecca, but maybe Petra?).</p>
<p>Perhaps we start with the more benign countries of Morroco or Indonesia? Work back through Pakistan and Turkey, etc.  Of course Iran is ripe for a regime change if not a change in religion, per se.</p>
<p>We can&#8217;t really change them from the outside, but we can give some of the insiders the intellecutal ammunition they can use to help in a reformation and/or revolution.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Kate		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/#comment-2783379</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Kate]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jan 2025 19:51:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thenewneo.com/?p=139422#comment-2783379</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[On eliminating the Jew-hating indoctrination, our first step, which I hope Trump will promptly take, should be removing all US support for UNWRA. Removing US funding of the PA would also help a lot.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On eliminating the Jew-hating indoctrination, our first step, which I hope Trump will promptly take, should be removing all US support for UNWRA. Removing US funding of the PA would also help a lot.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Lee Also		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/#comment-2783377</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Lee Also]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jan 2025 19:30:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thenewneo.com/?p=139422#comment-2783377</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[F. -- &quot;You need to kill an idea.&quot;

If the operation in Gaza had continued, and if Israel had succeeded in crushing Hamas, the things that REALLY needs to be done is some kind of &quot;de-Hamas-ification.&quot; The children are raised on Jew hate. Text books contain story problems: &quot;If there are ten Jews and a heroic Hamas soldier kills six, how many Jews are left to kill?&quot; The children&#039;s show that is supposed to be something like Sesame Street had characters talking about how evil the&quot;Jewish occupiers of Muslim land&quot; are. Personally, I&#039;d love to see Israel invite an army of Mormon missionaries to work on converting the people of Gaza. That&#039;d go a long way toward &quot;de-Hamas-ification.&quot;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>F. &#8212; &#8220;You need to kill an idea.&#8221;</p>
<p>If the operation in Gaza had continued, and if Israel had succeeded in crushing Hamas, the things that REALLY needs to be done is some kind of &#8220;de-Hamas-ification.&#8221; The children are raised on Jew hate. Text books contain story problems: &#8220;If there are ten Jews and a heroic Hamas soldier kills six, how many Jews are left to kill?&#8221; The children&#8217;s show that is supposed to be something like Sesame Street had characters talking about how evil the&#8221;Jewish occupiers of Muslim land&#8221; are. Personally, I&#8217;d love to see Israel invite an army of Mormon missionaries to work on converting the people of Gaza. That&#8217;d go a long way toward &#8220;de-Hamas-ification.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>
		By: neo		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/#comment-2783376</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[neo]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jan 2025 19:28:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thenewneo.com/?p=139422#comment-2783376</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Karmi:

Biden certainly did not give &quot;great&quot; support, nor did I say he did.  However, he gave &lt;i&gt;vital&lt;/i&gt; support in terms of arms and ammunition.  Without that, Israel would have been in much bigger trouble. In practical terms, it needed American help. In the future, Israel plans to be more self-sufficient.  But on October 7 it was not.

I don&#039;t know what your &quot;quick search&quot; involves, but most Israelis do not support killing millions of Gazans.  

The Arabs of Israel are not equivalent to a political group in the US that doesn&#039;t like Trump.  They are ethnically connected to the Palestinians and could constitute a terrorist group in Israel if Israel had done what you suggested.

And the Saudis et al gave support behind the scenes, and more importantly, stayed out of the way of what Israel was doing.   The Saudis don&#039;t care about Gazans or Iranians - in fact, they don&#039;t like them - but in the eyes of the world they must pretend to care, and if millions of Gazans had been killed they would have had to do something to prove their pan-Arab bona fides.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Karmi:</p>
<p>Biden certainly did not give &#8220;great&#8221; support, nor did I say he did.  However, he gave <i>vital</i> support in terms of arms and ammunition.  Without that, Israel would have been in much bigger trouble. In practical terms, it needed American help. In the future, Israel plans to be more self-sufficient.  But on October 7 it was not.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know what your &#8220;quick search&#8221; involves, but most Israelis do not support killing millions of Gazans.  </p>
<p>The Arabs of Israel are not equivalent to a political group in the US that doesn&#8217;t like Trump.  They are ethnically connected to the Palestinians and could constitute a terrorist group in Israel if Israel had done what you suggested.</p>
<p>And the Saudis et al gave support behind the scenes, and more importantly, stayed out of the way of what Israel was doing.   The Saudis don&#8217;t care about Gazans or Iranians &#8211; in fact, they don&#8217;t like them &#8211; but in the eyes of the world they must pretend to care, and if millions of Gazans had been killed they would have had to do something to prove their pan-Arab bona fides.</p>
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		By: miguel cervantes		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/#comment-2783374</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[miguel cervantes]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jan 2025 19:25:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thenewneo.com/?p=139422#comment-2783374</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[many of the emirates and kingdoms that includes the uae and jordan did not distinguish themselves in the subsequent events after october 7th, but then again the incoming administration took pains to punish them the former for their complex marital situation, the fbi got involved in the emir&#039;s estranged wife, of course the Lebanese situation seems not to change much behind the scenes, the magnate is traded for the general as tony badran informs us, they were all enablers behind the scenes,

Even Samson would have been hard pressed on this set up, there was much progress in these two campaigns, more than has been achieved in a generation, with remarkable resistance all around]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>many of the emirates and kingdoms that includes the uae and jordan did not distinguish themselves in the subsequent events after october 7th, but then again the incoming administration took pains to punish them the former for their complex marital situation, the fbi got involved in the emir&#8217;s estranged wife, of course the Lebanese situation seems not to change much behind the scenes, the magnate is traded for the general as tony badran informs us, they were all enablers behind the scenes,</p>
<p>Even Samson would have been hard pressed on this set up, there was much progress in these two campaigns, more than has been achieved in a generation, with remarkable resistance all around</p>
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		<title>
		By: Lee Also		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/#comment-2783373</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Lee Also]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jan 2025 19:17:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thenewneo.com/?p=139422#comment-2783373</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The death penalty CAN deter crime and prevent re-offending. For example, had Sinwar been executed for the murders he committed, he would not have been around to be released from prison in an earlier swap, and he&#039;d&#039;ve not been available to plan and lead the October 7 massacre.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The death penalty CAN deter crime and prevent re-offending. For example, had Sinwar been executed for the murders he committed, he would not have been around to be released from prison in an earlier swap, and he&#8217;d&#8217;ve not been available to plan and lead the October 7 massacre.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Karmi		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/#comment-2783372</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Karmi]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jan 2025 19:00:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thenewneo.com/?p=139422#comment-2783372</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[neo  
&lt;blockquote&gt;They would have lost the support of what is really their most helpful (usually) ally, the US – and that’s just for starters.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Yeah, &lt;i&gt;some really &lt;b&gt;great support&lt;/b&gt; from America&lt;/i&gt;...
&lt;blockquote&gt;They would have lost the support of their own citizens except for a small minority of hardliners.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I haven&#039;t done in depth research on that, but a quick search disagrees with your statement there...
&lt;blockquote&gt;In addition, 2 million Israelis are Arabs and that is 20% of the population, and that group would not have countenanced it.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

?!? Roughly half of Americans don&#039;t want Trump, but Trump gets sworn in tomorrow anyway...
&lt;blockquote&gt;Israel might also have lost the Saudis and that crowd, whose cooperation is valuable to them.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

That would&#039;ve hurt - if the Saudis really cared about Gazans &#038; Iranians...and I&#039;m not so sure they do. Making decisions based on what other people think isn&#039;t always a good idea, IMHO.

We&#039;ll agree to disagree.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>neo  </p>
<blockquote><p>They would have lost the support of what is really their most helpful (usually) ally, the US – and that’s just for starters.</p></blockquote>
<p>Yeah, <i>some really <b>great support</b> from America</i>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>They would have lost the support of their own citizens except for a small minority of hardliners.</p></blockquote>
<p>I haven&#8217;t done in depth research on that, but a quick search disagrees with your statement there&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>In addition, 2 million Israelis are Arabs and that is 20% of the population, and that group would not have countenanced it.</p></blockquote>
<p>?!? Roughly half of Americans don&#8217;t want Trump, but Trump gets sworn in tomorrow anyway&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Israel might also have lost the Saudis and that crowd, whose cooperation is valuable to them.</p></blockquote>
<p>That would&#8217;ve hurt &#8211; if the Saudis really cared about Gazans &amp; Iranians&#8230;and I&#8217;m not so sure they do. Making decisions based on what other people think isn&#8217;t always a good idea, IMHO.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ll agree to disagree.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Paul		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/#comment-2783369</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jan 2025 18:55:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thenewneo.com/?p=139422#comment-2783369</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(Sorry, somehow missed this thread so am reposting what I posted a moment ago in the thread with the greatly detailed video on the hostage deal.)

Neo,

You weren’t kidding, great information in that video. Particularly around the nuances of some of terms of the agreement. I’m coming around to the view that this is a decent deal for Israel. They at least guarantee the release of some hostages, who may not have much time, and they will then restart the war as soon as Hamas violates the agreement.

I also think there is something to a society having that “no man left behind” ethos. Yes, it creates yet another incentive to take future hostages, and the release of so many Palestinian prisoners creates more future danger, but I can see how a culture could rationally “decide” that they as individuals will all take on some marginally higher future risk as the cost of returning today’s living and breathing and identifiable hostage.

Can they more easily track the movements of those prisoners released for some intelligence? I might send them back with pagers, or maybe spread a rumor that they have been implanted with tracking device or explosives that can detonated at any time.

On the lighter side, I chuckled towards the end of the video when he commented that they were very deliberate in the language used when they approached Trump, saying “only you can get this deal done. Only you.” Figuring that would give him just a bit more motivation to get it done.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(Sorry, somehow missed this thread so am reposting what I posted a moment ago in the thread with the greatly detailed video on the hostage deal.)</p>
<p>Neo,</p>
<p>You weren’t kidding, great information in that video. Particularly around the nuances of some of terms of the agreement. I’m coming around to the view that this is a decent deal for Israel. They at least guarantee the release of some hostages, who may not have much time, and they will then restart the war as soon as Hamas violates the agreement.</p>
<p>I also think there is something to a society having that “no man left behind” ethos. Yes, it creates yet another incentive to take future hostages, and the release of so many Palestinian prisoners creates more future danger, but I can see how a culture could rationally “decide” that they as individuals will all take on some marginally higher future risk as the cost of returning today’s living and breathing and identifiable hostage.</p>
<p>Can they more easily track the movements of those prisoners released for some intelligence? I might send them back with pagers, or maybe spread a rumor that they have been implanted with tracking device or explosives that can detonated at any time.</p>
<p>On the lighter side, I chuckled towards the end of the video when he commented that they were very deliberate in the language used when they approached Trump, saying “only you can get this deal done. Only you.” Figuring that would give him just a bit more motivation to get it done.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Kate		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2025/01/18/once-again-will-the-hostage-deal-take-place/#comment-2783368</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Kate]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jan 2025 18:55:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thenewneo.com/?p=139422#comment-2783368</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Just got an email from my Israeli cousin. They are watching the release of the first three hostages on TV, and watching the ugly spectacle of a Hamas-controlled crowd on the Gaza side showing support for the Hamas barbarians.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just got an email from my Israeli cousin. They are watching the release of the first three hostages on TV, and watching the ugly spectacle of a Hamas-controlled crowd on the Gaza side showing support for the Hamas barbarians.</p>
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