Comments on: IDF enters southern Lebanon; Iran launches missile attack on Israel

By: AesopFan

AesopFan — Wed, 02 Oct 2024 21:26:30 +0000

Here’s a good post explaining what Iran’s leaders may be pondering while deciding how and when to respond to Israel finally taking the war to Hezbollah, instead of continuing to just play defense.
I have no information on the author, but what he says makes sense.

https://www.jpost.com/opinion/article-822406
Iran’s calculated inaction: Why Tehran stands by as Hezbollah falters – opinion
Despite Hezbollah’s critical role as Iran’s regional proxy, Tehran remains hesitant to intervene as Israel cripples the group—economic, political, and strategic factors explain why.
By FARHAD REZAEI
SEPTEMBER 30, 2024

By: Richard Aubrey

Richard Aubrey — Wed, 02 Oct 2024 00:59:46 +0000

Mike

That’s supposed to mean, to the left, that if Israel responds, it’s Israel who’s escalating.

By: Mike Plaiss

Mike Plaiss — Wed, 02 Oct 2024 00:30:54 +0000

I hate to make you read Reuters,

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-says-it-has-finished-attack-israel-amid-fears-spreading-conflict-2024-10-02/

But more evidence this was just face-saving bullshit.

By: sdferr

sdferr — Tue, 01 Oct 2024 22:57:55 +0000

Difficult to dig too though, fortunately. So I’d expect many fewer than the Gaza complex. Still, it’s a crazy freaking bother.

By: Gringo

Gringo — Tue, 01 Oct 2024 22:53:38 +0000

There are many Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) buildings and bases across Iran. Imagine the consequences if those hundreds of IRGC buildings and bases went KABOOM!

Ragarding the Hezbollah tunnels, this is in hard rock country. Very difficult to destroy completely. Destroy the entrances and exits.

By: Richard Aubrey

Richard Aubrey — Tue, 01 Oct 2024 21:57:04 +0000

Read elsewhere that there are a good many miles of tunnels in Hez terrain in Lebanon. Unexpected. Going to take some work.

And there are limits. I recall reading about the WW II house-to-house fighting in WW II. Going through the walls from one to the next would save exposure to enemy fire on the streets. Those houses were usually stone or concrete, very sturdy. But the amount of explosive necessary for the theater to do that was so huge it could not even be produced, much less shipped and forwarded to the units in question.
Which brings up the question; how much explosive will it take to blow up, say, every quarter mile of the tunnels? How long? After clearing Hez out so you can do the work.
Or you find the tunnels, clear out the above-ground area of Hez fighters so the sappers can do their work. BIG shaped charge, then drop a couple of hundred pounds through the hole.
Or do you want to work within the tunnels, from end to end?
Going to be a tough, long job.

By: Rufus T. Firefly

Rufus T. Firefly — Tue, 01 Oct 2024 21:07:31 +0000

G-d bless you and your family, BenDavid!

By: Mike Plaiss

Mike Plaiss — Tue, 01 Oct 2024 20:42:26 +0000

Yes, they are battle hardened, and they’ve learned to fight in the tunnels. Every war needs a hero, and this guy seems like he’ll do nicely.

https://m.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-819823

Also very glad to hear everyone is ok BenDavid.

By: neo

neo — Tue, 01 Oct 2024 19:49:36 +0000

Ben David:

Glad to hear you are safe.

By: BenDavid

BenDavid — Tue, 01 Oct 2024 19:47:02 +0000

We were in our safe room for the better part of an hour earlier this evening.

As was almost everyone else in our family, including my son who lives in the central area and whose children are not used to hearing sirens.

My parents are too old to get to their safe room so they took folding chairs out to the windowless interior stairwell of their apartment building.

We hear the Iron Dome taking out missiles directed at Ben Gurion airport and the Tel Aviv metro area.

Thank G-d everyone is OK.
I am the shopper in the family, so I put together a box of provisions for our safe room. But my son took all the good stuff with him to reserve duty in the north. So we had crackers but no Nutella…