Comments on: Snap Brexit vote for UK on December 12

By: Julie near Chicago

Julie near Chicago — Sat, 02 Nov 2019 19:30:17 +0000

Artful,

Thanks very much for the link. Good article; sent it on.

By: Chester Draws

Chester Draws — Sat, 02 Nov 2019 19:21:57 +0000

I think the Tories will win in a landslide.

Not because they get a huge proportion of the votes, but because of how first past the post wins in a very divided electorate.

Remain will split between Labour and Lib-Den.

Leave will vote Tory in their seats and Brexit Party in presently Labour ones.

People who are middling about Leave will vote for it to end the present charade — which will last until Britain finally leaves. The EU cannot operate with one of its key players being a,constant spanner in the works.

Unionists will vote Tory in Scotland to spite the SNP.

Cue the Left to go mental when Brexit is forced through by a party with 35% support!

By: Tom Grey

Tom Grey — Sat, 02 Nov 2019 15:42:11 +0000

I’d guess, only bet less than $10, that the Tories plus Brexit party plus N. Ireland are enough to form a Conservative party gov’t willing to have a no-deal Brexit.
Which might not be what Boris really wants; it’s not clear to me.

Free Trade side deals is the only way Brexit wins for Britain, and if no-deal is the only way to get it, that’s what is needed.

Most elite at least are walking back their alarmism over “Brexit means doom” — there may be some problems, and The City (finance hub of Europe) will take a hit, but won’t be knocked out.

No-deal, or a deal with Free Trade, both seem more likely than a deal w/o Free Trade.

I’m rooting for no-deal. From pro-EU Slovakia, which gets lots of EuroFunds for development. All such projects prominently display ads for how it was done with EuroFunds.

Corruption throughout post-commie Europe has been hugely increased by EuroFunds corruption. Like African corruption being fed by “African aid” — where failure, and more pictures of more people suffering means more donations.

By: Caedmon

Caedmon — Sat, 02 Nov 2019 08:19:53 +0000

There willl be a Conservative working majority – no landslide but enough seats to deliver Brexit.
Labour will have an atrocious election because Corbyn’s ideas have no traction among voters and many currently Labour constituencies favour Brexit and the Parliamentary Labour Party is for Remain. Labour may well hold off the extremely Remain Lib-Dems in London, because there both Labour voters and Labour MPs are for Remain.
The Brexit Party will fizzle out because they are a single issue party with little agreement even among themselves on anything else at all. It is not inconceivable that they might have a victory or two in Labour seats where voters are Brexit but for historical reasons will never vote Conservative.

By: Kate

Kate — Fri, 01 Nov 2019 23:46:07 +0000

What I hope for is enough Tory and Brexit seats to force a joint government, in which either Boris or Nigel, whoever is the PM, will have enough votes to actually exit the EU.

By: huxley

huxley — Fri, 01 Nov 2019 23:40:06 +0000

Any bets?

I’ll take Stalemates for $1000, Alex.

By: AesopFan

AesopFan — Fri, 01 Nov 2019 23:38:14 +0000

Via PowerLine Picks today

https://www.melaniephillips.com/planet-remain-truth-hard-right/

President Trump’s dramatic intervention into Britain’s general election may have raised eyebrows, but he has made the absolutely crucial point that I have been making here.

This is that the deal that Boris Johnson has done with the EU will damage the UK by preventing it from making beneficial trade deals with the rest of the world. It will keep the UK shackled to the EU but without the power to influence it. It will thus negate the point of Brexit altogether.

By: sdferr

sdferr — Fri, 01 Nov 2019 23:27:35 +0000

Daniel J Mahoney, Law & Liberty: “Beyond the Ideological Lie: The Revolution of 1989 Thirty Years Later”

https://www.lawliberty.org/liberty-forum/beyond-the-ideological-lie-the-revolution-of-1989-thirty-years-later/

By: Geoffrey Britain

Geoffrey Britain — Fri, 01 Nov 2019 23:17:26 +0000

Artfldgr,

I support your view of the EU. Though given that Western Europe is determined to surrender to Islam… it’s a moot point.

By: parker

parker — Fri, 01 Nov 2019 23:11:42 +0000

Europe tried to mend centuries of what was actually tribal warfare by creating a union after WW2. It was doomed to eventually fail. I give the EU ten years, tops. The false, imaginary center can not hold.

I also think the center is lost in America. We will, with or without bloodshed, have to dissolve the union. The differences can not be resolved by conversation. The rule of law is soggy dead. Buy ammo.