http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/01/20/how_trump_won_–_conclusions_132846.html

Key Points:

“Clinton’s loss is, in many ways, the result of a process that unfolded over the course of multiple decades…

… But for much of the Obama administration, these members were forced to take a series of tough votes that rendered the Blue Dog Democrat a near-extinct species.”
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There is a great chart called “Voting Trends in each CBSA Division – United States”, which shows each presidential election since 1988, and what percent vote the dems received, dramatically showing how dems have skewed urban.

Class probably explains a big part of that skew.
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My main critique of the analysis is that something similar needs to be done for the GOP, as it is not purely the GOP’s gain at dems’ loss.

BOTH sides had very low turnout, and that is a testament to the “health” of both parties.

It’s like they screwed up their timing in the last 8 years. They were planning on running on race for 2008-2016, then switching to sex. But the health care / contraception thing made it big in 2012 and exhausted itself. Then BLM grabbed the headlines, and the blacks decided that they didn’t want to play nice give up the Victim of the Week status. Trump’s criticism of Muslims and Hispanics kept race as the big topic. Washington and New York were running around asking why their scripts were saying “race” when they expected them to say “sex”. After all, it was Hillary’s turn. How does “race” help her? And Trump wasn’t engaging in ant-black racism – even more confusing, he was talking about stricter immigration, which black people aren’t necessarily going to complain about.

That left the Democrats and the mainstream media trying to sell Hillary as the Great Black Hope, and it sounded ridiculous. The two whitest people in America ran against each other, and it was about race? They were so relieved when Megyn Kelly and Billy Bush opened the door for them to talk about sexual discrimination. Even Hillary Clinton had enough political instinct to realize that the biggest sexual topic of the election, drag queens in women’s bathrooms, wouldn’t sell.

Sorry. I got long-winded there. Maybe the Dems willl go back to making everything about class in 2020. We’ll see how they approach 2018. I’ve got a feeling that they rode the tiger too long with racism, though, and short of Cory Booker getting the nomination, they’ll never get the kind of turnout they saw in 2008 and 2012.

“But Trump saw, or stumbled into taking advantage of, an opening spotted by only a few political analysts …

That opening was the fact that Democrats were taking for granted their above-national-average support from non-college-educated outstate voters in their determination to build a new, “ascendant” majority of blacks, Hispanics, single women, and Millennials. They figured that outstate Obama voters were locked into the Democratic party and didn’t need any special attention. Turns out they weren’t and they did.” – Michael Barone
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/442651/how-trump-won-democrats-created-midwestern-opening-white-voters

I think Barone overstates the case by saying “the familiar partisan lines of the past 20 years have been redrawn”, as it was really who lost the most expected voters this election.

In 2020, if percentage of eligible voters is up for the dems, will the gop who didn’t vote in 2016 return home, to compensate? And, will the dems who voted for trump be happy and stay, or return home in 2020?

Seems we are now living between two mobs. Anyone sticking their neck out one way or the other will receive loads of “hate” from one or the other.

During this election cycle, wonder what percentage of the spam comments on this blog were from left vs right mobs.
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“Also interesting, and hardly discussed, is that the Dems have given up on class.” – Nick

Astute point.

obama probably didn’t need to, and clinton probably had no credibility (with the outsized speaking fees she/bill got, etc).

Cost the dems the rust belt, and likely the source of their mid-term loses in Congress.

A GOP candidate should have walked away with this. trump didn’t.

As a percentage of eligible voters, clinton shed more voters than trump did with the gop (trump received a lower percentage than McCain did in 2008, despite some those dem rust belt voters going to trump).

Dan McLaughlin has a detailed series to explain… here is his 3rd of 4 articles on the topic…
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/443801/real-reason-trump-won-democratic-turnout-decline

I sometimes think that he was elected primarily for the Supreme Court, and the left realizes it. Then again, it’s hard to see any sense of proportion in their reactions as a rule. Maybe they’ve been seeing race and sex everywhere for so long that they believe that anyone who doesn’t say exactly what they say is a villain. Trump is not a racist, although he’ll probably govern as one. Trump isn’t a sexist, he’s a misogynist dog. There’s a difference.

Also interesting, and hardly discussed, is that the Dems have given up on class. It’s all race and sex for them. They not only failed to tag Trump as a rich person, they didn’t even really try. Their nastiest accusations about him were that he’s not really rich, and an unsuccessful businessman. Granted, they were being tactical, but still, it’s like they really dropped Marx for Marcuse.

Let the weaklings, the cowards and those who put politics over country leave and be happy for it.

Abraham Lincoln had to fight a war. Trump will probably only need to demonstrate his willingness to let the feds open fire on the angry mobs a few times and ignore the pearl-clutching hysteria of the media until they implode.