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	Comments on: How can you tell a campaign is way behind?	</title>
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	<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/</link>
	<description>A blog about political change, among other things</description>
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		<title>
		By: JRC		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/#comment-1610537</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[JRC]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Aug 2016 18:49:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neoneocon.com/?p=62216#comment-1610537</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[There is no &quot;tipping point&quot; in terms of &#039;conservative&#039; vs. &#039;liberal&#039; or Democrat vs. Republican.  Coalitions are usually very fragile, and none moreso than the current Democratic coalition.  They play identity politics masterfully, but even they have to know that you can&#039;t please all of these disparate groups forever.  McCain got crushed but still ad ~45% of the vote (in the most toxic environment for Republicans in my lifetime).  Romney got ~47%.  Trump will probably get 43-44%.  Things just have to get worse, or a Republican has to offer enough to swing 4-5% of the population back in our direction.

Furthermore, I don&#039;t think any of the Republican nominees (save for maybe Rubio, if he could get past the &quot;Gang of Eight&quot; disaster) could beat either of the Democratic nominees.  We might have dodged a bullet - Sanders is further left than Clinton and certainly a more likeable person.  Of course, on the other hand, Hillary is more pragmatic and has more grit, making her agenda more likely to come to fruition.  Either way, Trump or Clinton, we may have the most vulnerable incumbent since Bush in &#039;92 come 2020 (the best silver lining I can give).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is no &#8220;tipping point&#8221; in terms of &#8216;conservative&#8217; vs. &#8216;liberal&#8217; or Democrat vs. Republican.  Coalitions are usually very fragile, and none moreso than the current Democratic coalition.  They play identity politics masterfully, but even they have to know that you can&#8217;t please all of these disparate groups forever.  McCain got crushed but still ad ~45% of the vote (in the most toxic environment for Republicans in my lifetime).  Romney got ~47%.  Trump will probably get 43-44%.  Things just have to get worse, or a Republican has to offer enough to swing 4-5% of the population back in our direction.</p>
<p>Furthermore, I don&#8217;t think any of the Republican nominees (save for maybe Rubio, if he could get past the &#8220;Gang of Eight&#8221; disaster) could beat either of the Democratic nominees.  We might have dodged a bullet &#8211; Sanders is further left than Clinton and certainly a more likeable person.  Of course, on the other hand, Hillary is more pragmatic and has more grit, making her agenda more likely to come to fruition.  Either way, Trump or Clinton, we may have the most vulnerable incumbent since Bush in &#8217;92 come 2020 (the best silver lining I can give).</p>
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		<title>
		By: Ymarsakar		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/#comment-1609961</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ymarsakar]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Aug 2016 14:42:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neoneocon.com/?p=62216#comment-1609961</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&lt;b&gt;Trump became the presidential candidate because he voiced the people’s concerns — lack of jobs, immigration issues/abuse and potential terrorism.&lt;/b&gt;

Hussein Obola also became America&#039;s God King by voicing people&#039;s concerns....  and people&#039;s point is what exactly? They need a fresher God King that isn&#039;t black now?

Do they really think Salvation will come if they do that... 

&lt;b&gt;Trump Victory in a Landslide of epic proportions.&lt;/b&gt;

Like most incompetents at war, they count their chickens before they hatch. They aren&#039;t even at the tactics proficiency level in Tactics &#060; Strategy &#060; Logistics, they&#039;re off in their own Social Justice lala land of a copy cat realm.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><b>Trump became the presidential candidate because he voiced the people’s concerns — lack of jobs, immigration issues/abuse and potential terrorism.</b></p>
<p>Hussein Obola also became America&#8217;s God King by voicing people&#8217;s concerns&#8230;.  and people&#8217;s point is what exactly? They need a fresher God King that isn&#8217;t black now?</p>
<p>Do they really think Salvation will come if they do that&#8230; </p>
<p><b>Trump Victory in a Landslide of epic proportions.</b></p>
<p>Like most incompetents at war, they count their chickens before they hatch. They aren&#8217;t even at the tactics proficiency level in Tactics &lt; Strategy &lt; Logistics, they&#039;re off in their own Social Justice lala land of a copy cat realm.</p>
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		<title>
		By: neo-neocon		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/#comment-1608922</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[neo-neocon]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Aug 2016 00:47:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neoneocon.com/?p=62216#comment-1608922</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[lehnne:

No one here believes the ship can&#039;t sink, or at least very few believe the ship can&#039;t sink.  Take a look at &lt;a href=&quot;http://neoneocon.com/2016/08/23/the-titanic-election/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;this post&lt;/a&gt; and the comments.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>lehnne:</p>
<p>No one here believes the ship can&#8217;t sink, or at least very few believe the ship can&#8217;t sink.  Take a look at <a href="http://neoneocon.com/2016/08/23/the-titanic-election/" rel="nofollow">this post</a> and the comments.</p>
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		<title>
		By: lehnne		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/#comment-1607902</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[lehnne]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Aug 2016 20:04:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neoneocon.com/?p=62216#comment-1607902</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Here is yet another assessment that is all about the process of elections. This is akin to sitting in the 1st Class lounge on the titanic and truely believing the ship can&#039;t sink. Events will soon put to the test what one believes to be fact. The election, no matter who &quot;wins&quot; doesnt stand a chance of avoiding the iceberg]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is yet another assessment that is all about the process of elections. This is akin to sitting in the 1st Class lounge on the titanic and truely believing the ship can&#8217;t sink. Events will soon put to the test what one believes to be fact. The election, no matter who &#8220;wins&#8221; doesnt stand a chance of avoiding the iceberg</p>
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		<title>
		By: sestamibi		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/#comment-1607896</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[sestamibi]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Aug 2016 20:02:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neoneocon.com/?p=62216#comment-1607896</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Agree with you completely and harbor no illusions about Trump&#039;s chances.  I just find reassurance in the fact that Hillary probably won&#039;t live more than two years into her term, and I suppose we can all be grateful for that.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Agree with you completely and harbor no illusions about Trump&#8217;s chances.  I just find reassurance in the fact that Hillary probably won&#8217;t live more than two years into her term, and I suppose we can all be grateful for that.</p>
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		<title>
		By: neo-neocon		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/#comment-1607506</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[neo-neocon]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Aug 2016 18:19:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neoneocon.com/?p=62216#comment-1607506</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[nofreelunch:

Keep telling yourself that.  Problem is there&#039;s no evidence for it (I&#039;ve written on the topic in other posts recently, such as for example &lt;a href=&quot;http://neoneocon.com/2016/08/25/polls-florida-trump-and-the-black-vote/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;this one&lt;/a&gt;).

You&#039;re demonstrating a form of the &quot;Shy Tory&quot; argument, which is that there is a &quot;silent majority&quot; that will come out and vote for Trump.  That&#039;s a common argument of losing campaigns, as well.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>nofreelunch:</p>
<p>Keep telling yourself that.  Problem is there&#8217;s no evidence for it (I&#8217;ve written on the topic in other posts recently, such as for example <a href="http://neoneocon.com/2016/08/25/polls-florida-trump-and-the-black-vote/" rel="nofollow">this one</a>).</p>
<p>You&#8217;re demonstrating a form of the &#8220;Shy Tory&#8221; argument, which is that there is a &#8220;silent majority&#8221; that will come out and vote for Trump.  That&#8217;s a common argument of losing campaigns, as well.</p>
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		<title>
		By: neo-neocon		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/#comment-1607486</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[neo-neocon]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Aug 2016 18:13:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neoneocon.com/?p=62216#comment-1607486</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Jack Mackenzie:

You&#039;re even funnier.

And you don&#039;t even realize it.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jack Mackenzie:</p>
<p>You&#8217;re even funnier.</p>
<p>And you don&#8217;t even realize it.</p>
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		<title>
		By: neo-neocon		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/#comment-1607481</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[neo-neocon]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Aug 2016 18:12:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neoneocon.com/?p=62216#comment-1607481</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Sad:

You might be interested to learn that &lt;a href=&quot;http://neoneocon.com/2016/08/25/do-people-learn-from-their-mistakes/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;I wrote a post very recently on that very subject&lt;/a&gt;, whether people learn from their mistakes, how often it happens, and what it takes to do it.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sad:</p>
<p>You might be interested to learn that <a href="http://neoneocon.com/2016/08/25/do-people-learn-from-their-mistakes/" rel="nofollow">I wrote a post very recently on that very subject</a>, whether people learn from their mistakes, how often it happens, and what it takes to do it.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Sad		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/#comment-1607161</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sad]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Aug 2016 16:40:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neoneocon.com/?p=62216#comment-1607161</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[What is ultimately depressing is not the mistakes, it is that no one will learn from the mistakes.  100 years from now, when the US is what ever form it will be in, they will look back to now, and the history will be totally distorted, and they will not make the correct conclusions, because they will not have the proper inputs from which to make those conclusions.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What is ultimately depressing is not the mistakes, it is that no one will learn from the mistakes.  100 years from now, when the US is what ever form it will be in, they will look back to now, and the history will be totally distorted, and they will not make the correct conclusions, because they will not have the proper inputs from which to make those conclusions.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
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		<title>
		By: Jack Mackenzie		</title>
		<link>https://thenewneo.com/2016/08/24/how-can-you-tell-a-campaign-is-way-behind/#comment-1607082</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jack Mackenzie]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Aug 2016 16:16:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neoneocon.com/?p=62216#comment-1607082</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[You guys are funny. 

Trump Victory in a Landslide of epic proportions.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You guys are funny. </p>
<p>Trump Victory in a Landslide of epic proportions.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
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