Comments on: Don’t worry, be happy!

By: Artfldgr

Artfldgr — Thu, 06 Nov 2014 14:12:15 +0000

Turnout is actually one of the most difficult things to estimate.

by saying that they cover their arses as to lying as to turn out which other studies show, reporting can change behavior… ie. if they report a huge turnout, the opposition has fewer show up… but, when accused, they need cover, and so they claim turnout is hard to predict.

want to know whats hard to predict? higgs boson
what to know what else is hard to predict? pandemics

Turn out is not that hard to predict IF you want accuracy and they gave up on accuracy a long long time ago.

By: Ackler

Ackler — Thu, 06 Nov 2014 06:57:33 +0000

Today was very peaceful and satisfying. A typically rainy, gloomy fall day here in western Washington, where the GOP wave barely penetrated (oh, my liberal Congressman won by a smaller margin than expected…wow!). And yet, I was at peace and very happy. I am more hopeful and more content than I have been in years, at least since Obama won and arguably longer than that. 2010 was exciting and uplifting but tempered by the fact that the Senate was still Democratic and Obama still had a re-election campaign to potentially turn it all around. But today I felt a great catharsis. There is a light at the end of this tunnel. Whatever Obama tries to do in the next two years (and I believe he is far more likely to become even more indifferent and withdrawn than to “go rogue”) he is checked and caged in. And…he will be gone soon enough. I refuse to believe the 45th President will be as reckless, narcissistic and petulant, regardless of party. I realize a more sobering reality will set in soon enough. But for now, I’m floating..

By: waitup

waitup — Thu, 06 Nov 2014 02:51:22 +0000

As RL stated today, this is a refudiation of the liberalism that denigrates America and expands government.

Hooyah.

Focus. Press in. Kill.

By: NeoConScum

NeoConScum — Thu, 06 Nov 2014 02:02:19 +0000

Smarmy Charlie Crist: Buuuu-Byeeeeeeeeee…!!

The cringe inducing schyster must return to his position under John Morgan’s desk. Let’s see Loathsome One… Republican…then Independent….Recently Obama loving Democrat…. What’s the NEXT Party, Charlie??

By: neo-neocon

neo-neocon — Thu, 06 Nov 2014 01:48:27 +0000

CharlieSays: I don't remember where I got the photo. But it does remind me of this Disney oeuvre:

By: neo-neocon

neo-neocon — Thu, 06 Nov 2014 01:40:28 +0000

Gringo, Cornhead: If you trust Nate Silver on the topic of polls, he says the Democratic turnout was overestimated. Turnout is actually one of the most difficult things to estimate. Silver:

This evidence suggests that polling bias has been largely unpredictable from election to election. Beyond the shadow of a doubt, the polling was biased against Democrats in 1998, 2006 and 2012. However, just as certainly, it was biased against Republicans in 1994, 2002 and now 2014. It can be dangerous to apply the “lessons” from one election cycle to the next one.

By: Mac

Mac — Thu, 06 Nov 2014 01:39:05 +0000

Facebook is kind of habit-forming–I kept wanting to click the “like” button on a number of these comments.

I’m too cynical and pessimistic to expect a whole lot from this, but at least it should slow down the decline.

By: Gringo

Gringo — Thu, 06 Nov 2014 01:34:41 +0000

Cornhead
And how were those polls so wrong?
I have read some conjectures that Pubs are less willing to give out their political opinions to a stranger on the phone, whereas Demos like to shout their opinions out.

I for one have gotten calls asking my political opinions. My answering machine screens all calls. I have never picked up the phone to answer the pollster. Given what the IRS has done in the last 4 years, I see no need to tell a stranger my opinions.

By: Gringo

Gringo — Thu, 06 Nov 2014 01:27:20 +0000

Dodger
I am glad Mia won her place, as she is no where as idiotic and densely stupid like maxine walters, and so on…

Seems to me that there is an IQ ceiling for Demo pols. It ain’t just Maxine Walters. Slow Joe and John Kerry don’t exactly dazzle anyone with brilliance.

By: Eric

Eric — Thu, 06 Nov 2014 01:23:06 +0000

Sgt. Mom: “I can dream.”

You (and all people of the Right, generally) need to do more than that. Elected office is only one piece. Now is the time to press forward and grow out with a full-spectrum Right activist social cultural/political movement.

Placing the whole burden on elected officials to change our society won’t work. The people, activated, must carry the burden with the elected officials, push them where you want them to go, enable and empower them for the contest, and create the incentives and disincentives to hold them accountable. While also competing in the activist game in your own right.